Armistice Security Consult International® (@ASCIsecure) header
Armistice Security Consult International® (@ASCIsecure) profile picture

A global Security Risk Management Agency with a focus on geopolitical risk intelligence, security information services & strategic risk advisory.

Horn of Africa (HOA)
Joined June 2016
Photo by Armistice Security Consult International® (@ASCIsecure)Photo by Armistice Security Consult International® (@ASCIsecure)Photo by Armistice Security Consult International® (@ASCIsecure)Photo by Armistice Security Consult International® (@ASCIsecure)Photo by Armistice Security Consult International® (@ASCIsecure)Photo by Armistice Security Consult International® (@ASCIsecure)Photo by Armistice Security Consult International® (@ASCIsecure)Photo by Armistice Security Consult International® (@ASCIsecure)Photo by Armistice Security Consult International® (@ASCIsecure)
We are pleased to announce to our esteemed clients in Kenya that our organization is in full compliance with the regulations set forth by the Private Security Regulatory Authority(PSRA).This enables us to provide top-notch corporate security services to our clients in the region
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INCIDENT ALERT Incident: Probe Attack | Suspected Al-Shabaab Assault on Security Camp ID: 20261111 | 01:15 EAT Loc: Kamuthe QRU Camp, Fafi Sub-County, Garissa County, Kenya Incident Level: HIGH (Level 3) – Armed probe attack successfully repulsed INCIDENT SUMMARY At approximately 01:15 hrs on 11 November 2026, suspected Al-Shabaab militants launched a probe attack on the Kamuthe QRU Camp in Fafi, Garissa. Security forces at the camp successfully repulsed the assault. No injuries have been reported on the QRU side. Militants are suspected to have withdrawn with possible injuries. Clearance operations are ongoing in the area. DETAILS:armisticesecure.com/probe-at…
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INCIDENT ALERT Incident: Armed Ambush | Suspected Terrorist Attack ID: 20261110 | 09:18 EAT Loc: Hagarsu area, Arabia Road (Mandera–Arabia, Lafey corridor), Mandera County, Kenya Incident Level: HIGH (Level 3) – Fatal ambush on construction workers and security escorts INCIDENT SUMMARY At least eight people are reported killed in a deadly ambush targeting workers on the Arabia–Lafey Road construction project in the Hagarsu area along Arabia Road, Mandera County. Two Kenya Police Reservists (KPRs) who were escorting and providing security for the workers are among the dead. The remaining fatalities are construction workers. No group has formally claimed responsibility at this stage; the pattern is consistent with previous Al-Shabaab attacks in the area. DETAILS: armisticesecure.com/armed-am…
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Armistice Security Consult International® retweeted
False alarm 🚨 at JKIA has passengers and staff scattered as they try to leave building. Its been blaring for half an hour and no one seems able to stop it. Horrible.
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INCIDENT ALERT Incident: Road Traffic Accident | Vehicle Fire ID: 20261108 | 14:30 EAT Loc: Kiunduani, Nairobi–Mombasa Highway, Makueni County, Kenya Incident Level: ELEVATED (Level 2) – Fatal potential unconfirmed; traffic disruption INCIDENT SUMMARY A traffic incident involving two trucks has been reported at Kiunduani along the Nairobi–Mombasa Highway in Makueni County. Local accounts indicate collision and fire. DETAILS: armisticesecure.com/road-tra…
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INCIDENT ALERT Incident: Multi-vehicle Accident | Traffic Disruption ID: 20261107 | 22:45EAT Loc: Thika Road – Carwash area (Roysambu stretch), Nairobi Incident Level: ELEVATED (Level 2) – Road blockage and significant congestion INCIDENT SUMMARY A lorry is reported to have lost its brakes and crashed into approximately 10 vehicles at Carwash along Thika Road. Police are reported to be on site. The incident is contributing to heavy traffic on the corridor. DETAILS: armisticesecure.com/multi-ve… ADVISORY: • Avoid the Carwash section of Thika Road if possible. • Use alternative routes (Kiambu Road, Northern Bypass, or outer ring roads). • Motorists already on the corridor: - Expect delays; remain patient and follow police directions. - Keep windows up and doors locked. - Do not engage with persons approaching vehicles. -Keep valuables out of sight. •Organisations with staff commuting on Thika Road: allow substantial extra travel time this evening and brief drivers on vehicle security while stationary. End of Alert Armistice Security Consult International® Providing Clarity in Chaos
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Incident Alert Incident: Earth tremor Loc: Nairobi, Muranga, Kiambu , Kajiado, Kenya (environs) Incident Time: 12:27 EAT 5th Nov 2026 Issues: Moderate Magnitude earth tremor reported in Nairobi and its environs.
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Magnitude 5.2 - Depth 10km Epicenter: 19 km NNW of Masumbwe, Geita, Tanzania.
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Armistice Security Consult International® retweeted
Last night in Moyale 😬
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Our election monitoring tool continued rolling over Cabo Verde, Angola, Gambia, Kenya, Nigeria, Somalia, South Sudan and Tanzania (post election); READ FULL REPORTS: armisticesecure.com/category… • Coalition bargaining, emerging opposition formations and electoral reform shaped Kenya’s October political landscape. • South Sudan’s party preparations are advancing faster than agreement on the foundations for a credible vote. • Tanzania’s election anniversary renewed scrutiny of accountability, opposition participation and civic freedoms. • Somalia’s election calendar has brought political agreement and federal relations into sharper focus. • Nigeria’s presidential campaigns are advancing amid voter-register concerns and persistent security exposure. •Gambia’s presidential contest is moving from political declarations towards formal nominations. • Angola’s election preparations accelerated as the MPLA leadership dispute and voter-registration complaints sharpened political scrutiny. • October moved Cabo Verde from confirmed presidential candidacies into active campaigning.
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OCTOBER MONTHLY SECURITY & THREAT REPORT SUDAN — NATIONAL COVERAGE Reporting Period: 1 – 31 October 2026 Information cut-off date: 31 October 2026, 23:59 CAT October was the deadliest month for civilians of the conflict's fourth year, and the weapon was the DRONE 306 deaths from drone strikes were documented in the first three weeks of the month. Both the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) struck places where civilians gather. The month's defining strategic development was a second front against infrastructure. Since early October the RSF has struck the Al-Dabba, Merowe, Atbara, Al-Rusayris, Tendalti and Al-Faw power station, ASCI monitors documented over 10 RSF hits on power infrastructure in two weeks. READ FULL REPORT: armisticesecure.com/category…
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OCTOBER MONTHLY SECURITY & THREAT REPORT ETHIOPIA — NATIONAL COVERAGE Reporting Period: 1 – 31 October 2026 Information cut-off date: 31 October 2026, 23:59 EAT A distressed Ethiopia on all fronts; Tigray is a patchwork. Federal and TPF forces hold the cities and the A2 spine; the TDF operates in the central highlands and north-west. Towns change hands in days, and control claims should be treated as unverified until independent access or imagery confirms them. In Amhara, the insurgency is territorially deep and mobile. Somali region is boiling humanitarian and trade effects are immediate and cross-border. only SOUTHERN, CENTRAL, SIDAMA AND SOUTH WEST REGIONS appear silent but a quiet region is not a risk-free region. READ FULL REPORT: armisticesecure.com/category…
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MONTHLY SECURITY & THREAT REPORT KENYA — NATIONAL COVERAGE Reporting Period: 1 – 31 October 2026 Information cut-off date: 31 October 2026, 23:59 EAT armisticesecure.com/category… October was a month of compounding, multi-stream risk in which a health emergency, a hardening political contest, a regional displacement crisis, a seasonal weather shock and a lethal escalation in the north-east all coincided. November is likely to be defined by the interaction of rain, displacement and an exposed security posture: Moyale arrivals and floods in the Tana Delta and Lamu stretch response capacity while Al-Shabaab tests forward bases in the north-east, banditry persists in the North Rift and fuel prices keep Nairobi protests live. The Ebola incubation window closes around 8-9 November but outbreak closure is later. Plan for road and flood closures and likely fuel-price protest days in Nairobi. ASCI rates Kenya AMBER overall with a RED trend and will update on the Ebola window and the 14 November EPRA review.
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October was defined by the unravelling of federal control in Bay and its first major counter-offensive, an Al-Shabaab campaign against Mogadishu's southern approaches, a hardening election dispute that ended the month without a UN political mission, and the first concrete steps in the withdrawal of the AU security umbrella. The security-guarantor layer is being withdrawn faster than a replacement is built. Ethiopia has declined to intervene in Bay and its troops are reported drawing down; Uganda began withdrawing on 29 October ; AU forces were reported on 29 October to be preparing to vacate several Lower Shabelle positions in early November; UNSOS support and the AUSSOM mandate face December decisions; UNTMIS closed on 31 October. WHO OCCUPIES THE VACUUM? OCTOBER MONTHLY SECURITY & THREAT REPORT SOMALIA — NATIONAL COVERAGE Reporting Period: 1 – 31 October 2026 Information cut-off date: 31 October 2026, 23:59 EAT armisticesecure.com/category…
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Armistice Security Consult International® retweeted
Nature abhors vacuum; when a vacuum is created, the surrounding matter moves to occupy the space. Uganda & Ethiopia withdrawal without a named or planned successor invites occupation of vacated positions by Al-Shabaab or local militias. All eyes on Lower Shabelle, Bay and Gedo, it here that the vacuum will be tested first. @ASCIsecure October Monthly Security Risk & Threat assessment report coming up Shortly on armisticesecure.com
Ugandan Troops Begin Withdrawal from Key Military Bases in Somalia’s Lower Shabelle Region Ugandan troops have reportedly begun withdrawing from forward operating bases (FOBs) in Barawe and Shalanbood, in Somalia’s Lower Shabelle region, as part of a broader military withdrawal. According to security sources cited by baidoa online , the withdrawing forces are expected to regroup at Number 60 in Lower Shabelle by November 13, before proceeding to Mogadishu and eventually returning to Uganda. Meanwhile, some Ugandan military convoys have already been spotted moving through the streets of Mogadishu, indicating that troop movements are underway. The withdrawal raises questions about future security arrangements in Lower Shabelle, particularly in areas facing persistent threats from Al-Shabaab militants. #Somalia #Uganda #AUSSOM #LowerShabelle #Mogadishu
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INCIDENT ALERT Incident: Armed Attack on Security Checkpoint | Firearm Theft ID: 20261026 | 03:40 EAT Loc: Barabara ya Mchanga, Likoni Sub-County, Mombasa County, Kenya Incident Level: HIGH (Level 3) – Fatal attack on officers; police rifle stolen INCIDENT SUMMARY A gang armed with crude weapons attacked officers manning a county government cess-collection checkpoint in Likoni in the early hours of Monday, 26 October 2026. One Mombasa County enforcement officer killed. Three other officers (including Administration Police) were injured. The attackers overpowered the team, seized an AK-47 rifle loaded with 30 rounds from an Administration Police officer, and used the weapon during the assault. The rifle remains missing. DETAILS: armisticesecure.com/armed-at…
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INCIDENT ALERT Incident: Building Collapse | Mass Casualty Potential ID: 20261023 | 13:46 EAT Loc: Eastleigh (8th Street area), Nairobi, Kenya Incident Level: CRITICAL (Level 4) – Multi-storey structural collapse with persons reported trapped INCIDENT SUMMARY A multi-storey building has collapsed in Eastleigh, 8th Street; the structure is described as under construction or recently completed. Multiple local sources report that several people are trapped under the rubble. Emergency response teams, including ambulances and rescue personnel, have been mobilised. Business activity in the immediate area has stopped and crowds have gathered. DETAILS: armisticesecure.com/building…
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Update: Search and rescue operations are ongoing at the site of the building collapse in Eastleigh. Two injured people have been taken to Kenyatta National Hospital. Of the people reported missing, 26 have now been traced and accounted for. Rescue teams remain on site with multi-agency partners. A tracing desk at the site is open for families looking for loved ones. For support, call toll-free line 1199. via @KenyaRedCross
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Update: There were 67 workers at the site. One was injured, while the other 66 escaped unharmed. The shops in the basement and on the ground floor are also believed to have been occupied by about 11 people who are yet to be accounted for.
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