Opinionated Lagosian with myriad of interests including economics, social science, investing, sex & relationships etc.
West Africa
Joined December 2024
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Klio retweeted
I'm much more likely to take analysis seriously when it's not *always* interpreted as saying the most favorable thing for the analyst's side.
No honest data analysis always supports the story someone wants to tell; it's always complicated.
This is a good example of telling a nuanced story.
Do moderate politicians have an electability advantage still? Yes, but it's smaller than ever before — and worth thinking about @TheArgumentMag.
(With some preliminary findings from our @SplitTicket_ Wins-Above-Replacement/WAR model!)
theargumentmag.com/p/do-mode…
Klio retweeted
During the structural adjustment era, African economists who saw their real incomes fall by 60 - 70% were saying one thing, while Western IMF economists who flew in and out of capital cities and lodged in 5 star hotels, were saying another entirely different thing. (I learned that some of these people were in their mid-20s, with no real contextual knowledge of African economies).
Turns out that the economists with "skin in the game" were more right than wrong.
It is a tragedy, that under APC, something similar is happening - and it is like we haven't learned anything over the past 50 years.
Wall Street is "happy with APC's reforms" - but have you come across a single middle class or lower class Nigerian who is?
Klio retweeted
I remember telling one Obidient here that Nigerian politicians cannot do “we no Dey do shi shi” politics.
How can you expect adults with bills and mouths to feed to be following you up and down Nigeria and making unnecessary enemies for themselves based on “love for God and country”.
No money, and still no support for their own political ambitions. I mean, who amongst us would take that deal?
I mean, for real?
Klio retweeted
The year is 2028. The Iran and Russia wars have combined to form one seamless front. Azerbaijan came under joint occupation of the Russians and the Iranians last year as US pressured the Azeris to interdict Russo-Iranian intercourse. The pro-Israel regime was kicked out and replaced by a Russian puppet. The Caspian was thereby secured against Western pressure.
In Ukraine, the Russians extended their occupation to Odessa and then hunkered down to a defensive posture. The front line has been frozen solid for a year with intermittent shelling and intrusions by drones.
After the Americans cajoled the Europeans into a new onerous sanctions regime and US bombers used bases in Germany to conduct fresh strikes against Iranian missile sites, the Iranians unveiled a new policy: striking US bases in Europe as punishment for any hostile action.
The US military presence in the Rhineland-Palatinate zone was targeted first. But these attacks did not prove effective since the bases were too well defended. The Iranians have since shifted to targeting European values.
The decisive moment came when the US shot down a Iranian flight to Sana’a that it claimed was carrying missile components. This led the Houthis and the Iranians to announce a joint ‘sanctions regime’ against civilian air traffic in all countries permitting the use of their airspace to US air operations.
The counter-value campaign against Europe began with spectacular strikes on civilian airports in London, Paris and Berlin. Civilian traffic ground to a halt across Europe before recovering to a fraction of its previous levels. US intelligence alleges that the Russians, and the Chinese behind them, are supplying components for long-range missiles to Iran.
News reports have surfaced of frantic backroom diplomacy to end the Iranian missile war on Europe, or at least to prevent it from expanding out to a broader set of counter-value targets. The Iranians have so far refused to budge: ‘If you want the missiles to stop falling, remove all sanctions on Iran and stop allowing the US to use your territory for attacks on the Islamic Republic.’
Europe is now in an impasse. Europe is still not ready to defend itself. How can you kick out the Americans? If we kick out the Americans, we will have to live under the Russo-Iranian boot.
But then what is to be done about the missile threat? So far it has proven manageable, if terrifying. But with missile production ramping up across the Axis to staggering levels, Europe is facing the dark prospect of sharing the Ukrainian fate as the recipient of the output of vast automated BYD-style missile factories now perfected by the Chinese.
Klio retweeted
Eric Schmidt's private life in 1 million times more messy than Jensen's but there was no coordinated effort to take him out.
Why not?
Eric is the rat king of China Hawks while Jensen wants to sell chips to the Chinese
Elon should be careful
Klio retweeted
Obasanjo achievements
1Paris Club debt relief
2Bank consolidation
3Excess Crude Account
4Foreign reserves growth
5DMO creation
6CBN autonomy
7NEEDS blueprint
8GSM liberalization
9NITDA Act
10EFCC creation
11ICPC creation
12Due Process Office
13NEITI Act
14Pension reform
15PenCom creation
16Civil service monetization
17SERVICOM
18BPSR creation
19Payroll audits
20BPE privatization
21Port concessioning
22NEPA unbundling
23NERC creation
24Universal Basic Education
25NHIS rollout
26NAPEP creation
27NDDC creation
28Mortgage reform
29Military depoliticization
30Police expansion
31AU founding
32NEPAD co-founding
33Greentree Agreement
34Commonwealth return
35NAFDAC revival
36NAPTIP creation
37NIMASA establishment
38NOUN revival
39Private universities
40Cassava initiative
41Rice initiative
42Cement integration
43NLNG expansion
44Abuja Stadium
45COJA 2003
46CHOGM 2003
47Niger Delta plan
48NigeriaSat-1
49Electoral reforms
50Democratic handover
51NIPP power projects
52FAAN reforms
53NCAA autonomy
54Airspace radar
55Cabotage Act
56SMEDAN creation
57Bank of Industry
58NACRDB merger
59FERMA creation
60NACA establishment
61Polio campaign
62Roll Back Malaria
63Cocoa rebirth
64Vegetable oil initiative
65Livestock development
66Fisheries expansion
67Fadama II
68Fertilizer liberalization
69Solid minerals reform
70Mining Cadastre
71Nigerian Geological Survey
72FIRS modernization
73Customs reform
74Insurance recapitalization
75NAICOM strengthening
76SEC reforms
77NSE growth
78Sovereign credit rating
79London Club exit
80Local content policy
81Marginal fields
82DPR strengthening
83PPPRA creation
84PEF reform
85TETFund precursor
86PTDF overhaul
87NIPSS revitalization
88Peacekeeping leadership
89Liberia peace
90Sierra Leone peace
91Sao Tome intervention
92ECOWAS strengthening
93Gulf of Guinea Commission
94EFCC training academy
95Financial Intelligence Unit
96Money Laundering Act
97Advance Fee Fraud Act
98Child Rights Act
99Trafficking prohibition
100Freedom of Information groundwork
Klio retweeted
The large decline in NVIDIA's stock price suggests that the marginal product of at least some CEOs is extremely high--often well above their compensation which can be restrained by norms.
Klio retweeted
Russia alone outproduces the West. Iran might be close. With China, the estimates presented by the Pentagon to Congress are just laughable. We are outgunned. And it’s not even close.
Klio retweeted
Women have no special intuition. The women's intuition thing is a cultural problem that keeps women using System 1.
It's probably a cope relic from when women were denied education. If you can stop women from thinking critically, you keep them under control.
Intuition is only reliable in stable linear environments with proper feedback. Intuition is pattern recognition.
It's why I put "women's intuition" in quotes. It's a stupid idea that's become ingrained all over social media. As criminal psychologist @drjuliashaw explained in her book "Evil", people overestimate their ability to spot bad or dangerous people.
Klio retweeted
New episode
Lamb's first job in America: Lowe's night shift, $15 an hour. He cried in the bathroom.
Years later he interviewed the CMO of Lowe's in Cannes.
What was your first job abroad, and what did it pay?
@Lamboginny
Klio retweeted
Funny: In June 2025, Axios quoted a "US official" citing intelligence that Iran had "significantly increased" missile production to 50/month.
Now, 2 wars & 20,000+ US/Israeli airstrikes later, "western intelligence" says it's...50/month.
Something tells me they have no idea.
A western intelligence estimate says Iran can build about 50 ballistic missiles per month — roughly half its prewar capacity — providing a formidable means of retaliation if hostilities resume, despite months of airstrikes bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Klio retweeted
results in you being unnecessarily adversarial in all your relationships out of fear of being hurt. it's not easy but I truely believe that a healthy relationship requires a level of vulnerability that feels unsafe. But it's worth it when you find the right person or people.
Klio retweeted
For what it's worth (probably not much as we don't know each other) you need to be a bit less anxious at the start of relationships. Men (humans) lie and you should have a reasonable guard up at most times so that you are not made a fool of. But that guard can be over done which
Klio retweeted
If you meet an asshole one day, you met an asshole.
If you meet 100 assholes in a day, maybe you’re the asshole.
No I wouldn't have. At 34, I had a hot, 6'4" 27 year old repeatedly giving me ultimatums to commit.
If anything I had too many options. I would have hundreds of matches. I would keep a rotating list of 10 ranked prospects.
At 35, after a breakup with a guy who admitted just lying the whole time, I was going on 5 dates a week and my standards were not high. I did actually go out with a 53 year old but the sex was terrible so I bounced. The guys who did finally want to date me seriously were the hottest ones and my age. I fell for one but then freaked out over a perceived dealbreaker because I was scared to get hurt again.
I never have lacked options. The problem is figuring out if men are real options or just wasting my time.
Since 36, I have been telling guys I do not want to date unless they are looking for marriage and kids. Every guy says he is down. I even had a whole contract at one point.
I am now 40 and my friend of 6 years told me he had been into me this whole time. I said I do not want to date except for marriage and kids.
He said our kids would be supermodels who look like me. He had remembered so many details about me over the years and had saved a bunch of candids he took that I didn't even know about from when we met.
I believed him. Honestly at this point I think he was genuine and that I screwed up by being pushy and then kind of an asshole, as people have explained.
There is still no lack of options, and if I go to a bar and walk around it's going to be the hottest guys who talk to me not the other way around. But I apparently have to assume most are just liars and fuckboys.
I also do not like older men. I do prefer younger and I reject double standards about this. Women have just as much right to choose what we like as men do and should be able to trust that men trying to date us are not just fuckboys lying. Honestly I think the young ones are less likely to be so. Any guy single and going for younger women at 55 is probably sexist and just going to keep trying to go for younger women. 🤮
Klio retweeted
Some of the things she mentioned are things you can do in America. The rest is just cheap labour which is common in Nigeria.
Klio retweeted
Alwan: Take your phone and call 112. Nobody knows about this. We used to hear about it in America. Put it on speaker Seun. Welcome to Nigeria.
@seunokin: It’s not working. Maybe this is one of you people’s promises that is not fully functional. You have a long list of non-functional promises…
Alwan: This is why we are asking for more time 💀💀💀
APC should really stop Alwan from going on English-speaking television stations.
What in the history of car crash interviews did I just watch on @seunokin’s show? 😭😭😭
Klio retweeted
Makes me laugh the idea that Alice Huang was a spy while posting endless pictures of herself and herself with her target on social media
Klio retweeted
The Washington Post reported that Benjamin and Sara Netanyahu had developed a reputation among staff at Blair House (the U.S. presidential guesthouse) for bringing bags and suitcases of dirty laundry from Israel to be cleaned free of charge by U.S. staff.
An unnamed U.S. official said, “The Netanyahus are the only ones who bring actual suitcases of dirty laundry for us to clean. After multiple trips, it became clear this was intentional.”
