J. Rien retweeted
Trading = an expensive personality test.
If you think you’re a patient, disciplined & emotionally stable person, I highly recommend trying to trade stocks for a few years+.
Give the market 3 weeks and it’ll introduce you to 17 character flaws you didn’t even know existed.
"Be dumb, follow price" 😼
This is how I found my 2nd best trade of all time $MU earlier this year coming out of the correction.
I didnt know about a memory bottleneck (I still barely know what a semiconductor is)
I didn't randomly buy a falling knife down -50% because its a certain month a book told me about.
Its because $MU was weirdly sitting at highs while the rest of the market was falling apart in March so I was stalking it.
If the market was selling off hard in March why wasn't $MU? Nobody was interested in selling and if they were it was being accumulated.
That wasn't my opinion either... thats the only way it could stay near highs.
If its not going down with everything else what do you think it could do if the market turned back up?
Right now $MU is down -35% while the $QQQ is down -7% and everybody thinks its on sale.... meanwhile in April when it was literally 50% lower from right now it was seen as expensive.
J. Rien retweeted
If anything, the past two months should have taught you to 'trade what you see' and trust your judgement of price action (assuming you've put in the requisite screen time to discern normal and abnormal price action).
There is a lot of noise on this platform, and admittedly I succumb to it from time to time. It is no wonder when the moment I check out/go travelling and just focus my own trading/judgement, results improve in relatively short order.
Another lesson that should come to you quite quickly is the need to view the market from the lens of individual stock first rather than the index. The quantity and quality of your watchlist is almost always a leading indicator for what is to come in the short term.
$QQQ near all time highs? Yeah that's great! But individual stock action for the most part the past two weeks have deteriorated significantly and it must have been difficult to catch traction unless you got positioned in the right names. Study the RS lines of individual stocks in relation to its own 20/21-DMA, many have begun to lag the index by a pretty wide margin the past week. Additionally, their respective RS lines have been choppy and failed to register any sort of consistency in terms of sustained relative strength momentum (yes, I'm looking at you AI names).
It has generally been a tough year and the goal is really to preserve any gains you have and survive - not just from a financial standpoint but importantly your mental capital too. Have low expectations and wait for that fat pitch to swing the bat hard. It certainly will be difficult to do that if you've drained yourself trying to press hard in a tough environment.
"While the building blocks of a new bull market are always put in place during a correction, most people are looking the other way. While you are waiting, others are paving the way for the next strong market environment." - William O' Neil
J. Rien retweeted
You don’t need to invent a single original concept to become a great trader.
@OliverKell_ taught me the cycle of price action, 15min pivots + “the trend is your friend.” @1ChartMaster taught me the 30min pivot. @LanesWRLD_ taught me effort vs. result. @ShakePryzby1 taught me layers of probability + timeframe continuity. @RealSimpleAriel taught me to focus on leading groups + cut my weeds.
And there are probably 100+ other traders on here I’ve stolen little nuggets from over the years. The important part is I tested everything, kept what fit my personality, and slowly molded those pieces into MY system.
You don’t need to reinvent the wheel to become a great trader. Learn from people ahead of you, verify it yourself, then make it yours!!
You do not need to become the next ICT furu.
J. Rien retweeted
Longer I do this the more I think knowing when to flip long/short index on long timeframes is the ultimate edge.
Talking bull markets and bear markets. Real bear markets, not chop. Press a few buttons every 6-18 months type of activity.
Going short on that second -10% off ath in q1 25, and flipping long at capitulation (definable term) in April 25 -> just doing that could’ve had you up anywhere from 50-80% depending on structure. Rinse and repeat……all the edge anybody needs imo
When your strong movers 1m 30% gainers scan has 10 stocks in it - there's not a lot of meat on momentum stock bone out there🥀
J. Rien retweeted
Not a single one of my biggest ever winners was bought below the 50MA.
Not saying you can't make money doing that, just saying for me I prefer to let the stock show strength up the right side before I get interested.
I don't care about catching the turn, I care about the meat of the move.
HOOD I missed the first 56% off the lows, then held it for a 155% move.
DELL I missed the first 32% off the lows and currently 250% from first buy.
RKLB I missed the first 72% off the lows, then held for 260% move.
SNDK I missed the first 32% off the lows (and the entire 500% previous move), then held it for an 800% move.
One of the best exercises you can do is to study your biggest winners. Highly recommend that after every market cycle you mark up your buys and sells like I have and then objectively assess what you did well and what you could improve on.
You'll actually see how I've used this exercise to change my sell rules over time in the charts below. RKLB was the earliest of all of those trades, with DELL being a current hold.
You can see how I've gone from trimming in to early strength and selling in to weakness on faster MA's, to basically no trimming in to early strength (and even adding sometimes), and then selling in to weakness on slower MA's.
Might cry myself to sleep tonight for missing the pullback today on dell 😅 Textbook S tier pullback setup - AVWAP, MA, Support Gap all congested
J. Rien retweeted
Every year if we could just wait for those periods of 4-5 weeks’ time when easy money is made- we can beat indices by big margin and get returns in three digits. Usually twice or thrice in a year it has been happening so. Question is, do we have patience to hold our horses remaining 8 months? Easier said than done.. at this point of time I do no need to learn trading- I NEED TO LEARN TO NOT TRADE during those sloppy, choppy, harassing, taxing and stressful times. as much trading is about trading- it’s also about not trading. This remains no. 1 thing for me to learn and master may be over a few months / years. It’s not easy as it sounds. Temptation, greed and FOMO are the stumbling blocks. To become good at trading- need to MASTER it some point of time- I am writing from a momentum trader point of view and not as an investor. Different people have different temperament- i cannot see my starting positions in red even for 15 mins but it’s alright and it works for me- just that time needs to be right. It’s easy to make money in easy money environment- goals should be to maximize returns and be able to keep most of it by the time it ends. When it feels too easy, just FOLD.
J. Rien retweeted
No, it's not!
I can't believe how many people still think changing the label somehow changes the math. Calling it an "investment" instead of a "trade" doesn't make a loss any smaller or improve the odds of recovery. A 50% loss is still a 50% loss.
Just because you intend to hold a stock for years doesn't magically improve the risk/reward. Nobody has a crystal ball. Investing, regardless of style is a business of probabilities. And the probabilities aren't so good that you can ignore risk.
Even Warren Buffett has endured multiple 50–60% drawdowns. Buying a "quality company" doesn't eliminate risk. If you held through big declines and the stock came back, you were simply fortunate.
I'm tired of hearing this nonsense repeated by people who either don't understand risk management or have simply been lucky enough not to learn the lesson yet.
Unfortunately, it's new investors who pay the price. They're told they don't need a stop because they're investing for the long term in a great company. That's wishful thinking.
Hope has never prevented a large loss, only risk management does. And for every investor that holds the next Amazon, there's dozens who hold losses, underperform and blow up.
We heard this nonsense from the Diamond Hands a few years back. One bear market and you never heard from them again.
J. Rien retweeted
What a 166% YTD return looks like from @CFlanders7 2025 performance.
Notice how it is
-Single digit monthly gains
-Single digit monthly losses
-Concentrated in a short period of outsized opportunity
Let risk management do the heavy lifting.
Be ready for really kick ass opportunities.
