If you had told people about LLMs a few years ago, they would probably have predicted a knowledge explosion because they make learning much easier, but just with the Internet and free online courses before, what they show is that the main problem was always demand and not supply.

I have long been saying that Terry Tao makes me doubt the existence of general intelligence

Inverse correlation between employee cost and productivity:

It’s cowardly and disgusting because the axis on which the neurotypical heterosexual man’s intelligence turns is “how do I not give the ick”. So any wannabe trad can be homophobic, racist, MAGA, whatever, but ultimately he is inclined to remain a feminist in public conduct. Since most "humans" are intellectual worms and cowards, they propagate these convenient falsehoods to their actual beliefs. As a result, dunking on le geys is Safe Chuddy, and gets baked into very serious considerations on TFR. But we know for a fact that the only REAL FACTOR THAT CAN RAISE TFR is: GENDER INEQUALITY, ensuring they women have SYSTEMICALLY LOWER socioeconomic status than their male partners. Accomplishment inflates self-worth; higher self-worth increases optionality; higher optionality raises the perceived opportunity costs of mismanaging one's fertility window and prime years; and all this reduces willingness to commit to any father with his necessarily imperfect genes and earning potential. After all, female attachment, like female everything, is substantially driven by base anxiety; and female anxiety is an architectural invariant, it can't be removed, only reallocated between FOMO and FUD. Poorer, less educated women feel FOMO and want to tie a husband with plentiful progeny. Richer, more educated women consider the FUD of unhappy marriage, missed career steps, the discomfort of pregnancy or messing with infants, or even bullshit like climate change… because there's not much reward to be had, so long as the partner is not a werewolf vampire with Elon Musk characteristics. Add the aforementioned Tinder or OnlyFans incentives that make one's 20s much more fun and rewarding than any trad lifestyle could possibly offer, and that's it, we have like 2-3 generations of runtime in this regime. And we'll make it way more fun to not have children. You bet we will, there's trillions in this gig. Yeah I'm really happy for you that you disagree, wifeguy mutual; godspeed to your power couple. but the chud data is what it is. And what is the realistic solution? Mechanistically, repeal the 19th, deliberately mass-automate majority-female fraudulent-status jobs like HR (yes it's disproportionately bullshit email daycare jobs, always has been, Claude can do that better), promote hardcore religious orthodoxy like Haredi Judaism (or don't; they'll inherit the Earth by default anyway). …Whatever, this is all absolutely unfeasible, even in autocracies, nevermind in democracies where women can be sure to crush any force making such noises (they'll vote as one + at least half the men will join them). What seems to me to be an unavoidable fact is that: the beginning of the 21st century had been the last time when most humans were reproductively active in the historically normal way. This won't be the norm from now on because the incentives to have children are just GONE for too large a share of the population, and the non-rewarded customs are dead too, thanks to atomization, secular mores and generational change. You can thrash and lash out and maybe kill some gays or trannies or immigrants if you feel like it, you can even ban abortions, but all that is looking for keys under a lamppost. You can't just cancel the collapse of human reproductive mechanics. You don't have a way back, and you'll have to come up with a new way out. Well, ultimately this will be self-correcting, whether you find any solution or not. Say, Elon can and will have a billion children if he's one of like 8 men still making money in the post-ASI world. The Haredim, if they secure permanent subsidies from SSI Inc., will keep going through their scripted rites and delivering 6-10 children per woman in praise of G-d. The Chinese billionaire surrogate fan dude can also scale up his industrial acquisition of American wombs. There'll be some mix of such things. It's just that this WEIRD and gay civilization will die out, irrespective of how sexually straight its last years have been. You're welcome.

i just think mathematicians need to read Hardy again. ultimately nobody should really care AIs can do (pure) math. nonesense.substack.com/p/mat…