Research Meteorologist at NOAA National Severe Storms Laboratory.
Joined February 2020
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In EOR at @AMS_AIES: "Using machine learning to predict convection-allowing ensemble forecast skill: Evaluation with the NSSL Warn-on-Forecast System" doi.org/10.1175/AIES-D-23-01…
Corey K Potvin retweeted
Can we use AI to predict thunderstorm evolution?
Recently published in @theAGU GRL, we refactored @GoogleDeepMind's GraphCast for regional modeling and trained it on @CIWRO_ / @NOAANSSL's archived Warn-on-Forecast System (WoFS) data.
Meteorologists are turning to AI as a quick, efficient alternative to traditional weather prediction algorithms.
Now researchers including @MontePhD & @corey_potvin have extended this tech to cover localized extreme weather as well as global forecasts. eos.org/research-spotlights/…
Corey K Potvin retweeted
Meteorologists are turning to AI as a quick, efficient alternative to traditional weather prediction algorithms.
Now researchers including @MontePhD & @corey_potvin have extended this tech to cover localized extreme weather as well as global forecasts. eos.org/research-spotlights/…
Corey K Potvin retweeted
🤖 How can AI help scientists predict thunderstorms faster? 🤔
A new paper from NSSL and @CIWRO_ discusses how WoFSCast, a new AI-powered model, can accurately predict how storms will evolve up to two hours in advance. ⛈️
📝: inside.nssl.noaa.gov/nsslnew…
Corey K Potvin retweeted
🚨 New paper! 🚨 Available in EOR is our paper exploring training AI models on MRMS MESH vs. reported hail sizes: journals.ametsoc.org/view/jo…
Corey K Potvin retweeted
🌪️🌩️ Studying tornadoes in the field has always been at the heart of the NSSL mission. With roots in the 90s, the VORTEX-USA project continues to blaze a trail in tornado science with the ultimate goal to protect lives and property.
🌪️ UP CLOSE: inside.nssl.noaa.gov/nsslnew…
Huge kudos to @MontePhD for leading this awesome work! AI will undoubtedly play a major role in NWP at all scales.
🚨 Exciting Announcement! 🚨
Introducing WoFSCast: our AI-powered system for predicting thunderstorm evolution at watch-to-warning scales. 🌩️⚡
essopenarchive.org/users/829…
Our paper combining AI/ML, storm-scale ensemble prediction, and "forecasting forecast skill" is now in final form in @AMS_AIES:
doi.org/10.1175/AIES-D-23-01…
Co-authors: @MontePhD, Patrick Skinner, @tonyreinhart, @BrianWxFLA
Corey K Potvin retweeted
🤔How can science provide more warning when 🌪️tornadoes threaten?
The Warn-on-Forecast System, equips forecasters with critical information between watches and warnings, enabling them to give longer lead times in the face of severe weather and tornadoes.
inside.nssl.noaa.gov/nsslnew…
Corey K Potvin retweeted
Our paper on the usefulness of the "WoFS-ML-Severe" products examined during the 2022 HWT-SFE is available in EOR. This paper explores subjective verification, objective verification, and qualitative analysis of the participant's feedback. journals.ametsoc.org/view/jo…
I believe this is the first published application of machine learning to predicting storm-scale forecast skill. This work motivates additional applications of ML to predicting forecast skill, including at larger scales / longer lead times.
Corey K Potvin retweeted
**Experimental (Not Public Yet)**
The new AI hail size algorithm says 2 in is possible!
This quoted post is unavailable.
Corey K Potvin retweeted
Hot off the press: The OU School of Meteorology (@ousom) & School of Civil Engineering and Environmental Science have a joint tenure-track faculty position focused on the broad areas of Hydrometeorology and Hydrology that is now open. Apply here: apply.interfolio.com/137372
Please share!
The Feb 1 deadline for NRC postdoc apps is coming up! I am looking for someone to work with me on a topic related to our Warn-on-Forecast System. Search "Potvin" at ra.nas.edu/RAPLab10/Opportun…. These project descriptions are flexible. Possible topics in next post....
The Feb 1 deadline for NRC postdoc apps is coming up! I am looking for someone to work with me on a topic related to our Warn-on-Forecast System. Search "Potvin" at ra.nas.edu/RAPLab10/Opportun…. These project descriptions are flexible. Possible topics in next post....
Possible NRC postdoc topics:
(1) WoFS forecast emulation via deep learning
(2) Other ML applications
(3) Thunderstorm predictability
(4) Multi-resolution ensemble design
(5) Novel verification techniques
(6) ???
Feel free to reach out here or at [email protected].