
Historian @TelAvivUni & Walter P. Stern fellow @WashInstitute. Past 1st president @ShalemCollege J’lem. History & politics of Middle East & Israel.
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Joined April 2009
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I’ve given up on reform of Middle East studies. The only way forward is to create a parallel set of institutions, devoted to understanding the Middle East as it is, not as we wish it to be. martinkramer.org/2026/10/14/…
“The prime minister of Israel has posted an image of an atomic bomb falling on Tel Aviv," Yair Golan said. "I ask that he be kept away from social media. The man and those around him have lost it. The pressure is mounting." ynetnews.com/article/h1rpzlj…
Netanyahu’s pitch: Elect me or die! He joins a long list of people in the Middle East who think they can get their way by threatening Israelis.
What Netanyahu is doing here is wrong on so many levels, but I’ll focus on two:
First, his claim that Israel will be destroyed by Iran if he is not reelected is ridiculous. It is sad to see him resorting to the same old scare tactics, and even sadder that people continue to fall for them.
Second, if there were any doubts, this should raise serious questions about the warnings about an imminent Iran war in recent weeks. This is all about trying to influence the election. Netanyahu is turning Israel’s national security into an election tool. Exploiting a serious threat for political survival is irresponsible.
And here it is: he puts up a post showing a nuke detonating on Tel Aviv. This man is desperate, pathological, and dangerous—a threat to the security, prosperity, and well-being of Israel.
תקראו את הדברים החשובים של יובל בלומברג:
מדינת ישראל נמצאת בסכנה קיומית אמיתית ומוחשית. אם האיראנים ישיגו גרעין, שום דבר כבר לא ישנה יותר. הכל כל כך טפל אל מול הסכנה הקיומית של איראן והציר השיעי.
הסערות המבוימות והמומצאות חדשות לבקרים נועדו להסיט את תשומת הלב מהדבר האחד שהוא החשוב ביותר: סיום העבודה באיראן.
זה נוגע בקיום הפיזי של כל אדם ואדם כאן.
יש לנו עוד שנתיים של טראמפ לסיים את העבודה באיראן, ואין לדעת מה יהיה לאחר מכן, אם זו תהיה קמאלה האריס, או תואם מאמדני כלשהו.
זה חלון הזמן שנותר לנו כדי להשלים את העבודה הנדרשת כדי להבטיח את הקיום הפיזי שלנו לשנים הבאות. כל משאבי המדינה הנדרשים, צריכים להיות מושקעים במשימה הזו.
קטאר, חרדים, אוריך, גיוס, התראות.
הכל מסך עשן ענקי כדי להסתיר את הנושא היחיד שניצב מעל כולם בפער.
אם יפלו במרכז הארץ שתי פצצות אטום, את מי יעניינו כל סערות הסרק האלה?
הדורות הבאים לא יסלחו לנו אם נפספס את חלון ההזדמנויות ההיסטורי שמאפשר לנו לנסות ולהשלים את המשימה הקריטית ביותר שעומדת בפני הדור שלנו.
זה לא יקרה עם ראש ממשלה שמוחזק בצווארו על ידי האחים המוסלמים וסייעני הטרור.
זה לא יקרה עם ראש ממשלה שלא מסוגל להרים את הטלפון ולנהל שיחה אינטימית רציפה עם טראמפ.
זה לא יקרה עם ראש ממשלה שלא מסוגל לעמוד בלחץ של ראיון טלויזיה.
השינאה לנתניהו, ככל שהיא עולם ומלואו עבור מחנה שלם, לא תעזור מול הגרעין האיראני.
כל אחד שדואג לקיום הפיזי שלו, של משפחתו, ושל אהוביו, ידו צריכה לרעוד לפני שהוא בוחר במישהו שלא יהיה מסוגל להשלים את המשימה, ובכך לדון את עצמו ואת משפחתו לסכנה של שואה שניה, בגלל השינאה הפוליטית שלו או בגלל סערת דמה מטופשת וחסרת חשיבות.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
נתניהו אמר בקולו שאיראן כבר לא איום קיומי ושהנצחון עליה יעמוד לדורות
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“Netanyahu’s passive, defeatist resignation to a bleak future of sanctions and isolation is tantamount to the prime minister accepting a nuclear-armed Iran and offering the public fallout shelters instead of preventing the danger.” calcalistech.com/ctechnews/a…
Bank of Israel repudiates Netanyahu’s mad plan to resort to a “bypass economy” based on crypto and blockchain instead of banks. (I can think of a much, much better Plan B for Israel, and he’s not part of it.)
Some common sense.
📰🚨 Bank of Israel responds to Netanyahu’s remarks on Saturday:
“Cryptocurrencies cannot serve as a way to circumvent sanctions.
The right course of action for Israel’s economy is to preserve our economic relationships with our major trading partners and focus on preventing sanctions and their negative impact on the economy.”
“One of the things that made Israel so special compared to other countries is that they had a real democracy. What we’re seeing now feels more like a banana republic. If Bibi is elected, Israel stands to lose badly.” Ronald Lauder timesofisrael.com/former-net…
It’s not Bibi Derangement Syndrome. It’s just Bibi Deranged.
1/ Benjamin Netanyahu got the last set of polls last night. They argue Likud and his block are eroding fast.
Then, came his remarks on Israel's economy. These are among the most extraordinary he has made in a long political career. Whatever their intent, they carry real weight for the Israeli economy – before Tuesday's election, and regardless of who forms the next government.
In an interview with journalist Roy Katz, aired Friday, the prime minister said American military aid to Israel is coming to an end. "It's over. It's only a question of time," he said. Israelis should get used to no longer receiving tens of billions of dollars in U.S. defense assistance, he added, "because America has changed."
That alone is remarkable. There is a growing recognition in Israel that U.S. military aid in its current form will have to change, and might end, as bipartisan support for Israel erodes in Washington. Netanyahu himself has spoken before about wanting to wean Israel off the aid.
But there is a distance between that recognition and a sitting prime minister effectively announcing the end of one of the pillars of the U.S.–Israel strategic relationship. The current Memorandum of Understanding – $38 billion over ten years – runs through September 2028. It is embedded in a web of interests that includes the American defense industry, and Israel's diplomats in Washington work hard to sustain it. Israel's friends in Congress, operating in an increasingly difficult political environment, are still fighting to preserve the special relationship. When the prime minister himself says "it's over," that is a hard message for Israel's defense establishment, and for those in Washington still trying to help.
And that was only the opening.
"There could be sanctions, including banking sanctions," Netanyahu said. Israel, he explained, must prepare an economy capable of bypassing them.
This is a different order of magnitude entirely.
Some background is needed. In the world of international sanctions, comprehensive banking sanctions against a country are among the most powerful tools available to major powers. They are not import restrictions, consumer boycotts, or even arms embargoes. Broad financial sanctions go after an economy's circulatory system.
Israel's banks depend on the global financial system: correspondent banks, clearing, credit lines, the ability to move money across borders. Without access to banks abroad, the Israeli economy stops functioning. And such sanctions don't hit only the banks. They hit everyone who banks with them – companies, exporters, importers, investors, employers. When foreign banks become nervous about a country's financial institutions, they tend to cut ties well beyond what the law strictly requires.
In other words, a sweeping financial sanctions regime would push Israel toward the category of Iran or Russia.
It would be worse. Iran and Russia sit on vast oil and gas reserves. Even under sanctions, they keep selling – mainly in Asia and parts of the Global South. Israel's economy is not built on commodities. Its strength comes from integration into the global economy: human capital, technology, research, advanced services.
According to the Israel Innovation Authority, Israeli high-tech exported roughly $85 billion in goods and services in 2025 – 58 percent of all Israeli exports – and accounted for about half of the economy's growth. It is the engine of the economy, and it depends on foreign markets, foreign capital, and the free movement of money.
Netanyahu did not say who might impose banking sanctions. A prime minister raising this possibility, in the same breath as forecasting the end of U.S. aid, should prompt immediate questions. Is he referring to European sanctions? American ones? above all: how did Israel get to the point where this is being discussed at all?
There was more - and much worse.
Truly ghoulish.
💥Stop everything and watch a ghoulish Netanyahu promise to be the overlord of an underground, sanctioned Israel, a Super Sparta in which he promises bitcoin and blockchain will protect Israel's "bypass economy" and pluckily declares he's "already ordered plans for it." #NotAI
Martin Kramer retweeted
Israelis want to know how Netanyahu will avert sanctions—not how Israel might abandon the international system that helped make it affluent. Suddenly touting crypto as an alternative economy echoes Russia and Iran’s sanctions evasion—and reinforces his unpopular “super-Sparta” vision.
Prime Minister Netanyahu warned that, amid possible banking sanctions against Israel, the government is exploring alternative financial systems, including blockchain and cryptocurrencies.
jpost.com/business-and-innov…
“Netanyahu's declaration that the Iranian regime must be overthrown, an objective he says he has assigned to the IDF, the Mossad and Israel's other security agencies, has no practical value.” Amos Gilad, Shimon Shiffer ynetnews.com/opinions-analys…
Amir Tibon summarizes: Netanyahu ten years ago: “I’ll strengthen Israel’s international standing. We’ll be a powerful country with excellent diplomatic relations.” Netanyahu today: “We’ll hole up on a desolate mountain in the Judean Desert and stockpile cryptocurrency.”
“Israeli soldiers have recently become little more than a backdrop for Netanyahu's countless appearances. He moves from military base to military base, turning the men and women of the IDF into scenery for his political performances.” Gilad & Shiffer ynetnews.com/opinions-analys…
“Trump’s endorsement of Netanyahu was just plain wrong. Israelis alone should decide whom to vote for in their election without the unsolicited advice or veiled threats from another country’s leader, even one as close as the US.” Jerusalem Post editorial jpost.com/opinion/article-91…
“Trump helped bring the hostages home, and now he is preventing Netanyahu from finding the tricks that might allow him to postpone the elections. Trump is saving Israeli democracy.” Amos Gilad, Shimon Shiffer ynetnews.com/opinions-analys…
The last time Israel struck an enemy country on the eve of American midterm elections was exactly 70 years ago: 1956, Suez. The Eisenhower administration was mighty unhappy. timesofisrael.com/report-idf…
“We were promised tremendous, unprecedented achievements in two wars, that we had 'pushed the threat back for generations.' How did we push the threat back for generations if Iran can attack again?" @Citrinowicz ynetnews.com/article/rykoqgl…
Netanyahu squelched a state commission of inquiry while stoking a conspiracy theory that Oct 7 was betrayal from within. Half his supporters now live in an addled fantasy world. Tamar Ish-Shalom on why the craziness has spread. ynetnews.com/opinions-analys…
“Before Israel launches a campaign against Iran for which there is currently no immediate need, we must ultimately analyze what we failed to achieve in the previous campaign and why." @Citrinowicz ynetnews.com/article/rykoqgl…
“Israel can survive without Haredim enlisting in the army. But it cannot go on as a prosperous economy without haredi integration into that economy. The continued haredi economic underdevelopment is a direct and immediate threat to Israel’s survival.” ideas.tikvah.org/mosaic/essa…
“It is up to the Israeli people to choose their own leader and threatening that the US will walk away from the conflict with Iran is beyond stunning.” @DavidMakovsky
Just days before Israel’s October 27 election, President Trump has unequivocally endorsed Prime Minister Netanyahu.
In one fell swoop, Trump has broken with the longstanding U.S. practice of avoiding explicit endorsements in Israeli elections—and gone further, warning that the U.S. would not join Israel in confronting Iran if Israelis choose anyone but Netanyahu. It is up to the Israeli people to choose their own leader and threatening that the US will walk away from the conflict with Iran is beyond stunning.
Moreover, Hungary demonstrated that a Trump endorsement is no electoral guarantee. Despite Trump’s backing and VP Vance campaigning in Budapest, Viktor Orbán lost by nearly 15 points, ending 16 years in power.
Nor have Netanyahu’s popular military successes against Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah and Iran’s Ali Khamenei appreciably moved the electoral needle. Likud won 32 seats in 2022; polls now routinely put it at just 20–22.
The ultimate test is assembling a 61-seat Knesset majority. Yet Netanyahu appears more focused on preventing an Eisenkot-led coalition from reaching that threshold than on demonstrating a viable path to 61 seats himself.









