English & Film Professor/#Educator/#FilmBuff/Mapmaker: House (specialty), County & Precinct Maps/Proud Long Island #ModerateDem/Dad💙👦🏼👩🏼🚫No DMs
Lynbrook, NY (NY-04)
Joined January 2022
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While it’s not impossible, I’d be hard pressed to believe AES will lose in this environment, in spite of his flaws.
That said, his MOV has the potential for wide variation - from Stabenow’s semi-decisive ‘18 win, to Peters’s ‘20 squeaker (both against this year’s Gov nominee).
If Tom Periello is able to pull off the upset (McGuire still favored), it would be his second time ousting a GOP incumbent in VA-05.
The other time came in 2008 when he defeated Dem-turned Indie-turned R Virgil Goode.
News: the NRCC is making its first coordinated buy with Rep John McGuire (R) in #VA05
This is a Trump+12 seat where McGuire faces ex-Rep Tom Perriello (D)
This, btw, was the Dem primary map for the 2018 NY AG election. James won entirely due to her strength in the NYC metro.
Many pundits view Letitia James’s 2022 reelection as underwhelming and expect her to underperform the state’s baseline again this year.
However, many seem to forget just how dominating her initial win was - where she even outperformed Andrew Cuomo.
Here’s what the 1912 Presidential election in PA looked like, btw. 😳
🚨12K Followers Appreciation Post!🚨
The 1912 PA US House elections were chaotic. Teddy Roosevelt won the state with only 36%, and it trickled down the ballot. Many candidates were elected with <50% or even <40%.
Not to mention the state gained 4 seats but didn’t redistrict!
Mappers: @MadLibHatter @bluearrowMaps @SageOfTime1 @Thorongil16 @DemHackMaps @JMilesColeman @RJ_maps @cinyc9 @redwoodcntymaps @NinetyDegreeZ @HugeGuilfordCo @tencor_7144 @josh_metcalf @nnjpolitics @ModRightMaps @LeonY1_2
@DJBranham @PAMapper @NickyScatz
🚨12K Followers Appreciation Post!🚨
The 1912 PA US House elections were chaotic. Teddy Roosevelt won the state with only 36%, and it trickled down the ballot. Many candidates were elected with <50% or even <40%.
Not to mention the state gained 4 seats but didn’t redistrict!
Mappers: @MadLibHatter @bluearrowMaps @SageOfTime1 @Thorongil16 @DemHackMaps @JMilesColeman @RJ_maps @cinyc9 @redwoodcntymaps @NinetyDegreeZ @HugeGuilfordCo @tencor_7144 @josh_metcalf @nnjpolitics @ModRightMaps @LeonY1_2
@DJBranham @PAMapper @NickyScatz
Computers did draw that map. For contrast, here’s a good example of what pre-computer and post-computer maps looked like in TX.
