🇦🇶 🦘 Zoomer Australian | Demographics | Nation Building | Politics
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Joined August 2024
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Victorian TFR by LGA.
Key notes/take aways:
- No Victorian LGA has an aboriginal population above 4.6%, and most are far below even that.
-Victoria lacks significant belt of high TFR regional White populations, there are a few but it’s not at the scale of NSW.
-Melbournes TFR is lowest in East Asian dominated areas, highlighting the ultra-low fertility of East Asians in the city.
-The bulk of regional LGAs are at near replacement fertility, ~1.8, notably sub replacement but far less terminal than metropolitan LGAs.
-LGAs in the Geelong region, despite being sub replacement, still have rapidly growing live births statistics due to in-migration from Melbournians (per RMI), live births up 7.6% just from 2022-2023, this is part of that trend I mentioned where regional moves lead to more births.
- The local maternity facilities in Geelong are getting a $0.5bn upgrade.
#Demographics #auspol
🇦🇶Svolvær retweeted
Demographics is destiny, and it's why I'm white pilled
There are 40 million white Americans who attend church weekly. TFR of 2.2
There 130 million Mexicans with a tfr of 1.2
In 100 years thats 50 million religious whites and only 20 million Mexicans
Destiny indeed
Raising your family on a 2-3 bedroom boat offers a defensible and safe lifestyle, offers your kids a unique upbringing where they’ll learn to fish and be active as a prerequisite. You’ll raise them as part of a genuine team.
If you can work remotely, or just dock near your workplace, all you need is a 2 bedroom boat to start (far cheaper than a house), Satellite internet, a PO Box in the city you’ll operate out of so you have a mailing address.
Is this a safe alternative future for White families in declining nations? I think it’s one among many, we are industrious people, we will carve out spaces for ourselves and thrive.
Never black pill.
Some people aren’t taking this seriously but ocean living and a niche lifestyle is probably going to start growing rapidly amongst White people, my partner and I have considered it, 2 bedroom boats 2nd hand are far cheaper than a house in Australia, many under $100k.
It’ll be some time before a significant portion of people live in ocean cities or in space, but more people are going to move onto boats, get satellite internet, a PO Box in whichever cities they frequent and live an ocean nomadic lifestyle.
It’s far safer than risking a home invasion in suburbia, and you don’t have to deal with diverse neighbours.
I’ve spoken about this with my significant other, *if* we don’t move back to my home town, we plan to move onto a boat in the coming years.
Some people aren’t taking this seriously but ocean living and a niche lifestyle is probably going to start growing rapidly amongst White people, my partner and I have considered it, 2 bedroom boats 2nd hand are far cheaper than a house in Australia, many under $100k.
It’ll be some time before a significant portion of people live in ocean cities or in space, but more people are going to move onto boats, get satellite internet, a PO Box in whichever cities they frequent and live an ocean nomadic lifestyle.
It’s far safer than risking a home invasion in suburbia, and you don’t have to deal with diverse neighbours.
I’ve spoken about this with my significant other, *if* we don’t move back to my home town, we plan to move onto a boat in the coming years.
Australia is 68-72% White.
Removing 750k temp migrants + the 77k illegals, assuming about 2/3 of each group is non-White, would make the country 1% more White and over a full election cycle push the date of White minority status out by four years (3 years + 1 for the percentile gain).
It’s the difference between a 69-73% White Australia in 2031 and a 64-69% White Australia in 2031.
Australia would be 4-5% more White after that electoral cycle than the baseline under labor.
*that* is the power of one nations policy, imperfect and fickle as they might be.
The issue is I don’t trust them to deliver on it.
Some of you might think that’s not enough anyway, but an extra four years to build support for a real alternative is a *huge* win.
So how do we get them in, and then hold them accountable so they actually implement it?
The dynamic I mentioned at the end is what I think will eventually play out in Australia in the very long term if we can bring NOM wayyyy down, the cities will collapse on themselves, the heritage Whites will move to the provincial centres to avoid the diverse cities (early indication in the regional movers index), the TFR recovers, and then the cities will have a renewed source to pull from and the cycle repeats.
But this is highly conditional on us being able to implement restrictionist policy and deportations, with additional caveats like Aboriginal TFR.
This isn’t unique to Australia or our modern age.
Rural populations have simply always had more children in most countries historically, a combination of more conservative lifestyles, living space etc are among the factors but the major one is simply that in agricultural contexts, kids are useful as they can help with the work, in cities they’re costly and provide little utility.
Also, there is a correlation with density, people in cities just don’t want to have kids for various reasons, so cities have historically not been self sustaining indefinitely, and usually relied on an influx of rural populations of overseas migration to maintain or grow their populations.
If you’re interested, an interesting case study is Rome, (here’s a simplified version) it went from a population of 1m in ancient times to under 40k after it stopped being able to absorb rural populations and the cities remaining residents ‘re-provincialised’ and moved out to villas and estates, then the rural population rebounded and Rome was able to grow again off them.
🚨Disclaimer: A few people have highlighted a concern that my recent posts highlighting a handful of above replacement, White majority LGAs is tantamount to advertising them to the wrong crowd, which might have disastrous and unintended effects as it did in Gerringong, NSW.
I actually tend to agree with this assessment so I want share a couple changes I’ll be making:
1. My posts will no longer include picturesque images of the towns, regions or states they are highlighting.
2. I will limit exposure of too many new high TFR White majority LGAs and focus on sharing insights on the few I’ve already mentioned here (e.g. Wollondilly Shire).
3. I’ll still be sharing heaps of new data, infographics and useful information, but in a way that minimises putting a target on the back of our most demographically healthy towns, this means more info on metropolitan trends, aboriginal majority LGAs, policy solutions etc.
I hope this’ll alleviate the concerns some of you have. 👍🏻
I understand this critique, and I did mull it over before I started posting this stuff, actually I have been wanting to post this kind of content for quite a while.
I think we are now well past the point of hiding our shires and hoping they miss a handful of nice places, we are beyond that, better now to wake people up, White pill them, and get them working on policy solutions.
🇦🇶Svolvær retweeted
Great work from @0bservationism
Definitely worth a follow.
My new Queensland TFR by LGA map.
Please note, this is based on 2024 data, the 2025 data actually comes out tomorrow (November 4th 2026), so I’ll begin to post more up to data fertility data, as well as comparisons between the 2024 and 2025 maps, noting which LGAs are most or least resilient.
These maps take me an hour or more to make and present, so if you’re interested in more, please repost and maybe follow, i’ll keep doing it for as long as people are actually keen on seeing this information. 👍🏻
I’ll be covering some individual LGAs in QLD that I think are interesting next, before moving to Victoria, the plan is to do all the states, then deep dives into LGAs and I’ll also make a map for the entire country broken down by LGA (those that are incorporated and have data).
#Demographics #Auspol
🇦🇶Svolvær retweeted
- Another right-wing volunteer violently bashed
- Interest rates hiked to nearly 5%
- Government is reducing immigration but only from Britain
Australian Bad Times
I thought the ABS Births, Australia release (reference period 2025) data was supposed to drop tomorrow but it turns out it’s not until Friday 6th November, so a lot of the data I’m waiting on won’t be available until then🙃
🇦🇶Svolvær retweeted
part of this is also preventing too much urbanisation from happening, if too many people move to these high TFR areas the urbanization will tank the TFR rather quickly, it’s important to try and replicate the culture and character of these locations via new builds and subdivisions elsewhere in the country without urbanizing and destroying the high fertility holdouts
Goondiwindi Regional Council:
Population: 10,495 (87-90% White)
TFR: 2.51
Notes: Essentially no one moves in from overseas, interstate or even from other parts of QLD, but a small number of people leave annually, the population remains rather stable anyway due to above replacement TFR, the surplus created ends up mostly in metropolitan southeast Queensland.
About ~7% of the population is Aboriginal, they skew the TFR higher, but not by enough to suggest the White population isn’t also decently above replacement, I’d still place the White TFR at ~2.4 based on weighting and Aboriginal TFR elsewhere.
