Armistice Security Consult International®

INCIDENT ALERT Incident: Probe Attack | Suspected Al-Shabaab Assault on Security Camp ID: 20261111 | 01:15 EAT Loc: Kamuthe QRU Camp, Fafi Sub-County, Garissa County, Kenya Incident Level: HIGH (Level 3) – Armed probe attack successfully repulsed INCIDENT SUMMARY At approximately 01:15 hrs on 11 November 2026, suspected Al-Shabaab militants launched a probe attack on the Kamuthe QRU Camp in Fafi, Garissa. Security forces at the camp successfully repulsed the assault. No injuries have been reported on the QRU side. Militants are suspected to have withdrawn with possible injuries. Clearance operations are ongoing in the area. DETAILS:armisticesecure.com/probe-at…

INCIDENT ALERT Incident: Armed Ambush | Suspected Terrorist Attack ID: 20261110 | 09:18 EAT Loc: Hagarsu area, Arabia Road (Mandera–Arabia, Lafey corridor), Mandera County, Kenya Incident Level: HIGH (Level 3) – Fatal ambush on construction workers and security escorts INCIDENT SUMMARY At least eight people are reported killed in a deadly ambush targeting workers on the Arabia–Lafey Road construction project in the Hagarsu area along Arabia Road, Mandera County. Two Kenya Police Reservists (KPRs) who were escorting and providing security for the workers are among the dead. The remaining fatalities are construction workers. No group has formally claimed responsibility at this stage; the pattern is consistent with previous Al-Shabaab attacks in the area. DETAILS: armisticesecure.com/armed-am…

Uganda? Our risk monitoring found nothing that warrant Level 4 risk rating.

INCIDENT ALERT Incident: Multi-vehicle Accident | Traffic Disruption ID: 20261107 | 22:45EAT Loc: Thika Road – Carwash area (Roysambu stretch), Nairobi Incident Level: ELEVATED (Level 2) – Road blockage and significant congestion INCIDENT SUMMARY A lorry is reported to have lost its brakes and crashed into approximately 10 vehicles at Carwash along Thika Road. Police are reported to be on site. The incident is contributing to heavy traffic on the corridor. DETAILS: armisticesecure.com/multi-ve… ADVISORY: • Avoid the Carwash section of Thika Road if possible. • Use alternative routes (Kiambu Road, Northern Bypass, or outer ring roads). • Motorists already on the corridor: - Expect delays; remain patient and follow police directions. - Keep windows up and doors locked. - Do not engage with persons approaching vehicles. -Keep valuables out of sight. •Organisations with staff commuting on Thika Road: allow substantial extra travel time this evening and brief drivers on vehicle security while stationary. End of Alert Armistice Security Consult International® Providing Clarity in Chaos

Our election monitoring tool continued rolling over Cabo Verde, Angola, Gambia, Kenya, Nigeria, Somalia, South Sudan and Tanzania (post election); READ FULL REPORTS: armisticesecure.com/category… • Coalition bargaining, emerging opposition formations and electoral reform shaped Kenya’s October political landscape. • South Sudan’s party preparations are advancing faster than agreement on the foundations for a credible vote. • Tanzania’s election anniversary renewed scrutiny of accountability, opposition participation and civic freedoms. • Somalia’s election calendar has brought political agreement and federal relations into sharper focus. • Nigeria’s presidential campaigns are advancing amid voter-register concerns and persistent security exposure. •Gambia’s presidential contest is moving from political declarations towards formal nominations. • Angola’s election preparations accelerated as the MPLA leadership dispute and voter-registration complaints sharpened political scrutiny. • October moved Cabo Verde from confirmed presidential candidacies into active campaigning.

OCTOBER MONTHLY SECURITY & THREAT REPORT SUDAN — NATIONAL COVERAGE Reporting Period: 1 – 31 October 2026 Information cut-off date: 31 October 2026, 23:59 CAT October was the deadliest month for civilians of the conflict's fourth year, and the weapon was the DRONE 306 deaths from drone strikes were documented in the first three weeks of the month. Both the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) struck places where civilians gather. The month's defining strategic development was a second front against infrastructure. Since early October the RSF has struck the Al-Dabba, Merowe, Atbara, Al-Rusayris, Tendalti and Al-Faw power station, ASCI monitors documented over 10 RSF hits on power infrastructure in two weeks. READ FULL REPORT: armisticesecure.com/category…

OCTOBER MONTHLY SECURITY & THREAT REPORT ETHIOPIA — NATIONAL COVERAGE Reporting Period: 1 – 31 October 2026 Information cut-off date: 31 October 2026, 23:59 EAT A distressed Ethiopia on all fronts; Tigray is a patchwork. Federal and TPF forces hold the cities and the A2 spine; the TDF operates in the central highlands and north-west. Towns change hands in days, and control claims should be treated as unverified until independent access or imagery confirms them. In Amhara, the insurgency is territorially deep and mobile. Somali region is boiling humanitarian and trade effects are immediate and cross-border. only SOUTHERN, CENTRAL, SIDAMA AND SOUTH WEST REGIONS appear silent but a quiet region is not a risk-free region. READ FULL REPORT: armisticesecure.com/category…

MONTHLY SECURITY & THREAT REPORT KENYA — NATIONAL COVERAGE Reporting Period: 1 – 31 October 2026 Information cut-off date: 31 October 2026, 23:59 EAT armisticesecure.com/category… October was a month of compounding, multi-stream risk in which a health emergency, a hardening political contest, a regional displacement crisis, a seasonal weather shock and a lethal escalation in the north-east all coincided. November is likely to be defined by the interaction of rain, displacement and an exposed security posture: Moyale arrivals and floods in the Tana Delta and Lamu stretch response capacity while Al-Shabaab tests forward bases in the north-east, banditry persists in the North Rift and fuel prices keep Nairobi protests live. The Ebola incubation window closes around 8-9 November but outbreak closure is later. Plan for road and flood closures and likely fuel-price protest days in Nairobi. ASCI rates Kenya AMBER overall with a RED trend and will update on the Ebola window and the 14 November EPRA review.

October was defined by the unravelling of federal control in Bay and its first major counter-offensive, an Al-Shabaab campaign against Mogadishu's southern approaches, a hardening election dispute that ended the month without a UN political mission, and the first concrete steps in the withdrawal of the AU security umbrella. The security-guarantor layer is being withdrawn faster than a replacement is built. Ethiopia has declined to intervene in Bay and its troops are reported drawing down; Uganda began withdrawing on 29 October ; AU forces were reported on 29 October to be preparing to vacate several Lower Shabelle positions in early November; UNSOS support and the AUSSOM mandate face December decisions; UNTMIS closed on 31 October. WHO OCCUPIES THE VACUUM? OCTOBER MONTHLY SECURITY & THREAT REPORT SOMALIA — NATIONAL COVERAGE Reporting Period: 1 – 31 October 2026 Information cut-off date: 31 October 2026, 23:59 EAT armisticesecure.com/category…