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GDP Dynamics

@GDPDynamics

Macroeconomic forecasting, models, data & research. Home of the GDP Dynamics Nowcast. Formerly Relearning Economics. https://teapaw.org/t.co/mm0etyN1iE

 New York, USA
GDPDynamics.com
Joined January 2023
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Latest members only weekly update is out for the GDP Dynamics Nowcast. members.gdpdynamics.com/post…
The U.S. Economy Accelerates, but Consumer Momentum Is Beginning to Weaken | GDP Dynamics

The U.S. Economy Accelerates, but Consumer Momentum Is Beginning to Weaken | GDP Dynamics

The U.S. Economy Accelerates, but Consumer Momentum Is Beginning to Weaken by GDP Dynamics on Patreon. Join GDP Dynamics's community for exclusive content and updates.

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The first GDP Dynamics nowcast for Q4 2026 is out. Real GDP growth is projected at just 0.9% annualized. Still early, with much more data to come, see article in the next post below.👇
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GDP Dynamics Opens Q4 2026 With a 0.9% Real GDP Nowcast

GDP Dynamics Opens Q4 2026 With a 0.9% Real GDP Nowcast

The GDP Dynamics model has produced its first in-quarter nowcast for the fourth quarter of 2026, estimating real GDP growth of 0.9% at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR), equivalent to approx...

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Weekly update for members only. Doing a breakdown of of the advanced first estimate of US Real GDP released today by the BEA. See the video link in the next post below.👇
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GDP Dynamics Nowcast Just Nailed the Official GDP Number (VIDEO) | GDP Dynamics

GDP Dynamics Nowcast Just Nailed the Official GDP Number (VIDEO) | GDP Dynamics

GDP Dynamics Nowcast Just Nailed the Official GDP Number (VIDEO) by GDP Dynamics on Patreon. Join GDP Dynamics's community for exclusive content and updates.

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US Real GDP came in strong at 3.4% perfectly in line with the last few GDP Dynamics Nowcast updates.
GDP Dynamics (@GDPDynamics) profile pictureGDP Dynamics
@GDPDynamicsOct 28
The GDP Dynamics Q3 GDP nowcast remains at 3.4% annualized growth ahead of tomorrow's official BEA release. Full breakdown and analysis in the article below.
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GDP Dynamics retweeted
Mr. Keynes (@TyKeynes) profile picture
Mr. Keynes
@TyKeynesOct 28
Despite strength in several areas of the US economy, rising household debt-servicing burdens alongside falling home prices are concerning. I wouldn't call it the straw that breaks the camel's back, but it's a trend worth watching closely in the coming quarters. Next Post Links:
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The GDP Dynamics Q3 GDP nowcast remains at 3.4% annualized growth ahead of tomorrow's official BEA release. Full breakdown and analysis in the article below.
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GDP Dynamics Q3 Nowcast Holds at 3.4% as Advance GDP Release Approaches

GDP Dynamics Q3 Nowcast Holds at 3.4% as Advance GDP Release Approaches

The GDP Dynamics nowcast for third-quarter US real GDP growth remained unchanged at 3.4% annualized on October 28, with no revisions to the estimated contributions from the major expenditure compon...

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🚨 GDP Dynamics Q3 GDP Nowcast Update Our estimate of US real GDP growth has increased from 3.2% to 3.4% SAAR. The BEA releases its advance GDP estimate Thursday. Full analysis and charts in the article below 👇
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GDP Dynamics Q3 Nowcast Rises to 3.4% as Business and Residential Investment Improve

GDP Dynamics Q3 Nowcast Rises to 3.4% as Business and Residential Investment Improve

The GDP Dynamics nowcast for the third quarter of 2026 has increased to 3.4% annualized real GDP growth, up 0.2 percentage points from yesterday's estimate of 3.2%. The latest revision reflects...

gdpdynamics.com
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The GDP Dynamics Q3 GDP nowcast remains unchanged at 3.2% annualized as of October 26. Consumer spending and business investment continue to support growth, while net exports remain a significant drag. Just 3 days until the official GDP release. Full article below 👇
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GDP Dynamics Q3 Nowcast Holds at 3.2% as the Quarter's Final Estimate Approaches

GDP Dynamics Q3 Nowcast Holds at 3.2% as the Quarter's Final Estimate Approaches

The GDP Dynamics nowcast for the third quarter of 2026 remains unchanged at 3.2% annualized as of October 26, equivalent to approximately 0.8% quarter-over-quarter growth. The estimate is identical...

gdpdynamics.com
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Mr. Keynes (@TyKeynes) profile picture
Mr. Keynes
@TyKeynesOct 26
We've launched The Minsky Report @GDPDynamics
GDP Dynamics (@GDPDynamics) profile pictureGDP Dynamics
@GDPDynamicsOct 26
The Minsky Report has been launch at: gdpdynamics.com/minsky A free dashboard is available for all, and a in depth monthly report for paid subscribers at: members.gdpdynamics.com
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The Minsky Report has been launch at: gdpdynamics.com/minsky A free dashboard is available for all, and a in depth monthly report for paid subscribers at: members.gdpdynamics.com
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Mr. Keynes (@TyKeynes) profile picture
Mr. Keynes
@TyKeynesOct 24
Going live in 20 minute with @ProfSteveKeen for a Q&A session. You can participate in the live chat! youtube.com/live/qKRR_DEEmFU…
Is Modern Economics Just Intellectual Masturbation? | LIVE Q&A

Is Modern Economics Just Intellectual Masturbation? | LIVE Q&A

Join Steve Keen and Ty Keynes for a LIVE Q&A where we discuss econo...

youtube.com
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Latest Nowcast Weekly Update for Members only. members.gdpdynamics.com/post…
The American Economy Is Still Growing, but Housing Is Sending a Warning | GDP Dynamics

The American Economy Is Still Growing, but Housing Is Sending a Warning | GDP Dynamics

The American Economy Is Still Growing, but Housing Is Sending a Warning by GDP Dynamics on Patreon. Join GDP Dynamics's community for exclusive content and updates.

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The GDP Dynamics Q3 GDP nowcast holds at 3.2%. The underlying estimate slipped from 3.218% to 3.178%, as consumer spending softened slightly. Business investment remains strong, while net exports drag on growth. Full article in the next post below. 👇
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GDP Dynamics Q3 Nowcast Holds at 3.2% as Consumer Spending Estimate Edges Lower

GDP Dynamics Q3 Nowcast Holds at 3.2% as Consumer Spending Estimate Edges Lower

The GDP Dynamics nowcast for third-quarter U.S. real GDP growth remains at 3.2% on October 23, although the underlying estimate has moved slightly lower following the latest update to the model....

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The GDP Dynamics Q3 GDP Nowcast remains unchanged at 3.2% annualized growth. Business investment continues to contribute positively, while net exports remain a substantial drag on growth. No revisions since October 20. Full article in the post below. 👇
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GDP Dynamics Q3 Nowcast Holds at 3.2% as Investment Offsets Trade Weakness

GDP Dynamics Q3 Nowcast Holds at 3.2% as Investment Offsets Trade Weakness

The GDP Dynamics nowcast for third-quarter U.S. real GDP growth remains unchanged at 3.2% annualized as of October 22, holding steady from its previous update on October 20. The estimate translates...

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