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Fantasy Points Data retweeted
Offenses by EPA/Play [2026]
+ @FantasyPtsData
Texans
w/ Nico Collins (0.192) [2nd-best]
w/out Collins (-0.108) [26th]
Raiders
w/ Brock Bowers (0.068) [9th-best]
w/out Bowers (-0.075) [22nd]
49ers
w/ Mike Evans (0.349) [best]
w/out Evans (0.010) [12th-best]
Vikings
w/ Justin Jefferson (-0.064 EPA/Play) [22nd-best]
w/out Jefferson (-0.200) [31st]
Fantasy Points Data retweeted
QB Deep Throw Accuracy (20+ Yards)
Data: @FantasyPtsData
Fantasy Points Data retweeted
Pressure % Faced vs. Off-Target Throws
(Weeks 1 - 6, min. 90 dropbacks)
Data: @FantasyPtsData
Which QBs have the shortest aDOT on 3rd-and-long or 4th-and-long (8+ yards to go)?
- AKA, who is playing way too conservatively?
1. Kyler Murray: 3.86 Yards
2. Bo Nix: 4.90 Yards
3. Cam Ward: 5.48 Yards
4. Jacoby Brissett: 6.63 Yards
5. Drake Maye: 6.87 Yards
Metrics per @FantasyPtsData
Fantasy Points Data retweeted
Rushing Yards Over Expectation
Data: @FantasyPtsData
Fantasy Points Data retweeted
Only two wide receivers have more than three HERO catches, per @FantasyPtsData (high-difficulty downfield reception through traffic, tight coverage, or near boundary):
DeVonta Smith (4)
Devaughn Vele (5)
Fantasy Points Data retweeted
YPRR against Man vs. Zone
Data: @FantasyPtsData, min. 140 routes
Fantasy Points Data retweeted
Most receiving yards in the last 3 weeks:
398 - Malik Nabers
343 - Puka Nacua
312 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba
283 - Mike Evans
278 - Tetairoa McMillan
278 - George Pickens 📈
(@FantasyPtsData)
Fantasy Points Data retweeted
Explosive rush rate (10+ yard runs) vs. missed tackles forced per attempt through Week 6, per @FantasyPtsData
Which RBs are both making defenders miss and breaking off chunk runs consistently?
+ Walker 👑
+ Gibbs, Cook 🚀
+ Braelon 👀
+ Jeanty, Dobbins 📉
Here are the updated Strength-of-Schedule Matchup Grids for the rest of the season! (per @FantasyPtsData)
I have included the playoff schedules (Weeks 15-17) for each team as well
- The listing of whether a team's schedule got easier or harder is based on how much this data changed compared to last week
I feel like every DeVonta Smith owner is wondering the same thing after Week 6: Sell high or hold and ride the Tanner McKee wave?
- McKee threw for 215 passing yards in Week 6 (Jalen Hurts averaged 186.6 in his 5 starts)
Here is how Smith performed in Week 6 (per @FantasyPtsData):
- 26.7% Target Share
- 2.21 YPRR
- 173 Air Yards 👀
- 35.3% First-Read Target Share 💪
- 20.6 XFP
- 20.5 Fantasy Points
My main concern was that the vast majority of his production came in the 4th quarter
- 16.3 of his 20.5 Fantasy Points (79.5%)
That is likely a combination of game script (being behind 12 points early in the 4th quarter) and McKee getting a little more comfortable 🤞
- Smith ran 44.1% of his routes in the 4th quarter alone, where McKee fed him a perfect 7-for-7 catchable targets
One reason I am bullish on Smith ROS is how dominant he has been in a WR1 role
If we just break things down to raw, non-gimmicky standard passing plays (no trick looks, screens, checkdowns, or scramble drills), here is how he ranks:
- 38.6% Target Share (WR2)
- 3.83 YPRR (WR4)
- 0.42 TPRR (WR3)
- 39.7% First Read Share (WR4)
- 0.90 FP/RR (WR3)
It's no surprise that Smith is clearly the most talented WR on the team and is getting fed as such
And is my favorite "advanced stat" for him. What if we look at these non-gimmicky plays a little closer?
In terms of his team share rate of separation wins on these plays?
- AKA the percentage of route wins he has amongst the team
DeVonta Smith ranks 1st in the league with a 54.5% route win share
- Meaning, he has the highest percentage of route wins relative to the rest of his team
This is a long-winded approach with a lot of data just to tell you that I've decided I am bullish on DeVonta Smith ROS
- Don't fail me Tanner McKee
Fantasy Points Data retweeted
If we remove Non-Gimmicky Plays (tricks, checkdowns, screens, scramble drills), DeVonta Smith has the highest team share of route wins among all WRs! 👑
@FantasyPtsData
Fantasy Points Data retweeted
Week 7 high-profile WR/CB matchups (shoutout @FantasyPtsData ):
Not expecting a shadow matchup based on this season's cornerback deployment:
-CeeDee Lamb vs. Quinyon Mitchell
-Justin Jefferson vs. Ahmad Gardner
-Malik Nabers vs. Derek Stingley
-DeVonta Smith vs. Joey Porter Jr.
-Carnell Tate vs. Denzel Ward
Expecting a shadow at least on the outside:
-Zay Flowers vs. DJ Turner
-Michael Wilson vs. Pat Surtain (if active)
-Rome Odunze vs. Christian Gonzalez (bit of a toss-up, but Burden spends far more time in the slot)
Fantasy Points Data retweeted
QBs: Deep Ball Rate (20+ Yards) vs. how often are those passes accurate:
• Mahomes / Burrow / Purdy all pick their spots wisely, on the money when they do
• Cam Ward is definitely one of the players on this chart
• Bryce Young & CJ Stroud 🎯
Fantasy Points Data retweeted
QB Adjusted net yards per attempt (ANY/A) and completion % over expected (CPOE) through Week 6, per @FantasyPtsData.
Which QBs have been both efficient and accurate this year?
+ Maye, Stroud📈
+ Nix, Watson📉
Fantasy Points Data retweeted
Jaylon Johnson as the primary coverage:
- 448 receiving yards allowed
- 28 targets
- 20 Receptions (71.4%)
- 16 yards per target
Week 7 Bears vs New England: 50.5 O/U
This is an AJ Brown, Kyle Williams, & Efton Chism post.
@FantasyPtsData
Fantasy Points Data retweeted
"Separation" isn't really a thing for most tight ends.
Brock Bowers is a different beast entirely.
Lookie who Brock Bowers ranks almost identically to in route win rate and average separation score in 2026 👀
(Source: @FantasyPtsData charts every route run)
Fantasy Points Data retweeted
Lookie who Brock Bowers ranks almost identically to in route win rate and average separation score in 2026 👀
(Source: @FantasyPtsData charts every route run)






























