HY credit analyst. Sell side, then buy side. ~15 years. Trying to microcapmaxxx my way out of the permanent underclass. Pro rugged individualism.
United States
Joined August 2022
- Tweets1K
- Following1.2K
- Followers3.5K
- Likes5.1K
Pinned Tweet
MASTER THREAD - AI USE CASES: HY CREDIT HEDGE FUND 📌 🧵
This is a living master thread of how I’ve been using AI for long/short HY credit investing. Albeit much is probably applicable more broadly.
I use Claude, Claude Code + MS add-ins on Windows with usual finance/credit products: e.g. Bloomberg, Octus, 9Fin.
I’d split into the following buckets: simple python programs/automations (AI mainly for initial build), Claude Projects, Claude BBG connected excel construction & skills, Bloomberg Quant (probably the biggest “AI unlock”), self-contained HTML apps and finally end-to-end workflows utilising all of the above.
Issues addressed: accessing/using data from BBG, parsing, compressing and formatting content for optimum Claude consumption. Creating context for Claude re. HY credit trading levels and individual issuers (which are often private).
NB: I’m a HY credit analyst/investor. I can’t code. I am not an AI expert. There are almost certainly easier ways of constructing what I’ve done. If you’d like to consult with me or offer feedback - comments/DMs welcome. Here to help and learn. Please pass on if you think people will find helpful.
Quick reminder for those at the back:
>Compute prices go up. Look at… oil curve backwardation BEARISH
>If compute prices fall. This is obviously VERY BEARISH
>If XYZ doesn’t raise new capital, they need more capital. This is BEARISH.
>If they do raise new capital, this is a sign they needed it + supply. BEARISH.
>if Nvidia don’t backstop you, BEARISH
>NVIDIA do backstop you, that’s because you needed it VERY BEARISH
>SpaceX biz knocking lights out. Out competing you. BEARISH.
>SpaceX biz falters. VERY BEARISH.
>Lab ARR growth decelerates. Less AI monetisation. BEARISH.
>Lab ARR re-accelerates. Opensource more compute intensive so also BEARISH.
>DC construction on track, supply glut VERY BEARISH
>DC delays, stranded compute also VERY BEARISH
I don’t make the rules.
WIFE: Baaaabe let’s do something this weekend!
> I’m sorry honey I can’t. I have to work. It’s carnage out there.
W: it looks like you’re making cartoons and listening to that f-ng song again
> It’s… it’s work adjacent, you wouldn’t understand
OMFG who did this?! Sent in to me anon. Can’t even take any credit.
Music video. Sound on. Happy Friday 🔊
Pilot episode success has resulted in full commissioning. After many hours of consultation with the writers, voice artists and animation team at Geezer Media we have decided to go for a weekly release schedule. The much anticipated episode 2 is rumoured to drop Wednesday.
Career highlight? Tough one, tough one… so many to choose from but… on balance, probably seeing my own tweets in the Telecom and Media IB anon chat
Right here goes, now before you all get triggered
1. Yes, I know traders who never turn around to speak to people are suuuuuper important.
2. Yes, analysts who do 200p reports when 2p will do are suuuuuper smart.
3. No view on passing resemblance to any ticker.
Sound on 🔊
I awoke with the unshakeable conviction that the world needs a cartoon parody of the HY credit market and that I’m the man to deliver it. Like Dilbert but for an audience so niche it can never be a success. Leave it with me 🫡
HY credit professionals. One more day. Lock in. In periods of market volatility it’s important to return to core principals “KNOW WHAT YOU OWN”. OR alternatively… SELL if @chamath says it’s bankrupt, BUY if @JensenHuang says it’s fine.
🫡
👀 😂
@JensenHuang hi mate, busy man I know, just checking in.
The HY market? Yep, yep fine, fine.. you know it is a liiitle shaky…
Neoclouds/powered shells? Erm well, look seeing as you mentioned it - actually not so bueno…
Systemic? Erm, yeah I mean could be, could be…
The taste of $PSKY new issue
My American finance friends, you love to dunk on us Europoors for all the holiday. Well I’ve got a dirty little secret… the second you guys are out (Labor Day, Thanksgiving) we all take the afternoon off too.
