@BrazilBrian

Latin American politics & barbecue. Editor-in-chief @amerquarterly "O mais brasileiro dos texanos." Opinions mine.

 Nova Iorque
brianbwinter.com/
Joined December 2010
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We’ve lost one of the all-time great brasilianistas. Riordan Roett, for 45 years (!) a professor at SAIS and author of 25+ books, passed away on Saturday, the school confirms. His scholarship won him the the Order of Rio Branco (Brazil), the Order of Bernardo O’Higgins (Chile) and numerous other awards. He was known above all for his generosity with young people, including a woefully under-employed Texan journalist who wasn’t even his student, but whom he indulged anyway with a long coffee and chat about Brazil in his Washington DC office back in the mid-2000s — I’m sure countless others have similar stories. SAIS said plans for a memorial service are still being made. RIP Riordan Roett
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Yes, a Flávio government would surely be closer to Washington, but I don't expect major disruptions with China either. “You’ve seen versions of this all over Latin America, with leaders on the new right who have very quickly pivoted to a more neutral or nonaligned posture when it comes to the China-versus-U.S. competition,” I told The New Yorker's @ishaantharoor . “But it’s especially true of Brazil.”
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newyorker.com/news/global-no…

Lula Faces a Career-Ending Defeat in Brazil’s Presidential Election

Brazil’s once towering leftist leader may soon be swept away by Latin America’s right-wing tide.

newyorker.com
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Brian Winter retweeted
Benjamin Gedan
@benjamingedanOct 20
“Last year, Mexico became the leading exporter of advanced technology products to the United States, surpassing Taiwan while nearly doubling such shipments from China.”
Americas Quarterly
@AmerQuarterlyOct 15
Latin America is quietly building an impressive streak of wins in high-tech sectors. Last year, Mexico became the leading exporter of advanced technology products to the U.S., surpassing Taiwan and nearly doubling shipments from China. americasquarterly.org/articl…

How Latin America Is Climbing the High-Tech Value Chain

Early successes in microchips and data centers offer hope for a promising area of regional growth.

americasquarterly.org
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Perfect
Joseph Bouchard@GeopolWonkOct 20
The very-normal state of right-wing politics in Latin America: Yes that's a Chinese electric car
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Latin America is quietly building an impressive streak of wins in high-tech sectors. Last year, Mexico became the leading exporter of advanced technology products to the U.S., surpassing Taiwan and nearly doubling shipments from China. americasquarterly.org/articl…

How Latin America Is Climbing the High-Tech Value Chain

Early successes in microchips and data centers offer hope for a promising area of regional growth.

americasquarterly.org
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Acontece nos EUA, acontece no Brasil
Luisa Leme@luisalemeOct 19
Replying to @luisaleme
Body language: remember this other debate? Yes, Flávio Bolsonaro adopted the same tactic, walking behind Lula throughout the debate, making faces, and at times mocking his opponent. He had WAY more screen time than Lula because of that. And it didn’t look great...
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Flávio showed he is the most polished, prepared and palatable of the Bolsonaros. Lula landed a few good punches. Overall though I doubt the Brazil debate changed any votes
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Confession: I tired of the chicken fight after 40 minutes and turned it off — and following that stuff is my JOB. I suspect most Brazilians did same. I viewed other highlights this am.
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👀
John Arnold
@johnarnoldOct 18
If the unrest in France is a reflection that aging populations and tightening fiscal constraints make it increasingly difficult for Western governments to meet their promises to and expectations of their citizens, then France is just the beginning.
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Yes, obviously, the pre-debate coverage on Brazilian TV included at least 3 mentions of Joe Biden
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.@BrazilBrian examines the forces driving Latin America’s rightward shift, including the public’s growing frustration with crime. foreignaffairs.com/south-ame…

Latin America’s Revolution of the Right

From virtually the moment he and his band of bearded rebels rode into Havana in 1959 until his death from natural causes in 2016, the most iconic leader in Latin America was Fidel Castro. With his...

foreignaffairs.com
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A pleasure to share this episode of @AmerQuarterly podcast. My conversation with @BrazilBrian open.spotify.com/episode/4Ni…
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Una muy buena conversación sobre el presente y futuro de América Latina, gracias presidente!
Iván Duque 🇨🇴
@IvanDuqueOct 15
Compartí una gran conversación con Brian Winter (@BrazilBrian) en el Yale Democracy Dialogue sobre el informe de la @cepal_onu Rupturas y oportunidades. América Latina tiene el potencial de construir una posición geopolítica propia, pero necesita visión estratégica, liderazgo y acción coordinada para aprovechar las oportunidades de esta nueva era. @Yale
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It does feel like Lula is closing the gap, and not just because of recent polls like today’s from Quaest. His recent rallies were well attended, social media engagement has been better, and the pro Bolsonaro right has been yelling at each other about low turnout and dangers of clima de já ganhou (an atmosphere like they’ve already won). I still don’t think it will be enough to prevent a Flavio victory, & polls have consistently undercounted Brazilian right, but I’m back to watching
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I too am skeptical of polls (not just in Brazil), but here is another big one (Datafolha) out today showing a narrowing race. One reminder: Polling generally is more accurate after a first round, because it lets pollsters more accurately calibrate their samples.
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Why Multilatinas Are Becoming More American From Grupo Bimbo’s billion-dollar U.S. investment plans to Nubank’s entry into the American banking market, regional companies are increasingly treating the U.S. not just as an export destination, but as a home market. What does this deeper integration mean for Latin America’s global competitiveness? Conrado Tenaglia explores the trend in Americas Quarterly. @AmerQuarterly, @ConradoTenaglia, #LatinAmerica #Business, #Trade, #Investment, #multilatinas americasquarterly.org/articl…
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"El Salvador doesn't go far enough," Flávio Bolsonaro says, promising 500k new prison spots, chemical castration for convicted rapists and 8-year minimum sentence for thieves of cell phones (would depend on Congress passing law)
Sam Pancher
@SamPancherOct 13
Flávio Bolsonaro: “Aqueles que acham que eu sou radical na segurança pública ,não viram nada ainda. Eu ja tô trocando uma ideia com o Derrite, pois tô achando que El Salvador é pouco"
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Acordo entre Mercosul e União Europeia eleva em 30% exportações brasileiras desde maio valor.globo.com/brasil/notic…

Acordo entre Mercosul e UE eleva em 30% exportações brasileiras desde maio, diz Elias Rosa

Ministro das Relações Exteriores, Mauro Vieira, por sua vez, disse que desde a aprovação e a entrada em vigor do acordo, o comércio bilateral entre os países do Mercosul e da UE cresceu mais de US$ 6...

valor.globo.com
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Fujimori approval falls from 43% to 28% in just a month, apparently on economic and crime fears, but you also sorta wonder if this is just normal Peruvian politics. (Home of the 3% approval rating!) bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

Fujimori Approval Sinks as Peruvians Fret Over Economy, Crime

President Keiko Fujimori’s popularity plunged in October as Peruvians expressed deeper concerns about the economy and crime, while also looking askance at closer ties to Donald Trump and the US.

bloomberg.com
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