British & Irish politics professor, Univ. of Liverpool. Views mine NOT Univ’s. Retweets/likes NOT endorsements: made me think/laugh. [email protected]
Joined November 2011
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Jon Tonge retweeted
Despite her senior colleagues downplaying the chances of Carla Lockhart leaving, she appears to be preparing to walk over Drumcree. Almost a decade ago, her party had 10 MPs. It now has half that number. And if 5 becomes 4, the DUP enters the danger zone.
belfasttelegraph.co.uk/comme…
Jon Tonge retweeted
NEW headline voting intention from Ipsos
📊Labour on 32% with a lead of +8 – the largest Labour lead Ipsos have recorded this parliament
📊Conservatives take second place the first time since June 2025
📊Reform UK down 3 points and Greens down 5
Jon Tonge retweeted
DUP MP Carla Lockhart has quit her position as a party officer. The Upper Bann politician’s resignation could be the start of a chain of events leading to her resignation from the DUP.
✍️: @SuzyJourno
belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/…
Jon Tonge retweeted
We've added new shadings for each party in all our maps, here you can see where our Nowcast thinks the NI parties will get their votes in May.
SF, DUP, AP, UUP
Delighted to launch @JohnDoyleDCU’s new book ‘Before the Vote: Planning for a United Ireland’ at the Political Studies Association of Ireland conf at University College Cork. The book is not so much an argument for unity as the need to plan for its possibility/probability #PSAI26
NI SOS @RhonddaBryant “I sometimes think the veneer of peace is remarkably thin”. Nonetheless, optimistic re power-sharing: “the Executive is much more resilient than some people suggest”.
Jon Tonge retweeted
‼️ Labour HOLD Holborn and St Pancras
Labour: 45.0% (-3.9)
Green: 32.7% (+22.3)
Conservative: 7.0% (-0.2)
Reform: 5.9% (-0.2)
Liberal Democrats: 3.4% (-2.4)
Restore: 2.5% (+2.5)
Workers: 1.1% (+1.1)
Jon Tonge retweeted
Pledges from Kemi Badenoch:
* Halve NICs for under 25s to help young people get work
*Half of spending cuts will go on cutting deficit
*Defence spending - including Britannia Shield
*50,000 new prison places
Jon Tonge retweeted
🚨 WATCH: Kemi Badenoch accuses Reform UK of debating "whether my mixed race children are English"
"I don't want to explain to my son when we're watching our brilliant English team play football that some people don't think that black players are English"
Jon Tonge retweeted
For election reform needs; how different uk electoral systems would transform party competition. theguardian.com/politics/ng-…
Jon Tonge retweeted
🚨 Westminster Voting Intention:
🌹 LAB: 29% (+2)
➡️ REF: 23% (-1)
🌳 CON: 19% (-2)
🔶️ LDEM: 9% (-2)
🟢 GRN: 9% (+2)
🟣 RSB: 2% (=)
From @Survation
From 29th September
Changes with 23rd September
Jon Tonge retweeted
Burnham's speech was delivered by a leader who believes in himself - and more importantly, the rest of us too, writes Andrew Marr lbc.co.uk/article/burnhams-s…
Jon Tonge retweeted
Quite struck by the lack of reference to "the Tories" or "Nigel Farage" in this conference speech by Andy Burnham
Jon Tonge retweeted
% who think each of the following should be run in the public sector
Police: 89%
Armed forces: 86%
NHS: 86%
Schools: 83%
Water companies: 82%
Railway companies: 76%
Royal Mail: 76%
Energy companies: 70%
Bus companies: 67%
Universities: 63%
BBC: 62%
Internet/phone providers: 38%
Banks: 31%
Airlines: 20%
Jon Tonge retweeted
Burnham's speech has gone down very well among MPs in the Socialist Campaign Group.
Its chair, Rebecca Long-Bailey, joked at a rally this evening: "What a day it's been. We're even considering disbanding the SCG. [We] got a lot of socialism in Andy's speech."
