doing stuff @fairgambling

Joined September 2026
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I hope whoever stole my amazon package was also planning on being Jelitics for halloween
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CS:GO gambling is honestly the foundation of what we're standing on today. It's pretty neat that it's still around, even though the alternatives are far better. It's probably nostalgia that keeps people coming back to these sites, where they'll happily open skin cases with a 10% house edge, and eat fat fees on the withdrawals. Only real ones know what it was like, you just had to be there. So many peak moments you will never forget. It was just a bunch of 13-15 year olds illegally gambling because they watched a YouTuber play there. Gambling obviously existed long before this, but ask anyone playing on a crypto casino where they started, and there's a good chance the answer is CS:GO coinflips or jackpot back in 2016.
Ever wanted to know what it was like to launch and grow a business over a 10 year period in the CS industry? Now you can
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Super interesting read here. For a long time I've been curious about the black box of stolen money and laundering behind North Korea. From 2021 to 2025, North Korea's economy grew from about $28B to $34B, according to South Korea's central bank. Over that same stretch, DPRK hackers stole more than $6.5B in crypto. Which effectively means cybercrime is their most successful industry. In 2025 alone they took $2.02B, equal to about 6% of the country's total income. And in 2022, they stole $1.7B in crypto while North Korea's entire foreign trade was only $1.59B. A lot of these hacks come from long-term social engineering schemes, and this is the perfect reversal of that. For once someone social engineered them, and we get to see the inside of their operation. Never imagined the people laundering hundreds of millions a year were just chilling on telegram talking about fat-burning meals and American coffee. Hopefully more to come from this, it's one of the biggest negative effects of being in this space.
1/ How I infiltrated a Chinese organized crime syndicate that has laundered $1B+ across multiple exploits for Lazarus Group. Posing as a client, I gathered intel that helped action freezes for the Feb 2025 Bybit exploit and attribute illicit activity onchain.
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If you're interested in GambleFi, you should already know about ethereum:0x8881562783028f5c1bcb985d2283d5e170d88888 The price went from $0.39 to a peak of $0.72 in about 10 hours on Sep 27. On-chain, roughly ~$4.48M in buys vs ~$3.37M in sells since then, about $1.1M net in. The biggest buyer withdrew $2.2M USDC from Binance and ran it through a Definitive TWAP vault. It bought ~$1.5k of SHFL every 24 seconds for 19 hours straight, ~$1.98M total, and consolidated 3.24M SHFL into one wallet. Separately, well-known trader izebel.eth used two wallets to buy $438k and deposited all 1M SHFL straight into Shuffle. Staked SHFL unlocks after Friday's lottery draw, and over the last 12 weeks about 69% of what gets withdrawn that weekend was sold on-chain within 72 hours. If I had to guess I'd say it will be a fist fight for sellers come Friday.
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Duelbits co-founder Joe says the hot wallet drain totaled around ~$7M. On-chain, we can see roughly ~$4.9M in outflows from the wallets. Between 09:27 and 12:55 UTC, the hacker consolidated most of the funds into one wallet (0x8db9d7f0a03d212c566ca80c66e294cecc20c306). It makes me wonder whether the recent leaks played a part. Duelbits had sensitive corporate information exposed, including ID and passport leaks in their Curaçao folder. It's not out of the question that someone used that to social engineer their way to the private keys.
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Noah Dummett is my gambling hero In light of all the casino leaks, it’s easy to forget how important transparency is. It’s so much better to have a name and face behind the product you’re using This guy is never in any drama, he just wants to build (true grinder). Shuffle is definitely one of the best products on the market, I’d say top 3 To top it all off he is a handsome and charismatic guy Noah please give me the Shuffle cigarettes and loss back
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TLDR: The cards dealt after splits and doubles come out at exactly 1/52, same as every other card or hand played. For context, every bet gets its own card sequence, built with HMAC-SHA256 from your active client seed, the server seed, and that bet's nonce. Because it functions as a continuous, infinite deck, cards can repeat without limit. We used Duel's published card generator and simulated 20 million hands under Duel's published rules. The result was a uniform distribution across all 52 cards, with every deviation falling inside normal sampling error, including the cards dealt after splits and double downs. Whether you play perfectly or imperfectly makes no difference, your next 50 cards are already determined the moment the game is active. That is what stops a casino from rigging these games, the sequence of the deck is locked in before it has any idea what you will do with it. There is nothing stopping you from hitting 18 against a 6. If a card ever came from outside that sequence, you could prove it by replaying your own seed.
Blackjack Players: We Need a Split & Double Audit @fairgambling Can you check this? Casinos often advertise 99.4%–100% RTP for House blackjack when played with perfect basic strategy. But has anyone independently audited the cards dealt after Split and Double decisions? These probabilities should be the same whether the card is dealt on a normal hit, after a Split, or after a Double Down. The question is simple: Do Stake, Duel, and other provably fair casinos actually match these expected probabilities on Split and Double cards? This is easy to verify with a large dataset of provably fair hands. We need an independent audit of: • Split A-A • Split 8-8 • Double on 11 • Double on 10 and Soft 18 If the distribution of cards after these decisions differs from the expected probabilities, players deserve transparency. Let’s audit the data, not the marketing. If a casino claims 100% RTP, the Split and Double distributions should stand up to statistical scrutiny over thousands of hands. Even the smallest statistical deviations can translate into millions in profit for a casino
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FACT: In 2022 Roobet was sold to a Chinese syndicate and now 38% of their employees use ancient Chinese techniques to steal player RTP
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I’m back touting our AVG Sports Edge is still the second to best in the industry. Do with that what you will.
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