Montgomery Flora, Ph.D. (@MontePhD) header
Montgomery Flora, Ph.D. (@MontePhD) profile picture

Montgomery Flora, Ph.D.

@MontePhD

Self-motivated individual actively pursuing knowledge. Passions include being a loving husband/father, studying severe weather, and playing music.

 Cumming, GA
monteflora.wixsite.com/mflora
Joined January 2019
  • Tweets278
  • Following105
  • Followers159
68Media
Photo by Montgomery Flora, Ph.D. (@MontePhD)Photo by Montgomery Flora, Ph.D. (@MontePhD)Photo by Montgomery Flora, Ph.D. (@MontePhD)Photo by Montgomery Flora, Ph.D. (@MontePhD)Photo by Montgomery Flora, Ph.D. (@MontePhD)Photo by Montgomery Flora, Ph.D. (@MontePhD)Photo by Montgomery Flora, Ph.D. (@MontePhD)Photo by Montgomery Flora, Ph.D. (@MontePhD)Photo by Montgomery Flora, Ph.D. (@MontePhD)Photo by Montgomery Flora, Ph.D. (@MontePhD)
🚨 Exciting Announcement! 🚨 Introducing WoFSCast: our AI-powered system for predicting thunderstorm evolution at watch-to-warning scales. 🌩️⚡ essopenarchive.org/users/829…
5
11
4
66
8,987
Can we use AI to predict thunderstorm evolution? Recently published in @theAGU GRL, we refactored @GoogleDeepMind's GraphCast for regional modeling and trained it on @CIWRO_ / @NOAANSSL's archived Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS) data.
AGU's Eos (@AGU_Eos) profile pictureAGU's Eos@AGU_Eos20 May 2025
Meteorologists are turning to AI as a quick, efficient alternative to traditional weather prediction algorithms. Now researchers including @MontePhD & @corey_potvin have extended this tech to cover localized extreme weather as well as global forecasts. eos.org/research-spotlights/…
Storm Prediction Gets 10 Times Faster Thanks to AI - Eos

Storm Prediction Gets 10 Times Faster Thanks to AI - Eos

Forecasters hope new algorithms will lead to earlier warnings of when dangerous weather is on the way.

eos.org
1
1
1
183
more replies
@corey_potvin
1
58
Pretty animations comparing WoFS and WoFSCast 😀
55
🚨 New paper! 🚨 Available in EOR is our paper exploring training AI models on MRMS MESH vs. reported hail sizes: journals.ametsoc.org/view/jo…
1
1
4
237
The craziest result: Although the training inputs did not include time of day or any social data, the local storm report (LSR)-trained model produced lower probs at night. This suggests that the biases were coming from the physical environment
Image from Montgomery Flora, Ph.D. (@MontePhD)
58
Super proud of this work! More to come this upcoming year with @corey_potvin and @DopplerChase as we transition to an ensemble-based WoFSCast.
CIWRO (@CIWRO_) profile pictureCIWRO@CIWRO_13 Jan 2025
WoFSCast is the first AI system trained and developed to emulate a sub-hourly convection-allowing weather model (CAM). WoFSCast speeds up forecast generation versus WoFS by at least a factor of ten, from minutes to seconds. #AMS2025
Image from CIWRO (@CIWRO_)
8
297
Super proud to see that forecasters find WoFS-ML-Severe useful. #AMS31SLS Always keep your end user in mind when developing new products!
Image from Montgomery Flora, Ph.D. (@MontePhD)
1
6
217
Mete Civelek (@mete_civelek) profile pictureMete Civelek@mete_civelek11 Sep 2024
“Concepts of a plan” = “Manuscript in preparation”
1
144
We can also create ensemble predictions using the WoFS members as ICs
Image from Montgomery Flora, Ph.D. (@MontePhD)
1
219
@corey_potvin
219
Best of all? WoFSCast achieves this in 30-40 seconds on 1 GPU, compared to the 8-12 minutes and 60+ CPUs WoFS needs.
1
1
224
While development is ongoing, WoFSCast matches WoFS's critical success index (CSI) with fewer false alarms and less spurious convection.
Image from Montgomery Flora, Ph.D. (@MontePhD)
213
Trained on archived Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS) data and a refactored GraphCast for limited area domains, WoFSCast can predict thunderstorm evolution for up to 6 hours.
384
Montgomery Flora, Ph.D. retweeted
Corey K Potvin (@corey_potvin) profile picture
Corey K Potvin@corey_potvin25 Jul 2024
Our paper combining AI/ML, storm-scale ensemble prediction, and "forecasting forecast skill" is now in final form in @AMS_AIES: doi.org/10.1175/AIES-D-23-01… Co-authors: @MontePhD, Patrick Skinner, @tonyreinhart, @BrianWxFLA
1
4
371
Load more