Huge TOPPS news👀👀👀👀👀
🚨 JUST IN: Dana White is en route to the Trump White House RIGHT NOW after President Trump "jokingly" named him as WH Press Secretary
"He called me AFTER he did it!"
The meeting wasn't initially for press secretary, but Trump is loving the buzz around that 🤣
It would be epic if Trump and Dana White just have an impromptu presser with the fake news
47 is a master troll!
64
Let’s talk about how Topps employees bought these /50 cards on eBay to flip them for multi thousand cards
142
If you want my true unfiltered thoughts tune into tomorrow’s video
Let’s just say it’s time for regulation in this hobby
We recently discovered a production error in 2026 Topps Cosmic Chrome Baseball that resulted in Supernova cards for 23 of the 25 players being inadvertently omitted from the product.
We sincerely apologize for this error. To address it, we are introducing a Supernova Card Program that will allow collectors with the eligible Interstellar Gold /50 cards to obtain the corresponding player's Supernova cards.
The Black Hole program remains live and active, with its rules and prizes unchanged other than as provided by this update. The first eligible collector to redeem codes from 10 distinct Supernova cards of the same player and complete the required verification will receive that player’s 1/1 Black Hole Autograph card.
Full details: ripped.topps.com/2026superno…
2
7
472
I typically support the Police but they are completely in the wrong here IMO
Especially that 2nd one
1
96
Make sure yall read section 2 VERY CLOSELY
2026/27 Topps Flagship NBA Deep Dive- Part 1
Let's just get this out of the way. It's Flagship. And Flagship can be BRUTAL.
By nature, it's going to be a tough rip a vast majority of the time. If you're not prepared for that, you may want to avoid ripping Flagship. It has a habit of lulling you to sleep, making a rip feel like manual labor, and then dropping a nuclear bomb on you. Just because it's flagship doesn't mean there aren't nukes.
But in a SHOCKING turn of events, Hobby boxes are STILL available at the time of writing, a full 12 hours after launch.
Some of you are going to say it's printed to the moon. Who am I kidding...all of you are going to say it's printed to the moon. That's fair. You're not wrong.
But what if I told you this year's Flagship NBA might just be better than last year's? Have you checked the price of 2025/26 Flagship NBA boxes recently?
Let me help you out...
Current pricing on (name withheld because I can't stomach promoting them):
Hobby- $430/box
Jumbo- $610/box
Last year's rookie class may have been a bit more top heavy, but from what I hear this class is far deeper, with some bona fide superstar potential.
On one hand, I'm surprised I can just casually log on to Topps' site and buy one of the biggest products of the year at 11pm on launch day. But then again, there's a LOT of it. So, maybe I'm a little less surprised.
Part 1: The Basics
Product released today, November 5.
Drop price was $180/Hobby & $350/Jumbo.
So why is it I'm already seeing hobgoblins pricing Hobby at $250? I think they think we're stupid.
The worst part is last year's hobby boxes dropped at $120 & Jumbos at $230. In technical terms, Flagship hobby at a drop price of $180 is straight buns. At least that's what my teenage son would say. I have to imagine that's a big part of why it's still available.
Typical with a Flagship release, we have a whole mess of formats. Unfortunately, most of them increased in price from a year ago.
But wait there's more. We can't just have prices going up. Naturally, when we pay more money, we have to get less for it.
Part 2: Shrink-effing-flation
In creating my spreadsheet, I began by highlighting the changes in configuration to each format, because there are always a couple. But when that process was over, it was one big highlight. Aside from Hobby, literally every single format changed from last year, and none got bigger.
Jumbo- from 40 cards/pack to 28.
Hangers- 59 cards down to 48.
Fat Packs- 36 cards down to 24.
Megas- 16 packs of 14 (224 cards) down to 12 packs of 15 (180 cards).
Value Boxes- from 7 packs of 12 to 6 packs.
Fanatics Value- from 9 packs of 12 to 7 packs.
Black Friday Value- from 11 packs of 10 (110 cards) to 7 packs of 12 (84 cards).
Part 3: Production Numbers
Total cards in the product:
479,999,164
2025/26 Flagship NBA- 422,092,744
YOY: +13.7%
For context, let's compare this to some other recent flagship releases:
2026 Flagship NFL- ~581m total cards
2026 Series 1 MLB- ~558m cards
2026/27 Flagship NBA- ~480m cards
2025 Series 1 MLB- ~446m cards
2025/26 Flagship NBA- ~430m cards
Total production by Format:
Hobby- 161,224 boxes (13,435 cases)--->YOY +31%
Jumbo- 90,000 boxes (15,000 cases)--->YOY +43.3%
Hangers- 1,095,000 boxes (17,109 cases)--->YOY +29.2%
Fat Packs- 2,125,511 packs (19,681 cases)--->YOY +90%
Value Boxes- 1,380,650 boxes (34,516 cases)--->YOY +28%
Megas- 445,350 boxes (22,418 cases)--->YOY +89.7%
Fanatics Value Boxes- 229,215 boxes (5,730 cases)--->YOY -4.7%
Black Friday Value Boxes- 358,380 boxes (8,960 cases)--->YOY +3.7%
Costco/Sam’s Club Flagship Collection Super Boxes- 306,810 boxes (25,568 cases)--->YOY +52.2%
China EX Boxes Waves 1&2- 147,015 boxes (12,251 cases) *assuming 12 boxes/case--->YOY N/A
All-Star Game Megas- 112,500 boxes (5,625 cases)--->YOY N/A
Total production increased by a very modest 14%.
However, production across individual formats is up an average of 40%. Am I the only one that's dumbfounded by that?
That's a metric ton of extra boxes to sell...all for a very modest increase in total cards. Another masterclass in revenue maximization by Fanatics.
*SIGH*...I understand this is going long. And we've only just begun. I'm going to Nerdville, and you're going with me. If you need a TLDR, I'm sure Grok got ya back.
Now let's look at the dynamics of those 480m cards and how that compares to last year:
Total Parallels: ~29,947,000
Last year- ~17,350,000
YOY: +72.6%
Total Inserts: ~51,844,000
Last year- ~33,076,000
YOY: +56.7%
Total Autos: ~427,860
Last year- ~308,740
YOY: +38.6%
Total Relics: ~503,700
Last year- ~462,930
YOY: +8.8%
My nerd brain needed this section. Getting ready to jump into hit rates of all the formats, and I've been wondering how the hell, with all the extra boxes produced, that hit rates have actually improved for almost every format.
Well, I think I just found our answer. They juiced ALL of it.
Last year, throughout this massive product, 87.9% of it consisted of base cards. This year, base accounts for only 82.4%. That is wild.
If you consider "hits" to be Autos, Relics, & Numbered cards, the number of total hits jumped by 31%, from 2.25m to 2.95m.
Part 4: Heat Map
Expected Hit Rates by Format:
Hobby:
Autos- 0.55 (55% of boxes should contain an auto, this includes Silver Packs since they showed up on the odds.)
Relics- 0.6 (This means Hobby should contain an average of 1.15 Autos/Relics per box, so I would expect to see extra hits with regularity.)
Parallels- 6.1
Inserts- 13.3
Numbered Cards- 1.75
Jumbo:
Autos- 1.15 (Including Silver Packs)
Relics- 1.2 (Jumbos should produce an average of 2.35 Autos/Relics per box. More extra hits.)
Parallels- 15.35
Inserts- 24.6
Numbered Cards- 5.15
Hangers:
Autos- 1 per 100 hangers (0.64/case)
Relics- 1 per 41.8 hangers (1.5/case)
Parallels- 3.1
Inserts- 6
Numbered Cards- 1 per 8.6 hangers (7.4/case)
Fat Packs:
Autos- 1 per 50 packs (2.16/case)
Relics- 1 per 41.8 packs (2.6/case)
Parallels- 0.5/pack
Inserts- 2.25/pack
Numbered Cards- 1 per 17.5 packs (6.2/case)
Value Boxes:
Autos- 1 per 20 boxes (2/case)
Relics- 1 per 20.9 boxes (1.9/case)
Parallels- 6.05
Inserts- 8.6
Numbered Cards- 1 per 4.5 boxes (4.4/case)
Mega Boxes:
Autos- 1 per 10 boxes (2/case)
Relics- 1 per 6.7 boxes (3/case)
Parallels- 11.8
Inserts- 33
Numbered Cards- 1 per 2.1 boxes (9.5/case)
Fanatics Value Boxes:
Autos- 1 per 20 boxes (2/case)
Relics- 1 per 20.9 boxes (1.9/case)
Parallels- 9.2
Inserts- 6.1
Numbered Cards- 1 per 4.5 boxes (4.4/case)
Black Friday Value Boxes:
Autos- 1 per 28.6 boxes (1.4/case)
Relics- 1 per 11.95 boxes (3.35/case)
Parallels- 9.3
Inserts- 6.2
Numbered Cards- 1 per 4.5 boxes (4.4/case)
All-Star Game Megas:
Autos- 1 per 10 boxes (2/case)
Relics- 1 per 4.2 boxes (4.75/case)
Parallels- 10.8
Inserts- 30.2
Numbered Cards- 0.9/box (18/case)
Costco/Sam's Club Flagship Collection Boxes:
These are still a wild card. Though they are two different SKUs, they appear to be the same as the odds are almost identical.
Also, I'm not quite sure exactly what the configuration is going to look like. Last year, there were 15 packs of 14 with an Oversized Card and no bonus packs like we typically see in these Super Boxes. However, the odds are clearly referring to what appears to be 3 bonus packs per box, containing the Flagship Collection & Flagship Collection Chrome cards. If that's the case, I'm not sure what odds will look like on the bulk packs within. So the Hit Rates are solely for the presumably 3 bonus packs in these boxes. Final product should be better than the numbers say.
Autos- 1 per 174 boxes
Relics- N/A
Parallels- 4.6
Inserts- 1
Numbered Cards- 1 per 3.8 boxes
Rare Inserts & Variations:
For this release, I'm splitting these up into separate metrics. It didn't feel right to combine them as the Variations are not really classified as inserts.
Rare Variations include: Golden Mirrors (All 3 tiers), Clear Variations /10, Player Number Variations, & Team Color Border Variations.
Rare Inserts include: Comic Court, Quest for the Crown, Soundcheck, Certified Cold, Class of '26, All Kings, Hardwood Stars, and Bounce.
Rare Ins/Var Hit Rates by Format:
Hobby:
Rare Var- 1 per 6.2 boxes (~2/case)
Rare Inserts- 1 per 12.1 boxes (1/case)
Jumbo:
Var- 1 per 4 boxes (1.5/case)
Inserts- 1 per 6 boxes (1/case)
Hangers:
Var- 1 per 112 hangers (1 per 1.75 cases)
Inserts- 1 per 288 hangers (1 per 4.5 cases)
Fat Packs:
Var- 1 per 192.8 packs (1 per 1.8 cases)
Inserts- 1 per 942 packs (1 per 8.7 cases)
Value Boxes:
Var- 1 per 57.8 boxes (1 per 1.45 cases)
Inserts- 1 per 270 boxes (1 per 6.75 cases)
Megas:
Var- 1 per 30.7 boxes (1 per 1.5 cases)
Inserts- 1 per 134.4 boxes (1 per 6.7 cases)
Fanatics Value:
Var- 1 per 41.3 boxes (~1/case)
Inserts- 1 per 214.3 boxes (1 per 5.4 cases)
Black Friday Value:
Var- 1 per 50.5 boxes (1 per 1.25 cases)
Inserts- 1 per 272 boxes (1 per 6.8 cases)
All-Star Game Megas:
Var- 1 per 38 boxes (1 per 1.9 boxes)
Inserts- 1 per 132.8 boxes (1 per 6.6 cases)
That's enough for tonight. It's extremely late and I still have a sizable amount to get to. I'll continue tomorrow with the riveting Value Metrics comparison among formats and let you know my recommendations and what I'm doing with this product.
In the meantime, if you need to see the extensive list of Print Runs, they're already posted on my Substack, but to paid subs only for now.
slabsquatch.substack.com/p/2…
To be continued...
#thehobby #SlabSquatchAnalytics #2026ToppsFlagshipNBA
80
I just released they raised the price of retail.
We’re fucking doomed
Absolutely fucking doomed.
1
3
1,089
Quit sucking Fanatics dick bro you ain’t getting that Allen & Ginter card anytime soon
Oh yeah I literally just checked your website and I saw Cosmic hobby for $1,100? MSRP?
and lastly who tf wants “value” boxes? It’s straight slop that has no “value” in it!!!! An absolute rip off of $30!
What a fucking horse shit statement
Voters sent a message yesterday: AFFORDABILITY MATTERS.
The hobby should be listening, too.
Collectors have been screaming about box prices for years.
To its credit, Topps is making more value boxes available and working with shops to keep prices at MSRP. That's progress.
Some shops, including CardsHQ, are taking it further — testing selling hobby boxes at MSRP with seal cutting and purchase limits to discourage flipping.
But we need to do more. What else should change?
4
83
17,107
Wow. What a match.
I really hope WWE recorded that match
What a treat
#WWEYoungstown
CHAD GABLE JUST KICKED OUT OF A GTS AT 2.99
WOW
#WWEYoungstown
Chad Gable vs CM Punk
FIRST. TIME. EVER.
#WWEYoungstown





























