Following O&G companies & gold. Largest holdings #AXL, $THX.V, $APM.V, $SOMA, #PTAL

Joined January 2022
🛢️ Niklas 🛢️ retweeted
#AXL $AXL.V @corp_arrow #oil $oil So, a summation of the remarkable progress Arrow is making. Production really growing nicely. The first flush on Mateguafa and Icaco is really strong and the long tail of steady production and slower declines is getting fatter and longer. 10 000 boepd target is not a million miles away now. Production of 6500 boepd. Latest two wells added 726 boepd. September 1st, production was 6000 boepd. So only 226 boepd declines in the last 6 weeks. Implies declines are lower than previously. Latest well results. The key here is to look how thick the formations are across the C7, Gacheta, Guadalupe and Ubaque. Across Icaco 7 and 8, about 70 feet of net pay. Ubaque thick and slow production but a big pool of oil. C7, thinner but produces prolifically. C7 thick enough for them to drill Icaco-9 horizontally. On this well they have 950 feet of horizontal oil pay....as long as there are not too may water ingress issues, this could be quite some producer. Cash has grown $6.2m in one month....awesome! More firepower for more acquisitions.
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If we see $125 by Christmas Arrow Exploration $AXL.V will be making: 6500 bpd x ~$80 netbacks x 365: $189M netbacks a year. The stock is right now worth $153M. Everything comes down to the Tapir extension now.
Brent hits new high! $125 by Christmas.🥰
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Imagine having a stock that's finally delivering on all fronts; stellar drilling, M&A, license extension on it's way, new ATH production at 6.500bpd, extremely low break even at $40-50! All of this while Brent is $110. Bonkers! (40% of my PF is in $axl.v, so don't trust me)
#AXL @corp_arrow Absolutely superb set of numbers from Arrow Exploration today. Remarkable. Going to crack through 40p today. 7 bagger in 5 years. 62.5p will be the ten bagger. Management,assets and commodity prices all coming together.londonstockexchange.com/news…
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🛢️ Niklas 🛢️ retweeted
#ECO is delighted to share that the appeals relating to the Environmental Authorisation (EA) for Block 3B/4B, offshore South Africa, have been dismissed by the Honourable Minister of Forestry, Fisheries and the Environment, David Maynier, with our Environmental Authorisation upheld. This is a major step forward for Eco and our partners as we progress towards drilling. Read more about this important development here: aecweek.com/news/eco-atlanti…
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Why are old steam locomotives so darn awesome? Took a trip with one today. The smell, feeling.. everything is just amazing. .. Breathing the smoke one realizes why people died maturely in the old days though..
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Considering moving some funds to be able to buy starting positions in #BOR, $SEI.V and buying more $eog.v All being +/-0% YTD but with prime acreage and possibilities ahead of them All of them very dependent on mgmt decisions, so do read up on their leadership before investing
#BOR The Atlantic Margins continue to attract partners and capital, no matter how loud the bluster from Argentina. What a remarkable capital raise at a 40% premium to the current share price!....ultra high net worth Middle Eastern investor. “I am delighted to welcome a new investor to the share register. The ultra-high-net-worth Middle Eastern investor is an exceptionally well-connected and experienced investor, with a long history of deploying strategic capital across a range of industries, including in this sector. His investment represents a strong addition to our shareholder base as we continue to progress the farm-out process. As background, we have been talking to this investor for several months. In spite of the geopolitical backdrop, he has offered us £2 million at a 30% premium to the 10-day VWAP and an approximate 42% premium to Friday’s closing share price. The Fundraise means that we are now fully funded until mid 2028 and represents a very modest 1.9% dilution for existing shareholders. We remain completely focused on delivering the best deal possible for all shareholders, and today’s announcement further strengthens our position as we work towards concluding the farm-out process. Our confidence in delivering an excellent result for shareholders remains undiminished.” londonstockexchange.com/news…
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🛢️ Niklas 🛢️ retweeted
Just a reminder that Petrotal is drilling again and the next two wells are top locations. What does that mean, well go back and search historical drill results and you will see that many wells had initial flow rates of 6-8k bopd. $TAL.TO production will jump back to 15-20k bopd
PetroTal is currently preparing to drill well 11H in early May with a late June or early July completion. Next to 8H well that had initial flow of 8500bopd. At 60-65$ netback 10H can have pay-back time of ~30days. #PTAL $TAL.V
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Another stunner update by $VLE 👑 1/3 of MC in (almost purely unrestricted) cash 👑 👑 Keeps nailing their wells and pushing decom for fields; 22.1kbpd no hedge, no debt 👑 👑 O&G fields. New development at Wassana to commence before YE26 👑 👑 Trust in Sean 👑
#Valeura Energy Q3 2026 ops update: production of 22.1 mbbls/d is on plan, price realisations US$97.4/bbl, cash increased to US$385 million with no debt. $VLE $VLERF #oil #Thailand valeuraenergy.com/q3-2026-op…
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"Bla bla bla.. bla bla bla.." - Marshall Abbott 2026 Jokes aside - Marshall is repeating himself again and again - why? Because the blocks Arrow operate are so alike and thus are so fruitful. The only thing we need rn is staying above 6kbp and getting the extension. $axl.v
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Uh oh - more and more are dropping out of PMs here on twitter - so is it time to start loading up anew? Haven't sold anything yet, but I'm daily considering selling oil to buy PMs.
Got rid of all my precious metals miners today... this is just horrible px action.
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🛢️ Niklas 🛢️ retweeted
Replying to @corp_arrow
@corp_arrow #AXL $AXL.V #OIL $OIL As promised and better late than never! Summation of analyst lunch last week and presentation attached for reference. Quite long but covers the key info. arrowexploration.ca/wp-conte… Key takeaways The basics, Producing 6000 bopd (growing) Sitting on $22m of cash (growing) 21m boe 2P reserves (growing) No debt, net backs over $60 at $100 brent. 1/. License extension: They have a fresh application in having spent much time in working groups with Ecopetrol. Ecopetrol have told them they do not want the block. They have not applied for a 5 year or 10 year extension but an extension for the ‘economic life’ of the field (i.e. way beyond ten years) . It will come with capex requirements and an increased royalty. It is working its way through three departments before sign off by the newly appointed CEO of Ecopetrol (friend of the newly elected oil and gas/mining friendly President). Probably will slip into Q1 2027 due to the month long Xmas break in Colombia. Significance:- and this is where it gets really interesting! See slide 5 and slide 7 of the presentation. Reserve valuation. Reserve valuation and what category the reserves fall into (1P, 2P, 3P etc.) is directly related to how long the license lasts. Present NAV assuming License ends in Feb. 2028 is $.67 A 5 year extension moves the NAV per share to $1.43 A 10 year extension moves that NAV per share to $2.56. So, what NAV per share will a ‘life of field’ generate?...Basically a lot higher. On a side note, one analyst question on just how big Icaco is (no doubt to work into future models)…brought an answer of a rough estimate of 100m BOE of oil in place just for Icaco. On the recovery percentages below, that is a lot of dollars. 2/. Operations: Icaco has plenty of running room, probably drilling there through to the end of H1 2027. More to drill at Mategufa, Alberta Lianos, RCE and Carrizales Norte. Multiple reservoirs to develop in each field plus recompletions in existing wells in sands still behind the pipe. Oxbow, Macoya, Capullo Sur and Capullo all to get exploration wells. Oxbow and Carrizales Norte have stratigraphic potential (potentially a lot more oil) Well ranking:- No1. Is C7 in the Icaco. Out performing all expectations. No hedging, driving capex and opex costs down. Payback on wells less than 6 months, latest Icaco wells in 2 months. Competitive fiscal regime. New President who is wanting to grow Oil and gas production. Recoveries: better than initially guided. For instance, on RCE (first discovered and developed field) recoveries have moved from 25% to 35%-40%. Driven by the strong aquifers and good stewardship. They expect to produce similar numbers on the Mateguafa and Icaco fields. 3/. Thorsby acquisition: Cretaceous sandstone. Prolific. 20 000 acres, heavy oil 13 API, multi stage frac. 3 wells per pad. C$2m per well, 500 plus bopd initial production. 200m boe in place , less than 3% recovered so far. Economics not as robust as Colombia but still very commercial. Will drill out step by step, within Thorsby cashflow. Three wells per annum roughly, starting in January. See what happens after first wells. Gas on the field easily identified by seismics and avoidable. Small gas caps. The engineer they are using has drilled 600 wells in this area. Less than 6 months pay back at present oil prices. 4/. M&A: looked at 62 opportunities in the past 18 months before making the Thorsby acquisition. Plenty of cash and the loan facility untouched so far. Oso pardo: Would love to extend the acreage and drill the shallow structures. Conoco Philips and Canacol were awarded the shallows as compensation for the frac moratorium on the deep rights. Arrow trying to farm into those shallow assets. Capella: 500m boe in place but heavy. 30m anticline, 10.5 API. They own 10%. It was flowing at 2500 bopd. In discussions to buy the asset, a potential target. “Cultural differences” between the locals and Chinese, they are looking to exit. New blocks: See slide 15. Check out the black lines trending SW to NE. These are fault lines. They run strongly south of the Tapir block and no one owns them. Bidding process opening up in coming weeks. They will bid.
#AXL $AXL.V @corp_arrow joined the analysts lunch with Arrow today. Company in fine fettle, so much more to come here. The valuation upside once the license extension comes is multiples of the present price. It is in process, new feet under the desks in Colombo following elections but management quietly confident it is coming. More to come once digested presentation
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The former Minister of Energy herald the worst winter in 4 years.. after spending his whole carreer pushing the premature outphasing of reliable fossil energy. .. So now we just have a shitton of windmills and solar that cant keep us warm. Terrific.. bt.dk/udland/daarligt-nyt-da…?
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Robin often has a nose for finding good things. I've enjoyed huge upside fromt his already, but looking forward to these next months with $AXL.V and their license getting decided.
#AXL $AXL.V @corp_arrow joined the analysts lunch with Arrow today. Company in fine fettle, so much more to come here. The valuation upside once the license extension comes is multiples of the present price. It is in process, new feet under the desks in Colombo following elections but management quietly confident it is coming. More to come once digested presentation
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Can someone talk me out of selling 1/3 of my $AXL.V (~15% of my PF) and buying the following: $FRED.V 25% $EDM.V 25% $THS.L 25% $TVI.V 12,5% $GLDC.V 12,5% (If someone has a better idea I'm open for suggestions.. but Arrow is growing too big for my PF)
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🛢️ Niklas 🛢️ retweeted
Replying to @corp_arrow
@corp_arrow New Hannam note, raising their valuation. At $70 oil , 63p valuation. Oil over $100 now and has averaged over $90 for the year
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This is exactly what we needed form $AXL.V regarding the reserves. 2.9PDM/6Kbd is on the low side and has been a cause of worry. However with this sublime growing of 2P reserves we have plenty of inventory to draw from. Lots of wells coming within the next year. Exciting!!
Replying to @corp_arrow
@corp_arrow #AXL $AXL.V Excellent set of numbers . Since listing on AIM, Arrow has produced and sold many millions of BOE yet it continues to increase production, grow the bank balance and increase the reserves. Such a long way to go here. londonstockexchange.com/news…
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🛢️ Niklas 🛢️ retweeted
Arrow #AXL “Proved plus Probable (2P) reserves rose 82% to 21.4 MMboe, and Proved plus Probable plus Possible (3P) reserves increased 71% to 34.4 MMboe. The company's current production exceeds 6,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day” investegate.co.uk/announceme…
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I wonder if this is how we'll look back at $CBR.V in a cpl of years
Completely missed this great execution & re-rate from $ARTG.v #Gold #Tenbagger👏👏
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Why is porchetta so divinely delicious?!
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