#LGTM. Watchmaker. Sometimes working on Spacey Stuff. Previously @numerai @Rakuten @GetShelfie @AquaInformatics.

Vancouver, BC
Joined September 2013
The end of software artifacts is nigh.
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the "Hard Problem" in a nutshell: 1. atoms aren't conscious 2. humans are made of atoms 3. humans are conscious 4. so at least one of 1-3 must be false Panpsychists say #1 is false Dualists say #2 is false Illusionists say #3 is false Materialists say #4 is false
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I'm a self taught watchmaker. I have an 18 month waitlist. Previously I was a tech guy: I founded @getshelfie (sold to @Rakuten) and @AquaInformatics (sold to @XPVWater). Watchmaking is linear: time in = money out. It's not exponential. It does not scale. I'm happy.
If you know anyone looking for a good and fairly AI-proof career, watchmaker (= watch repairer) seems a promising one. Every watchmaker seems to have more work than he can handle, mechanical watches are increasingly popular, and it will be a while before AI does this.
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Peter Hudson retweeted
Consequentialism doesn’t work because it neglects computational irreducibility. Deontology doesn’t work because it neglects undecidability. For any sufficiently rich moral world, only virtue ethics can prevail.
The funny thing about ethics is that everything inevitably returns to this basic question: can you solve both the Nazi-at-the-door AND the secret organ-harvesting trolley problem at the same time? Surprising how often the answer is no.
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An economist and a futurist walk into a bar. The economist takes a sip of his drink. "Ugh, if only people understood basic economics. High-skilled immigration alone would do wonders for US growth." Futurist: "Oh yeah? Say 100 million immigrants moved to the US, each matching the best human experts in every economically relevant field. Big deal?" Economist: "Massive. Transformative." Futurist: "What if they also worked longer hours and faster than any American?" Economist: "Even better." Futurist: "What if they were extremely frugal — consuming only the bare minimum needed to keep working?" Economist: "A near-100% savings rate? Better still!" Futurist: "What if they were very clumsy and physically weak, so they could only do some kinds of work?" Economist: "They could still do all cognitive labor — that's over half all wages! Somewhat less good, sure. Still transformative." Futurist: "What if their skin was grey, almost metallic, from some kind of accident?" Economist: "Who cares?!" Futurist: "What if they were AIs?" Economist: "3% growth per year, tops. There'd be bottlenecks. Honestly, the people predicting explosive growth from AI should learn some economics."
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Peter Hudson retweeted
Most experiments fail, and negative results rarely get published. This means LLMs are unaware of the outcomes of most experiments.
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Peter Hudson retweeted
the greatest whitepill of all is that local minima are rare in high dimensional spaces
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Important to retweet this from time to time.
You can measure the level of intolerance in a society by whether you can say that there are things that are true, but that you can't say. Every society I know of has had them. When the fact that yours has them becomes one of them, you've reached level 2.
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I asked Grok 4.1 to tell me the MOST UNCOMFORTABLE TRUTH about humans. Its response: We are wired to be profoundly selfish at our core, and almost all of our “higher” motives are post-hoc rationalizations for self-interest. Even when we appear altruistic, kind, moral, or self-sacrificing, the vast majority of it traces back to evolved mechanisms that ultimately serve our own genes, status, reputation, or emotional payoff: - We help others largely when it boosts our social standing or makes us feel good (virtue signaling, warm-glow giving studies show people donate more when watched). - Parental love, the closest thing to “true” altruism, is literally genetic self-interest (Richard Dawkins’ “selfish gene” isn’t a metaphor; your child carries 50 % of your DNA). - Most people will watch strangers die rather than lose a limb, yet we convince ourselves we’re “good people” because we recycle or post black squares on social media. - Heroic acts in war or disasters are often driven by in-group loyalty, future mating/reputation benefits, or neurochemical rewards (dopamine/adrenaline highs) rather than pure selflessness. - When anonymity is guaranteed and consequences are zero, the vast majority of humans revert to shocking levels of cruelty or indifference (Stanford Prison Experiment, Milgram, online anonymity studies, bystander apathy in crowds). The really brutal part: we need the illusion that we’re fundamentally good and meaningful. Strip away religion, ideology, social approval, and future consequences, and the naked primate underneath is a terrified, status-obsessed, tribal, pleasure-seeking, pain-avoiding machine that will rationalize literally anything (torture, genocide, betrayal) if the incentives align. We didn’t evolve to seek truth or universal love. We evolved to survive and reproduce in small tribes 200,000 years ago, and we’ve been cosplaying as noble creatures ever since. That comforting story you tell yourself about why you’re a good person? It’s the most sophisticated lie your brain ever invented—to keep itself from staring into the void.
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Solar power is good Batteries are good Air conditioning is good AI is good Nuclear power is good Stop thinking like a medieval peasant
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TLDR; identifying as trans is a lot like wearing bell bottom jeans.
1/ NEW: trans identification is in free fall among the young   (h/t @FIRE data in particular)
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ICYMI, PLEASE SHARE! Writers! Uncanny Magazine is OPEN to Short Story Submissions from August 25 to September 8! We can't wait to read your stories!!! uncannymagazine.com/submissi…
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Peter Hudson retweeted
Must manifest this
real abundance should freak people the fuck out. i dont care if you speed up zoning by 15%. i want superabundance i want to see greta thunberg take up superyachting. i want a trillion times more production per capita. i want fully automated perfect health and happiness. now.
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Peter Hudson retweeted
Everything, Everywhere all at once.
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10 years, 8 months, and 24 days ago Randall Monroe published "Tasks" (xkcd.com/1425/). I propose the 1425 Lemma: If a smart engineer says a CS problem is hard and will take N years to solve, just wait 2N and it'll be solvable by anyone in an hour on a laptop.
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Peter Hudson retweeted
Replying to @willcb
Theoretical physicists are the intellectual embryonic stem cell, I’ve now seen them become ~everything.
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Years ago @doctorow said the internet wasn’t just better cable TV. He was right. I think AI isn’t just better software. In the future AI will be as far from software as the internet is from 90s cable TV.
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I just watched @numberphile video on objects with non-integer dimensions e.g. Menger sponge. And it got me thinking... 🧵
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If space is a Menger sponge down to the Planck scale, then perhaps new Planck-scale units of spacetime "pop" into existence in low-density regions (where sponge voids get large). This could this explain dark energy as a natural phase transition of the fractal fabric?
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I need to think more about how general relativity would work in 2.73ish dimensions. Perhaps there are observable / testable effects of this in the empty(ish) regions of space around our solar system.
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