Eric Chalmers ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿœ๏ธ (@EricChalms) header
Eric Chalmers ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿœ๏ธ (@EricChalms) profile picture

"Definitely solid". Political strategist. Tempe raised and PHX resident. Opinions my own.

Phoenix, AZ
Joined September 2012
This is a really important point. The anti-democracy extremism weโ€™re dealing with today was nurtured by a choice to put winning / political expediency over principles.
Which included Ducey being the angel investor in making Wendy Rogers a thing. He got the business community to spend for her despite everything she has done and said and is. Lots of revisionism happening here.
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Eric Chalmers ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿœ๏ธ retweeted
Thank you to @NortonforAZ for running a spirited campaign. From day one of this campaign, I promised to be a Treasurer who will keep politics out of the office, make every dollar work harder for Arizona families, and commit to funding educationโ€ฆ and that is exactly what Iโ€™m going to do. To everyone who supported this campaign, and even to those who did not: know that Iโ€™ll be a Treasurer for all Arizonans. To our volunteers, endorsers, donors, and especially to my family, thank you for believing in and supporting this effort from day oneโ€ฆ Arizona, it will be an honor to serve you, and this is a duty I take very seriously. Now letโ€™s get to work.
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Eric Chalmers ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿœ๏ธ retweeted
Ahhh like clockwork. The grifters and snake oil salesmen canโ€™t pass up an opportunity. They posted this at 5:52 AM. At 7:00 AM they posted that the site opened at 6 AM. She saw both of those but at 8:44 AM she decided to fish for dummies (and was successful).
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MARICOPA COUNTY - ELECTION DAY as of 8:00 AM Republicans have a 20.87% advantage over Democrats! ๐Ÿ”ดREP: 8,402 (44.57%) ๐Ÿ”ตDEM: 4,467 (23.69%) ๐ŸŸกOther: 5,984 (31.74%) Total so far: 18,853โ€จโ€จREPs increased their Election Day margin by 1,861 in this drop
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Eric Chalmers ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿœ๏ธ retweeted
All 254 Vote Centers across Maricopa County were open on time at 6:00 am.
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Eric Chalmers ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿœ๏ธ retweeted
With all the attention early vote is getting in AZ, it's time to set some benchmarks. There's a well established, directional pattern showing how well Democratic candidates perform relative to the registration margin on ballots in Maricopa County that differs by counting group ๐Ÿงต
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Eric Chalmers ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿœ๏ธ retweeted
Auto reply from Stevensโ€™ comms director: โ€œHello, as of November 1st I am no longer with the Office of Congresswoman Haley Stevens.โ€
New: Haley Stevenโ€™s official staff including her longtime chief are resigning from her office this morning, per spox.
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Eric Chalmers ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿœ๏ธ retweeted
Posts like this are not accounting for the fact that 75k of the gop early vote in az are people who voted or dropped off a late early on eday. The โ€œpaceโ€ referenced in the post is assuming those 75k votes are still to come. They are not. To be fair itโ€™s good for the gop theyโ€™ve effectively convinced a big chunk of voters who they scared away from early vote in 20, 22 & 24 to revert to voting early. It helps them narrow their gop universe. But when they do these day by day comps they should be accounting for that change. They are not. 30k of the 35k swing they are talking about comes from vote timing change. Among people who didnโ€™t vote in 22, dems are winning all the 0/3 1/3 and 2/3 groups. None of this matters though if Dems donโ€™t vote this weekend and on eday.
Arizona Update
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Eric Chalmers ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿœ๏ธ retweeted
It seems that the fraud committed by these sham Green Party candidates in AZ is part of a larger plan. For example, Merissa Hamilton's PAC is paying Merissa Hamilton's company to text me & other dems trying to tie @elonmusk to Hobbs and saying Lombardo is for social justice and the environment. Come on. Worth noting: I got one from them this a.m., but I voted over ten days ago. But why clean your org's target list if your business makes more money texting to as many people as possible? azmirror.com/2026/10/30/consโ€ฆ
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Eric Chalmers ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿœ๏ธ retweeted
Letโ€™s talk Prop 144.
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Eric Chalmers ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿœ๏ธ retweeted
In the last 3 days, ~423,000 votes were added to the return file. Since 10/27, the return rate lead for Dems has grown for lower propensity voters: 0x4: +2.4 | +0.1 to +2.5 1x4: +3.2 | +1.4 to +4.6 2x4: +3.3 | +0.7 to +4.0 3x4: +2.9 | +2.7 to +5.6 4x4: +0.5 | +6.2 to +6.7
Replying to @Data_Orbital
Nearly one in eight early returns comes from voters who participated in zero or one of the last four general elections: 192,363 ballots. Among 4/4 voters, 68.4% of issued ballots are back; among 0/4 voters, 19.0% are back. Turnout and voting history:
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The Pope votes by mail. Therefore, it is right and just to vote no on Prop 144 to protect voting by mail for all Arizonans. And Catholic to Catholic here, if you vote "yes", prepare for a lifetime filled with inescapable Catholic guilt.
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Eric Chalmers ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿœ๏ธ retweeted
PRESS RELEASE: Arizona voters are encouraged to check the final status of their ballot and cure any issues before 5:00 p.m. on Sunday, November 8, 2026
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Eric Chalmers ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿœ๏ธ retweeted
Whatโ€™s driving the Democratic edge? @prbentz says Independents. โ€œRepublicans have not given them a lot of reasons to vote for them.โ€ From affordability to international conflicts and the presidentโ€™s rhetoric, Bentz says independents are rejecting the GOP. ๐Ÿ”— @abc15 abc15.com/news/local-news/arโ€ฆ
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Eric Chalmers ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿœ๏ธ retweeted
If you're scouring early vote returns in Arizona to determine who will win, don't. Eight reasons the first 1.1M ballots donโ€™t tell us much about the outcome: 1) Since 2016, Democratic candidates at the top of the ticket have outperformed the registration margin on ballots cast.
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Eric Chalmers ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿœ๏ธ retweeted
Arizona, today is the last day to return your ballot by mail! Make sure you make a plan to vote, and don't forget to Pick Nick! Learn more at Arizona.Vote
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Eric Chalmers ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿœ๏ธ retweeted
Iโ€™m honored to have the support of the people who know this job best. Multiple current and former County and State Treasurers and a former Chief Investment Officer for Arizona support my campaign and the leadership I'll bring to the office. Read the full letter:
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Eric Chalmers ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿœ๏ธ retweeted
After successful mediation efforts, Recorder Heap will reinstate the voting status of citizens at issue in this case. It should not have taken litigation to make Justin Heap follow the law โ€” that is his duty and the duty of all election officials.
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