Butch ๐น retweeted
Bear market floor models are currently sending a clear message:
According to these models, the real cycle bottom should be around 51k.
The price is currently testing 66โ68k. Historically, this is often the final washout zone.
Interesting spot ๐
#BTC
Butch ๐น retweeted
Only 5.3% of days have seen the Bitcoin Mayer Multiple at a lower level. Yeah it can go lower but Iโm running out of ways to say BTC is cheap here.
Butch ๐น retweeted
BREAKING: ๐จ Gold and silver are showing the same bull market pattern.
This pattern called the 2012, 2016, and 2020 bottoms perfectly.
When metals top โ Bitcoin bottoms.
Butch ๐น retweeted
Here's an observation that welcomes all the bears and haters to criticize:
This is the 2-week chart. Every time the price has gone below the lower Bollinger Band since 2014, it has marked the bottom (or very near the bottom) before a strong recovery.
We are below it now
$BTC
Butch ๐น retweeted
The Bitcoin price bottom only happens whenโฆ
โ
Short-Term Holders are in loss (this has already happened)
โณ Long-Term Holders start carrying losses (this has not happened yet โ this is when the real bottom forms))
Additionally:
๐ด The bear market only ends when the STH Realized Price falls below the LTH Realized Price.
๐ข The bull market begins when the STH Realized Price moves back above the LTH Realized Price, after the bear market has fully played out.
We track this with a dedicated chart to alert you when it happens.
Data > Narratives
@Alphractal
Butch ๐น retweeted
US ISM Manufacturing PMI just came in at a 40-month high of 52.6.
It measures economic activity across:
โข New Orders
โข Production
โข Employment
โข Prices
โข Supply chains
Above 50 = expansion
Below 50 = contraction
An ISM above 50 is bullish for markets.
Butch ๐น retweeted
With all of the regional PMIs out, I'd highlight that Manufacturing is doing EXACTLY what we expected once the "bonus depreciation window" opened a few weeks ago. UP!
ISM > 50 is coming now
Butch ๐น retweeted
๐บ๐ธ President Trump's next FED Chair pick, Kevin Warsh on Bitcoin:
โI think of it as an important asset that can help inform policymakers when they are doing things right and wrong.โ
โIt can be a very good policeman for policy.โ
โIt's the newest and coolest software that will provide us an ability to do things that we could have never done before.โ
Butch ๐น retweeted
March 2023
- Binance announced conversion of $1 BILLION SAFU FUND into BTC, ETH and BNB.
- BTC pumped 250% in a year, ETH pumped 200% and Crypto MCap added $1.8 trillion.
January 2026
- Binance has announced to convert $1 BILLION SAFU FUND into Bitcoin.
We all know what's coming next.
Butch ๐น retweeted
BREAKING: ๐บ๐ธ President Trump says he will be announcing a new Federal Reserve Chair "next week" ๐
Pro-Bitcoin Rick Reider is currently leading in the odds for the job, according to Polymarket.
Butch ๐น retweeted
๐ U.S. M2 Money Supply Growth Reaches 4.6% in December 2025
U.S. M2 money supply grew 4.6% year over year in December 2025, reaching a new all-time high of $22.4 trillion. Month-over-month growth came in at 0.4%, lifting the annual growth rate from 4.3% in November to 4.6% in December. While M2 continues to expand, the moderation in momentum points to a gradual normalization of liquidity growth following the post-pandemic tightening cycle.
#USA #FED #USDollar #economy #liquidity #money #BroadMoney #MoneySupply #stocks #SPX #gold #bitcoin #investing




































