Garrett Herrin (@GarrettHerrin) header
Garrett Herrin (@GarrettHerrin) profile picture

CEO & co-founder @VoteHub

Los Angeles
Joined April 2017
Photo by Garrett Herrin (@GarrettHerrin)Photo by Garrett Herrin (@GarrettHerrin)Photo by Garrett Herrin (@GarrettHerrin)Photo by Garrett Herrin (@GarrettHerrin)Photo by Garrett Herrin (@GarrettHerrin)Photo by Garrett Herrin (@GarrettHerrin)Photo by Garrett Herrin (@GarrettHerrin)Photo by Garrett Herrin (@GarrettHerrin)Photo by Garrett Herrin (@GarrettHerrin)
This is insane! Here is a map of yesterday’s Indiana House results if they were drawn under the attempted Republican gerrymander map from last Fall. Thank you to @Vulst3 for breaking down the data to make this map. The gerrymander could’ve netted us a 9-0 or 8-1 map potentially!
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Garrett Herrin retweeted
You can now draw districts using 2026 election results! 2026 Senate and gubernatorial results for Georgia are now live in @Redistricter, available with a Redistricter Pro subscription. Pictured below: 2024 Pres and 2026 Sen results by GA state House district.
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Garrett Herrin retweeted
Compared to 2024, Ossoff made large gains into the suburbs and rural areas surrounding Atlanta. In 2024, Harris's votes were concentrated to Hispanic and Black, lower income parts of the city. This year, Ossoff expanded heavily into the whiter, more rural parts of the area.
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Garrett Herrin retweeted
its so beautiful
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Garrett Herrin retweeted
The Next NH State House: 🔵 292 DEM 🔴 107 GOP 🟡 1 IND
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Garrett Herrin retweeted
The Hispanic vote is vastly divided by national origin. Just look at Florida’s 50%+ Hispanic precincts by largest origin: Cuban: 🔴 Moody +7.5 South American: 🔵 Nixon +11.9 Mixed or other Hispanic: 🔵 Nixon +23.0 Puerto Rican: 🔵 Nixon +33.1
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Garrett Herrin retweeted
with the benefit of hindsigh, yeah, you could have just taken the small dollar donor map from vote hub to the bank 2 weeks before the election votehub.com/2026/10/24/2026-…
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Garrett Herrin retweeted
Roy Cooper Swing from 2024 🔴 2024: Trump +3.4 🔵 2026: Cooper +23.4 Despite shifting North Carolina by 26.8 points, Cooper DID NOT unilaterally swing precincts. Cooper struggled in Northeast NC-01 and Durham-area NC-04 precincts. Some precincts even shifted to the right.
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Garrett Herrin retweeted
The VoteHub Data Science team had an unreal night! - #1 forecast model by log loss (legacy) - First decision desk to call TX, OH, ME, MI, and NC - First decision desk to call the Senate So proud to work with these people: @juanfwulff @ZacharyDonnini @JordanSchwartz @ElliscbIV
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Garrett Herrin retweeted
I'm sure I am missing plenty of talented folks over there but give @ZacharyDonnini, @ryanjmccomb and @GarrettHerrin over there a follow if you don't follow already!
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Garrett Herrin retweeted
Can't move past last night without saying that the breakout star of this election was the team at @VoteHub
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Garrett Herrin retweeted
As Alaska and Mississippi lean towards Democrats, Democrats are poised to take 56 seats in the Senate.
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Well, Mississippi could upend this math in a significant way for Dems should Colom win. Dems would need to hold their own and win 4 of NC, WI, IA, KS, AK, SC, FL for a filibuster-proof majority in 2028.
One underdiscussed implication of Democrats’ commanding Senate performance tonight: a filibuster-proof majority could be within reach in 2028. Dems would need to hold their own and flip 5 of NC, WI, IA, KS, AK, SC, FL. Tall order, but not impossible in a blue enough environment.
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Squint and you can see the path taking shape, but candidate recruitment will be paramount. Iowa could be an open seat if Grassley retires. Laura Kelly will face calls to run in Kansas. Jeff Jackson in North Carolina. Etc.
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Garrett Herrin retweeted
Democrats have swept the governorships in Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, replicating Barack Obama's 2008 electoral success across the region.
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Garrett Herrin retweeted
Kurt Alme is on track for a 9-point win in the end, meanwhile Bankhead draws about 12% of the vote. A real possibility that her refusal to withdraw from the race will cost Democrats a filibuster-proof majority in 2028. They'll probably need 4 flips now vs 3 if Bodnar had won.
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Garrett Herrin retweeted
Louisiana (Letlow +2) and Mississippi (Colom +?) both have gubernatorial races next year, as does Kentucky. After the GOP’s collapse across the Deep South, Democrats could go 3-0 in an off-year with strong candidates (Presley, Atkins).
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Garrett Herrin retweeted
Mississippi's count could run into the morning, but the signs point to Colom. Late votes here can get bluer, mail is accepted for 5 more business days, and as in Louisiana, Black turnout is expanding the electorate. Colom looks poised to win.
All eyes on Hinds County, MS, where turnout is running high: already 89% of its 2024 vote, vs. ~70% in whiter DeSoto and Rankin. In Louisiana, Black-majority parishes hit 80% of 2024 turnout vs. 71% elsewhere. If Mississippi follows, Colom is favored to win.
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Garrett Herrin retweeted
Suffice it to say Dearborn came out for El-Sayed pretty heavily. One precinct shown but it’s consistent across most of them (2024 result in map, 2024 and 2026 results on the left).
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Garrett Herrin retweeted
🎯
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