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Macroeconomic forecasting, models, data & research. Home of the GDP Dynamics Nowcast. Formerly Relearning Economics. https://teapaw.org/t.co/mm0etyN1iE

New York, USA
Joined January 2023
The first GDP Dynamics nowcast for Q4 2026 is out. Real GDP growth is projected at just 0.9% annualized. Still early, with much more data to come, see article in the next post below.馃憞
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Weekly update for members only. Doing a breakdown of of the advanced first estimate of US Real GDP released today by the BEA. See the video link in the next post below.馃憞
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The GDP Dynamics Q3 GDP nowcast remains at 3.4% annualized growth ahead of tomorrow's official BEA release. Full breakdown and analysis in the article below.
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馃毃 GDP Dynamics Q3 GDP Nowcast Update Our estimate of US real GDP growth has increased from 3.2% to 3.4% SAAR. The BEA releases its advance GDP estimate Thursday. Full analysis and charts in the article below 馃憞
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The GDP Dynamics Q3 GDP nowcast remains unchanged at 3.2% annualized as of October 26. Consumer spending and business investment continue to support growth, while net exports remain a significant drag. Just 3 days until the official GDP release. Full article below 馃憞
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The Minsky Report has been launch at: gdpdynamics.com/minsky A free dashboard is available for all, and a in depth monthly report for paid subscribers at: members.gdpdynamics.com
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The GDP Dynamics Q3 GDP nowcast holds at 3.2%. The underlying estimate slipped from 3.218% to 3.178%, as consumer spending softened slightly. Business investment remains strong, while net exports drag on growth. Full article in the next post below. 馃憞
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The GDP Dynamics Q3 GDP Nowcast remains unchanged at 3.2% annualized growth. Business investment continues to contribute positively, while net exports remain a substantial drag on growth. No revisions since October 20. Full article in the post below. 馃憞
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The GDP Dynamics Q3 GDP nowcast fell from 3.4% to 3.2% today. Weakening housing starts and building permits knocked 0.2 percentage points off estimated growth, as residential investment continues to struggle. Full article in the next post below. 馃憞
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A new dashboard is coming to GDP Dynamics next week. The dashboard board will be free for everyone at gdpdynamics.com while the monthly in-depth report will be available to paid members at: members.gdpdynamics.com Beta testing is available for Pro & Platinum subscribers.
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