
Polling Consultant. Nonresident senior fellow, Fmr Dep Research Dir @crrcgeorgia. Comms @Transparify. Teach @IliaStateUni and @ISET_PI. Tweets, my own views.
Tbilisi
Joined June 2016
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In a new analysis for @ClimateOpinion, I took a look at Google trends data for climate change searches. It shows that even though politicians might not be talking about climate, Americans are searching for information about it. For more, see here: climateopinion.org/even-if-p…
Dustin Gilbreath retweeted
And here the customary shout-out to the Embassy of Iran in Georgia, one of their people in the buslane (further up) while other drivers are patiently waiting, and then aggressively cutting back into line further down.
When asked, he explained that he is not bound by the rules as he's a diplomat.
Totally discourteous to the citizens of Tbilisi.
Dustin Gilbreath retweeted
URGENT: Friends have lost contact with Ilkin Huseynov, contemporary artist and founder of this initiative.
Unidentified individuals arrived at his address on Izzat Nabiyev Street around 4:00 PM. Before leaving the house with them, Ilkin grabbed his keys and signaled his friend to remain silent. His phone has been switched off since 4:00 PM, and it is impossible to reach him. I had sent a message via Facebook Messenger, and a short while ago, I saw a notification stating, "Ilkin Huseynov added a new device to this conversation." It appears his account has been compromised. We are worried about Ilkin. I am not currently in Azerbaijan; please inform his lawyer if he has one. This is the only information I have.
Replying to @cavidaga
Activists started a website, where you can join as a teacher or a tutor and offer hijabi girls free education in your own field. qoymektebegetsin.netlify.app…
Dustin Gilbreath retweeted
It happened. Azerbaijan's ruling party YAP (New Azerbaijan Party) — AKA Aliyev himself, publicly scolded its closest foreign sister party AK Parti of Turkey. I gathered the most interesting parts for you:
1. The admission that this has been going on for a while: NAP says it had long watched what it calls biased and slanderous coverage of Azerbaijan in Turkish media, including outlets close to the AKP, and stayed quiet out of respect for the partnership. What broke the silence was that Erdoğan's chief adviser Oktay Saral and AKP MPs joined in.
2. In the statement, Israel comes first, not the hijab: The statement leads by rejecting what it calls deliberate distortion of Azerbaijan–Israel relations, then lists Palestinian credentials, down to the claim that Palestine's embassy in Baku is funded by the Azerbaijani state. It explains the Turkish criticism earlier, which was bundled the two: hijab ban plus Israel ties equals "Baku is anti-Islamic." Aliyev clearly sees Israel as the more dangerous charge.
3. Aliyev takes a jab at Erdoğan's leadership of the Muslim world: It says no state in the Islamic world has the right to dictate to other Muslim peoples, interfere in their affairs, or see itself as superior, and that claims to serve Muslim unity must be shown through equal cooperation rather than hegemonic tendencies. Without naming him, that's aimed squarely at Erdoğan's self-image.
4. Anti-colonial rhetoric, against Turkey! The Azerbaijani people, it says, have always opposed imperialism, colonialism and neocolonial approaches.
5. The ruling party effectively confirms what Decision 309 is about: The decision never mentions the hijab. But here Aliyev, responding to criticism of the hijab ban, defends the education rules as based on equality and secularism, and warns against using "sensitive issues such as the headscarf" for political manipulation.
6. Aliyev throws Turkey's own history back at it: It notes that secularism is also in Turkey's constitution, and that Turkey's own religious-secular debates deepen polarisation there, a pointed reminder that the AKP's whole political rise was built on lifting Turkey's headscarf ban.
7. Aliyev insists the emphasis is on two independent states, and that the formula "one nation, two states" gives neither the right to interfere in the other's internal affairs or impose its ideological approaches. Coming from the party of Heydar Aliyev, who coined it, that's a notable redefinition by his son.
8. Most ironic thing is the statement claims freedom of religion is constitutionally guaranteed and that the state treats all religions equally, while in reality, no religion can exist without approval from The State Committee on Affairs with Religious Associations, just like in Soviet Union.
Dustin Gilbreath retweeted
From October 16, the Georgian Museum of Fine Arts (opposite parliament) will present a personal exhibition of Oleg Timchenko.
“Homeless”/Usakhlkaro — so is dedicated to Georgia's community dogs, that often have great people caring for them, but sometimes are also overlooked.
Timchenko created these portraits over the last two years, mainly around Tbilisi and Batumi. Until the end of October.
Dustin Gilbreath retweeted
The lawsuit requesting the ban of most Georgian opposition parties has been referred to the Plenum of the Constitutional Court for consideration.
Dustin Gilbreath retweeted
First finding: all clips we tested raised Burnham’s NET favorables by a lot, essentially doubling them.
But the public control/ownership themes in particular really smashed it. This is, once again, Burnham’s best performing bit imo. See it consistently in qual and quant.
Dustin Gilbreath retweeted
NEW: With the first proper day of Labour conference upon us, here are a few random interesting things i've noticed in @Persuasion_UK polling recently.
Featuring: the Andy Burnham vibe emporium, north vs south and the cost of living blame game.
Dustin Gilbreath retweeted
I remember Richard saying this at least 15 years ago: “The conclusion is that there is no conclusion.”
I never forgot it. He saw life and history as a dynamic process, always moving and changing.
It feels especially meaningful today. Rest in peace, Richard.
I have known Richard Giragosian since at least 2006. We shared countless panels and argued in cafés about Turkey- Armenia-Azerbaijan issues across Western Europe, Turkey, Armenia and Georgia throughout my 30s and 40s.
Yet somehow, the only photos I could find of us together are from webinars. We were always too busy debating ideas to take photos. And perhaps, given our backgrounds, we were both a little guarded.
We had many divergences, but we kept coming back to each other. There was always a baseline of mutual understanding, and seemingly an assumption that the other would always be there — and always be relevant.
I am so sad that Richard died in Istanbul today. I always assumed he would be there, and that we would continue the dialectic. His absence leaves a huge void in the small world we shared for more than two decades. It also leaves a personal gap in my own history.
Rest in peace, Richard. To borrow one of your classic lines at the end of a panel: the conclusion is that there is no conclusion.
@Richard_RSC
Dustin Gilbreath retweeted
NEW: How did the summer heatwaves and wildfires change UK attitudes to climate and Net Zero, if at all?
A short thread on analysis of tracker polling now summer is winding down. 🧵 (with @YouGov for @Persuasion_UK)
Dustin Gilbreath retweeted
so. we keep getting pitches that randomista aid isn't the way to go.
anyone want to write a defense of the randomistas for @indevmag?
If you happen to be in Tbilisi Friday, great event at Vino Underground, launching two new Svia beers, made with a some awesome local ingredients and wild yeasts!
Paul is also an experienced and award winning brewer who will speak a bit about the beers and brewing more generally
Well, this is a publish or perish strategy…
This University of Chicago business school professor has authored 258 academic papers in 2026 (so far).
statmodeling.stat.columbia.e…
Dustin Gilbreath retweeted
There now follows a party election broadcast by the Count Binface Party, And if I do say so myself, it's a banger. #VoteBinface #Clacton
Dustin Gilbreath retweeted
Here it is. My manifesto for the 2026 Clacton By-Election. It's a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. Join me, clean up Clacton and let's make 13th August Bin Day! #VoteBinface #VoteyMcVoteface #YesWeTinCan
Dustin Gilbreath retweeted
Georgian police have arrested at least nine people during a demonstration in Tbilisi. The first protester was taken away after displaying a poster asking: ‘Is Bidzina a dick? Yes/No’ — a reference to billionaire Georgian Dream founder Bidzina Ivanishvili. Others then arrived in solidarity holding similar banners, and were also arrested.






















