Mark Dankenbring (@MarkDank) header
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NFL Projections Lead @EstablishTheRun

Joined September 2010
Photo by Mark Dankenbring (@MarkDank)Photo by Mark Dankenbring (@MarkDank)Photo by Mark Dankenbring (@MarkDank)Photo by Mark Dankenbring (@MarkDank)Photo by Mark Dankenbring (@MarkDank)Photo by Mark Dankenbring (@MarkDank)Photo by Mark Dankenbring (@MarkDank)Photo by Mark Dankenbring (@MarkDank)Photo by Mark Dankenbring (@MarkDank)Photo by Mark Dankenbring (@MarkDank)
Apologies to Malik Willis, this is my fault. Drafted Jalen Hurts -> IR Traded for Lamar Jackson -> IR next week Picked up Malik Willis -> IR next week
The Dolphins are placing QB Malik Willis on injured reserve, sources tell @ringer @netflixsports. Willis has been battling a groin injury that impacted his mobility. An MRI showed it has now developed into a core muscle injury, which requires rest. Not season-ending, but he’ll miss at least four weeks.
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The Wentz stank is so potent that Troy Aikmam fell in love with Max Brosmer after two completions
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Keleki Latu had played in 7 games and run 9 total routes this season for the Bills. Zero targets coming into tonight's game. One of the more improbable TDs I can remember.
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There's something poetic about Jonathan Gannon joining the Packers' coaching staff the same season they deploy one of the league's most explosive pass game offenses
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Meanwhile, Aaron Glenn...
Aaron Glenn on Will McDonald’s trade request: “I just know we’re in the business of keeping good players so Will is going to be here.”
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Jordan Love when targeting Christian Watson and Matthew Golden today: 17-for-18 for 335 yards and 2 TDs.
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Mark Dankenbring retweeted
Jordan Love when targeting Christian Watson and Matthew Golden today: 17-for-18 for 335 yards and 2 TDs.
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Kendre Miller had handled 44 of the Saints' 80 running back carries (55%) in four games since Travis Etienne went down. Alvin Kamara and Audric Estime are the 2 healthy RBs left on the active roster. Zamir White and Jarquez Hunter on practice squad.
The Saints released Kendre Miller, per source
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I have ambitiously -- and some would say outrageously -- checked in on Trey McBride in fantasy leagues given his current playoff schedule featuring dome games against the Jets, Saints, and Raiders. As long as Kyler Murray isn't coming back as QB, McBride's gonna smash.
The Denver Broncos have checked in around the league on tight ends, going so far as to ambitiously -- and some would say outrageously -- check on Cardinals star Trey McBride, who is from Fort Morgan, Colorado, and played at Colorado State. The Cardinals made it very clear they have zero intention of trading McBride.
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Michael Mayer's target shares in games with Brock Bowers back: 9% > 20% > 3% > 22% > 7% > 23% > ? Trend bettors have already locked in the under on his receiving lines 🔨
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Mark Dankenbring retweeted
Amidst all these QB changes, might not be a bad time to name Carson Wentz as the Vikings starter moving forward? Small sample of 27 Kyler targets for Justin Jefferson, but it's been an ugly pairing so far and JJeff is clearly unhappy.
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Tons to discuss this week on the Rest of Season Top 150 pod given the QB musical chairs around the league. Broke down those spots and gave moves to make for your fantasy leagues with @adamlevitan , @notJDaigle , @JackMiller02 youtube.com/watch?v=fhGN_kjx…
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Amidst all these QB changes, might not be a bad time to name Carson Wentz as the Vikings starter moving forward? Small sample of 27 Kyler targets for Justin Jefferson, but it's been an ugly pairing so far and JJeff is clearly unhappy.
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WRs to have >20% target share in every game this season: 1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (8 games, 34.1% total tgt share) 2. Matthew Golden (8, 26.3%) 3. Amon-Ra St. Brown (7, 30.6%) 4. Chris Olave (7, 26.1%) 5. Puka Nacua (6, 33.6%) 6. DeVonta Smith (4, 30.8%) (SIS data, min 4 games)
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Turns out RBs who get a lot of targets are great bets in PPR formats. Only current top 10 PPR backs not in this list aren't far behind in tgts and have 16 combined TDs *Chuba Hubbard RB5 - 26 tgts, 7 TDs *Javonte Williams RB10 - 24 tgts, 9 TDs (Buy Chase Brown in PPR leagues)
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5.6% - Quinshon Judkins' target share in 14 career games with Dylan Sampson 14.1% - Judkins' target share in 7 career games without Sampson
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Mark Dankenbring retweeted
Turned out the hero who won the Midseason Main Event Sunday is #OneOfUs. Insane team. Huge congrats.
Here's a post-lock sim look at the team that won the Midseason Main Event on DK yesterday. Turned a $1500 buy-in into $1.5M. Team was extremely intuitive, and simmed really well. Beyond tilted I didn't play something similar, will talk about that on Solo Pod later today. Reminder can always see post-lock sims for a ton of contests on @TheSolverSports.
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Bryce Young has thrown the ball away an NFL-high 29 times this season. 10.9% of his 2026 pass attempts are throwaways. 29 targets and a 10.9% target share would rank third among Panthers pass catchers behind only Tetairoa McMillan and Jalen Coker.
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DJ Moore & Dalton Kincaid have been awesome for Buffalo to start the season. Key is both staying healthy. Kincaid among 38 qualified TEs: - 1st in YPRR (2.75) - 9th in TPRR (24.7%) Moore among 96 qualified WRs: - 11th in YPRR (2.60) - 17th in TPRR (27%) (data via SIS, min. 100 routes)
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The process and now results for Jeremiyah Love and Ashton Jeanty as top 10 picks is truly horrendous for two organizations with glaring holes at premium positions on both sides of the ball. Reminder Jeremiyah Love's $53 million guaranteed is the most for any NFL running back.
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