Ric₿ezos retweeted
Sounds like the obvious move for Supermicro is to get more exposure to outside the US (with greater scope to command better margins). The recent political shift might help here as other countries, like India, do want to catch up to the US and are eager to build. $SMCI
$SMCI just needs to put an @elonmusk in charge to get the stock price up. I guess he's got a conflict as a big customer but @charlesliang should be able to get someone to fix those margins and lower their cost of capital.
Ric₿ezos retweeted
I’m fighting to block a proposed 400-megawatt data center from being built on federal land at NAVWAR, here in San Diego. If built, this would be the largest data center in the state. Our community has been clear: we don’t want this!
sandiegouniontribune.com/202…
Ric₿ezos retweeted
Things are about to get very constipated in Texas. Let's see if the doctors can handle it. $SPY $QQQ
Terms:
Elon dear, we do not want you building data centres on our land and by the way can you pay for everything we need. Hugs and love, Gina 🤗
Texas has elected a moron. How entertaining is that @elonmusk ?
Ric₿ezos retweeted
Supermicro $SMCI looks increasingly like a candidate to fold into the Musk ecosystem:
1. It trades at a discount to peers.
2. Musk companies are likely its biggest customer (perhaps more than 40% of revenues).
3. It's building presence in India (a Musk interest too)
Sounds like the obvious move for Supermicro is to get more exposure to outside the US (with greater scope to command better margins). The recent political shift might help here as other countries, like India, do want to catch up to the US and are eager to build. $SMCI
Ric₿ezos retweeted
Boomers reading this:
Fraught market. My plan: I want to circle the wagons around the best and redeploy capital into non-tech, less risky stocks. Keep watching our Annual Meeting!
cnbc.com/investingclub/2026/…
Ric₿ezos retweeted
I wonder how much of machine learning's advancement is simply rediscovering good discipline.
Ric₿ezos retweeted
SpaceX will attempt to catch both the Super Heavy booster and Starship on the upcoming flight.
If both are successful, it will mark the first time that all parts of an orbital rocket return to Earth intact.
This is the critical breakthrough needed to make life multiplanetary.
More than a dozen flight tests and years of development, with countless hours worked by SpaceX engineers and technicians, all come down to this: the first orbital Starship launch carrying advanced Starlink satellites bound for space.
Watch “Go For Orbit” and experience the moments behind flying the most ambitious Starship mission yet
Ric₿ezos retweeted
VIX Curve update:
The VIX futures curve has flipped from the calm contango of September into sharp front month backwardation, with November spiking to 24 while every contract from December out stays anchored near 21, telling us the market is pricing an acute near term scare that it expects to pass rather than a lasting fear bid, the classic shakeout and not regime change signature.
Ric₿ezos retweeted
$SONY MASSIVE BEAT AND RAISE AS GTA 6 IS FINALLY GUIDED.
Revenue: $21.5B vs $19.9B expected (+8%)
EPS: $0.48 vs $0.38 expected (+26%)
Full year profit guide: raised to ¥1.87 trillion (+9%)
Gaming operating income: ¥220bn, up 83%
Gaming sales were guided DOWN 3% in July. Now they’re guided UP 3%. Gaming revenue guide got bumped ¥290bn specifically on third party software exactly as I predicted it would.
That’s GTA 6 showing up in Sony’s numbers for the first time, about 24M PlayStation copies, right exactly where I modeled it.
GTA 6 launches in two weeks.
And $SONY reports earnings tonight at 11:30 PM PT.
Sony which I've argued for months is the most mispriced GTA 6 beneficiary, has been my best trade of H2, moving up from around $19 to $26 a share, creating a ~200% gain in the options contracts I laid out in my original research on @AsymmetricBets_.
I am holding my position through earnings tonight because I do not believe even after this move up, that my thesis has been priced in.
I attribute most of the move in the stock to a mixture of factors. Mostly defensive value rotation out of AI, combined with other factors like the success of Spiderman and some interesting announcements around the image sensor business. There has been *some* GTA 6 uplift factored in here, but not commensurate to what's really going to happen to earnings from it.
The main thing I'm looking for is a guidance raise from gaming, on profit and revenue that is linked to the impact of the game. Currently, no GTA 6 earnings uplift has baked into the current guidance with almost all the earnings growth in gaming coming from last year's impairment.
$SONY has a history of big guide ups around gaming before the Holiday season, and now that billions of dollars in pre-orders have come through, and the game is actually launching confirmed, management can bake in their estimations into gaming numbers.
I am also watching commentary from management on demand for PS5s. Even though consoles carry no profit and memory is scarce, this massive demand growth could make it easy for $SONY to raise prices into more inelastic demand to make up for high memory prices and increase production next year knowing that.
The PS5 genuinley might be the only consumer hardware product people are actually price insensitive about this holiday season. Think about that.
$SONY is notoriously conservative but with a game this big launching in two weeks, billions of dollars of which have already reserved it on their store, and PS5 demand pulling forward well ahead of launch, I think it's undeniable management will need to finally make GTA 6 a part of guidance.
