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According to State Navigate:
Gov Margin Projection: Spanberger+14.0
My Prediction: Spanberger+14
HoD: 64-36 D
My Prediction: 64-36 D
Unless AC Cordoza pulls off a miracle I will have 100/100 HoD races correct and be within 0.1% of the gov margin.
Please clap.
Joe retweeted
In 2024, Kaufman County, TX (just east of Dallas) was the most left-trending large county in Texas, as Harris improved several points on Biden. Though it was still very red in those cycles, Talarico appears to have carried it by about a percentage point.
I expect a 4-4 incumbent protection map in Wisconsin. One of the few states certain to redraw this cycle.
WISN: Governor-elect David Crowley says he’d sign a bill that immediately redraws Wisconsin's congressional maps if passed by the Democratic-controlled legislature early next year.
Link to article: wisn.com/article/crowley-say…
Personally not my cup of tea but way better than the Christian nationalist version on the right















