Multi-asset portfolios, triple-leveraged memes. Running a charity fund for brain research. Not financial advice.
Valhalla
Joined September 2025
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Based Capital retweeted
Infinite money glitch:
• Be Bank of America
• Make $5B from fraud
• Pay $1.2B fine
• Repeat
Based Capital retweeted
$META, the company criminally accused of exploiting your personal information and algorithmically subjecting minors to psychologically harmful content, is launching an AI assistant featuring a cuddly unknown animal designed to earn your trust.
And you’re investing in the company?
Based Capital retweeted
I have an announcement. Effective immediately, I have been appointed by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent as the 1st head of marketing in US Treasury history. As my first act, we are launching a new campaign immediately. See below. Interested in your feedback.
🤖 Made with AI
Based Capital retweeted
Is $WALLET really a Robinhood backed token?
Watching.
Based Capital retweeted
Market Signal's composite readings have been mostly unchanged of late:
Investors overall remain bullish...
The economy still has a positive tilt...
Yet stocks remain historically overvalued
And market fragility is elevated.
Our read is that this continues to be a risk-on environment as we head into and beyond Jackson Hole tomorrow, provided that appropriate hedges are in place.
In other words, it's likely we continue the grind higher, but if something causes the markets to reel, any drop is likely to be brutal.
Based Capital retweeted
BREAKING: SpaceX, $SPCX, officially rises back above its IPO price, now up +30% in 3 days.
Based Capital retweeted
Yes, we are past the point of no return.
When debt service payments squeeze out spending, it is like plaque in the circulatory system squeezing out the flow of blood. It is the same kind of thing, and it can be measured. We are seeing that happen right now.
There is also a supply and demand issue. A budget deficit means that debt has to be sold. We can see this happening in the bond market—bonds have been a bad investment, and there is pressure on interest rates and borrowing.
This dynamic is happening, but people are treating it like it hasn't happened before. They don't understand that, just like plaque in the arteries, the debt builds up and they have that exposure.
Based Capital retweeted
the next Squid Games gonna be lit
‘My life’s screwed’: Korean investors stress out after AI bubble bursts ft.trib.al/6AsnDRA
Based Capital retweeted
People are out here building fully customized, even gamified, customer relationship management applications.
And you still want to invest in $CRM because “software overcorrected” 🤣
Seriously considering building my roofing company's custom CRM as a tycoon game.
Every project would be a real project I have. My agents would handle real customer communication in the game, as well as project req's like subcontract agreements and permits.
Growth and leveling up in the game mirrors my real life business.
This would make me want to play (work) all day
Based Capital retweeted
LET GO OF YOUR BIASES
One of the best things about this platform is the ability to follow highly intelligent individuals who may have wildly divergent takes about what is going on in markets and which assets will perform well.
When you let go of your biases and follow a range of high-signal accounts, you can make believability-weighted judgment calls on what to bet on.
Layer AI on top of it if you'd like.
But do not let your own biases impact who you follow and listen to.
This is a one-way ticket to being overexposed to something and caught offsides.
Based Capital retweeted
Hard to imagine we keep selling off with semi results like this.
TERADYNE $TER Q2’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS
🔹 Revenue: $1.33B (Est. $1.22B) 🟢; +104% YoY
🔹 Adj. EPS: $2.47 (Est. $2.09) 🟢
🔹 Semiconductor Test Revenue: $1.12B
Q3 Guide:
🔹 Revenue: $1.20B-$1.30B (Est. $1.04B) 🟢
🔹 Non-GAAP EPS: $1.85-$2.15 (Est. $1.53) 🟢
Segment Revenue:
🔹 Semiconductor Test: $1.12B
🔹 Product Test: $107M
🔹 Robotics: $100M
Comments:
🔸 “Our strategy to capture test and robotics opportunities from wafer to AI data center has driven another record quarter.”
🔸 “In the short term, our Q3 guidance reflects robust AI-related demand. Looking further ahead, rapid increase in wafer fab equipment investment sets the stage for continued growth in 2027 and beyond.”
Based Capital retweeted
Today's Market Signal Daily Brief
Semiconductors are getting hit hard again, amid fresh worries that China’s rapid progress in chip equipment and AI models could eat into the dominance (and profits) of U.S. and Korean leaders.
That’s pulling overall sentiment off its recent highs, even as solid earnings from defensive heavyweights UPS and Coca-Cola remind investors that the broader economy is still growing at a decent clip.
Valuations remain rich near cycle highs, so any crack in the AI story is getting punished fast, while the economic backdrop looks steady with normal jobless claims, easier financial conditions, and inflation slowly cooling from elevated levels.
Market fragility is elevated because prices are high and leverage is significant, which means any negative shock can travel quickly.
In the very near term, options positioning points to a jumpier tape; dealers are set up to amplify moves and big index options flow is leaning bearish, even as quiet institutional buying shows up in dark pools.
Based Capital retweeted
Market sentiment is rapidly deteriorating.
As VIX and bond volatility spike despite a powerful rebound in NYSE momentum, our composite sentiment score sits at 49.4 today, squarely in Neutral territory.
That is down 2.6 points from yesterday’s 52.0 and a sharp 18.4-point slide from 67.8 just a week ago.
Over the past 30 days, investors are feeling increasingly bearish.
The optimism that characterized early July is gone.
