Serbia’s student movement is ideologically diverse: pro-Western, pro-Russian, and neutral voices coexist. What united them was the demand to restore the rule of law. By focusing on democracy rather than foreign policy, they avoided Vučić’s strategy of using geopolitics to polarize society. It was a smart move. Now comes the real test. Russian media appearances today and statements about refusing sanctions on Russia are already emerging. But with a government yet to be formed and presidential elections ahead, it’s too early to draw firm conclusions. Strategic ambiguity may be understandable. Still, Serbia has been here before. After Milošević’s overthrow, nationalism survived the political transition. The last thing Serbia needs is a Koštunica 2.0!! This means, a change of leadership without a fundamental change in direction. Russia’s leverage is structural. Energy dependence gives Moscow political blackmail, while its entrenched ties within Serbia’s intelligence and security apparatus pose another challenge. Changing individuals won’t be enough; institutions and systems must change (especially BIA and military intelligence) . Also, Diversifying energy supplies takes time, but it ultimately comes down to political will. I’m also watching how individuals linked to the security apparatus are repositioning themselves on social media. That’s concerning and telling but I’m mapping … These are patterns worth watching. Serbia’s real transformation won’t be measured by who takes power, but by whether the new leadership is willing to dismantle the system that have kept the country trapped in the same geopolitical cycle. In other words: A change of government is not necessarily a change of system. This will be the most important test.