Nathan Sproul

Georgia Midterm Results have a HUGE problem 🚨 The election results show there were more Republican votes for Agriculture Commissioner than for US Senate and Governor seats There is no way Republicans came out to vote for Agriculture Commissioner but not US Senate Republican vote totals in Georgia: - Agriculture Commissioner: 1,922,235
- Governor: 1,909,727
- Insurance Commissioner: 1,901,067
- School Superintendent: 1,890,782
- Labor Commissioner: 1,884,575
- Attorney General: 1,856,944
- Public Service Commission District 5: 1,855,409
- Secretary of State: 1,847,873
- Lieutenant Governor: 1,834,070
- All U.S. House: 1,825,598
- Public Service Commission District 3: 1,808,461
- US Senate: 1,712,587 The Senate race was against Democrat Jon Ossoff, and he won Again, there is no way Republicans voters turned out to vote Red for Agriculture Commissioner but then voted Democrat for Senate This is clearly no right

‼️BREAKING: Turning Point Action Terminates ENTIRE Ballot-Chasing Staff Weeks Before the Holidays😱 Turning Point Action has notified its Chase the Vote ballot-chasing employees that their positions will end on November 20, 2026. The decision affects staff nationwide and arrives weeks before Thanksgiving and Christmas, according to former employees who spoke on the condition of anonymity. One former manager oversaw a team of over 20 ballot chasers. Another worked as a ballot chaser and was later promoted to senior chaser. Both described a consistent pattern in which leadership assured workers that the strongest performers would be retained after the election. Managers were instructed to communicate that message. In at least one case, a promised raise for a senior chaser was never fully implemented. The formal termination notice, dated November 9, states that the midterm ballot-chasing project has concluded and that no further work is available. The organization raised substantial funds in the period following Charlie Kirk’s death. Former staff members said the volume of those contributions stood in contrast to the decision to eliminate the field operation so close to the holidays. Households in which both spouses worked for the organization are among those affected. Health benefits are scheduled to end on November 30. The same former employees described how ballot chasers were also routinely used to fill empty seats at events so that rooms would appear fuller for cameras and donors. They were excluded from certain staff gatherings and then invited at the last minute when attendance was low. One former manager characterized the field operation as a presentation for candidates and donors rather than a sustained grassroots effort. He said the treatment of these workers differed sharply from the emphasis Charlie Kirk had placed on students and local volunteers. Campaigns that received Turning Point Action’s support have frequently expressed dissatisfaction, according to the former staff. The only clear success they could identify during the period in question was a recall election against another Republican. Statewide and congressional races the organization backed ended in defeat. Leadership continued to highlight the scale of its get-out-the-vote effort even as those results accumulated. Internal estimates shared by the former manager placed the daily cost of maintaining the Chase the Vote teams at roughly $50,000. The abrupt conclusion of the project after the election is consistent with an earlier cycle in which similar assurances were given and then withdrawn. The former employees said the pattern of promising continued employment and then terminating staff has now repeated. Turning Point Action has not publicly detailed the financial considerations behind the staffing decision. The former workers said the combination of large post-assassination fundraising totals and the pre-holiday terminations has left many of the affected families without income or benefits during a period when expenses typically rise. The organization describes itself as a conservative Christian movement. The timing and manner of the layoffs have led the former staff members to question how that description aligns with the treatment of the people who carried out its field work. CC: @tylerbowyer @MrsErikaKirk @TPAction @nypost @nytimes @WSJ @DailyMail

NEW The New York Times has obtained the letter President Trump left for President Biden in the Oval Office in 2021. The letter — which Trump wrote by hand using his signature black Sharpie — is printed in Biden’s forthcoming presidential memoir. Full Story: nyti.ms/4zbXc6m

The path to GOP re-emergence in 2028 -- told by a single district. In 2020 Lauren Boebert challeged a 5 term GOP Congressman in Colorado's 3rd District. She ran a campaign based in large part of COVID issues and as a strong supporter of Pres. Trump. She prevailed in the primary 55-45% due in large part to the incumbent not taking her challenge seriously. She won the general election by a narrower margin of only 51-45. But in 2022 she won reelection by one of the narrowest margins of the year -- 550 votes. So in 2024 cycle she switched and ran in the Colorado's much more GOP friendly 4th District after the incumbent announced he would not run. The prior GOP incumbent had won that seat in five election cycles with more than 60% of the vote each time. She won election to that seat in 2024 by a margin of 54-42. Today she was declared the loser in her re-election effort by a margin of 49-48%, with a libertarian candidate receiving 3%. Boebert was -- and always has been -- a bad candidate who caught lightning in the bottle in 2020, and then rode the MAGA wave in winning reelection by margins far narrower than they should have been in the districts she ran in. Now she will be gone. And in 2028 a good GOP candidate should have little or no trouble recapturing that seat. There are dozens of seats just like this -- districts that went Trump-Trump-Trump in 2016, 2020, and 2024, that voted in an Democrat in 2026. Those districts are ripe for the picking with better GOP candidates and a more normal environment in 2028.

It’s going to be a wild week in the US Senate. Buckle up. I have been calling around to various Republican Senators this weekend. A few takeaways… 1. Conference is just furious — pissed is an understatement. 2. They see their own inaction on critical issues like the SAVE Act and insider trading bills as a major de-motivator for the midterms. They blame Thune and leadership for playing safe. 3. The rushed Leadership vote Tuesday is seen as a blatant insult. Senators want to know how their Leaders will respond to lame duck session and being in a steep minority. 4. Over a dozen Senators are demanding round the clock work on Trump nominations and judicial appointments. Some believe parts of the SAVE Act can still be passed through reconciliation. 5. Recess appointments are also being demanded. Thune is holding them up. 6. Senators are openly questioning their adherence to “tradition” — blue slip, filibuster etc. — as a new crop of Democrats couldn’t care less and will destroy tradition for power in a heartbeat. 7. There’s a sense that something big is going to happen. A real shakeup. Stay tuned… One Senator tells me: “The guys blocking an America First conference are all gone now. It’s never going back to the old ways. Time to try new things…” Buckle up.

The Midterm is Not the Endterm It is too soon to calibrate the direction of the post midterm Democratic and Republican Parties. But if the first 72 hours are any indication—and despite the soon to be Speaker’s denials—the Left is already bragging about subpoenas, and it is intoxicated by the notion of investigations and impeachments. Heady Democrats have entirely forgotten the politically suicidal fashion of the 2021-4 five civil and criminal courtroom circuses, the Mar-a-Lago raid, and the blue state deballoting efforts. All that and more fueled the Trump recovery. Wild talk of multi-trillion-dollar new agendas grows, like socializing the health care system, a renewed Green New Deal, student loan forgiveness, and illegal alien amnesties, along with new punitive income and estate regulations and taxes. This socialist dream is reminiscent of the 2021 giddy splurging that gave the country a 9.1% inflation rate by midterm year 2022. Along with the Afghanistan disaster (the Left’s correction for a Middle East ‘forever war”) the inflation would ensure Biden a 40% popularity. The idea that the Left, which cannot do much real lawmaking without a veto-proof Congress, will try to reach deals with the White House, adopt a 1995 Clinton-like realist agenda, simply claim credit for the growing Trump economy, or moderate its rhetoric is highly unlikely. Instead, we hear crazy talk of confiscations, new billionaire and millionaire punitive taxes, imprisonments, changing the Constitution—all in full suicidal 1972 McGovern style. Republicans are blame-gaming each other, which can be constructive if over issues and reforms rather than social media ad hominem. But they need to message far better, about both the administration’s successes and the dangers of a socialist future. There will be likely be no planned presidential succession, or gentlemanly agreement on a front runner. That’s likely good news. More likely as of now a triangular race between front-runners De Santis, Rubio, and Vance emerges—all of whom are far preferable to any ticket with a Newsom, Harris, AOC, Mamdani, or el-Sayed. If the Republicans can stay reasonably united, they can ensure permanent presidential vetoes of crazy leftwing legislation, fight back on the Democratic committee inquisitions, and see the economy in the final two years become an asset in recovering their popularity. Absent in all conversations is that there is increasing evidence that the economy is actually expanding and has the potential to boom in 2027, or at least the data indicate such potential. The jobs report came out yesterday with a stunning 165,000 jobs created in October (accompanied by the usual journalists’ adverb “unexpectantly”), dropping unemployment to 4.1%. Revised 3rd GDP stats now show a robust 3.4% growth—likely ensuring at least 3%+ growth for the year. Third Quarter consumer spending soared 3.8%. Private domestic investment surged with 19.4% growth. Just reported last week: median family income in 2025 hit a new record ($87,460)—the highest in 60 years adjusted for inflation. And poverty dipped to its lowest rate (ever 10.2%). In October manufacturing activity grew faster than at any time in the past five years. Yes, prices are too high, and final 2026 inflation, given gas hikes, is scheduled to increase by one point (3.7%) from last year’s (2.7%). But it is still lower than the pan-European average (ca. 4+%)—and much lower than the Biden average over four years of 5.1%. Gas prices are already falling. On November 6 prices fell to a $4.06 average—as global oil transit is mostly back to prewar levels and refineries scramble to handle the increased deliveries. U.S. companies are dominating all the top 10 rankings in market capitalization/usage in key area such as software, AI, digital media, space, satellite launches, and bio/genetic engineering. Note that today gas prices are not that much higher than 4 years ago at the 2022 midterm time ($4.06 vs. ca. $3.80), and haven’t once spiked to $5 a gallon as they did in 2022, just four months before the Biden midterms. Yet oddly, the red wave sputtered in 2022 when the U.S. was in far worse economic shape than this week when the blue wave became a tsunami. Messaging, media, and communication count, so note: Four years ago GDP growth was lower than today—even though the pandemic was about over and there was a dramatic return to work and spending. The inflation rate was almost three times higher in 2022 than now. Median family income was $14,000 lower than now. The poverty rate was higher in 2022. The Dow was 20,000 points lower. Foreign investment will likely end the year 30-40% higher than in 2022. Real wage growth (nominal wages minus inflation) while not great in 2026 is likely to end the year far better than in 2022 (when real wage growth fell 2-3%). So why would “affordability” have been decisive in the 2026 midterms when it was not in 2022? The 21% aggregate inflation rate Trump inherited force-multiplied the average 3.15% Trump inflation rate of 2025-6— yet in a way the aggregate first-term Trump inflation rate (7.7% just a third of the Biden total) did not exaggerate all that much the 9.1% inflation rate in 2022. Messaging, however, matters. The administration did not explain adequately that a 21% rise in prices cannot be lowered without radical deflation or recession, but only ameliorated by medium family income growth and lowering the inflation rate from the Biden 2021-5 averages, both of which occurred in 2025-6, but were forgotten. Media coverage of the Biden 2022 weak economy were muted, while Trump’s 2-year inflation rate was exaggerated during 2026. The Iran war became the culprit as a war of choice that made the inherited Biden 21% high prices and the inability to lower were them solely Trump’s fault. Again, there was inadequate explanation of either the economic reality or why the gamble to denuclearize Iran was defensible–with the caveat that stopping the bombing at day 38 and talking with theocrats for seven months was an unfortunate mistake. The domestic and foreign policy activism of the lame-duck Clinton (1998-2000} and Obama (2014-2016) presidencies increased after their loss of Congress. Indeed, their popularity climbed from a once nadir of below forty to sixty percent approval or above. There is no reason why the Trump administration cannot have a successful last two years. The economy is growing. The crime rate is at historic lows. The border is closed shut. The radical pro-Western political transformation of South and Central America has remade the entire Western Hemisphere. European NATO is rearming. Oil and gas production is at highest levels of any nation in history. The bloated federal work force has been trimmed by over 270,000 jobs. There is no longer a 40,000-50,000 shortfall in military recruitment. The forced reforms in higher education were long overdue. The verdict on Iran is still out. If it is denuclearized, the crippling sanctions continued, the Strait kept open, the provincial opposition armed—and our military gone home— the regime will face an increasingly restive population 2026 was an unequivocal defeat, but 2028 need not be. If the administration and Congress stay disciplined and united, and can message better, while the Left goes utterly berserk, drunk on their midterm successes, socialism/Islamism, and Trump Derangement Syndrome 2.0, the tide will soon radically turn— as the economy already has.

It has been a true honor serving LD 27 over the last two years. A huge thank you to our volunteers and supporters for your dedication every step of the way. Congrats to my seatmate @LisaFink4AZ & @DHowardLD27 on their election. Wishing them both success in the upcoming term!

To put a finer point on this: When Donald Trump was elected president in November 2016, Arizona Republicans held all 8 statewide offices. January 2027: 0

BREAKING: California voters just passed Prop 37. Buyers of newly built homes can now put down 3% instead of 20%. How: the state lends you the other 17% as a second mortgage, funded by up to $25 billion in bonds. On an $800,000 home that's $24,000 down instead of $160,000.

📢 SAYING IT LOUDER FOR THE UNITARDS IN THE BACK 📣 MODERATES 👏 GOT 👏 WIPED 👏 OUT👏 CONSERVATIVES* 👏 HELD 👏 THEIR 👏 SEATS *Conservatives based on the voters' perspective -- not their actual voting records ____ This take here is a mental health crisis 👇

Incoming state Treasurer @MansourforAZ tells @12news he plans to seek more funding for public education and crack down on ESA fraud.

Let me explain, for the people trying to push a mass fraud narrative. The yellow is an illustrative representation of what the Independent voters contributed to each race.

@KimberlyYeeAZ - your election has been called for over two hours. Why can’t you do the decent thing and concede? Probably because you are not a decent person. Or maybe you are deleting all of your messages (a crime) in anticipation of the lawsuit I’m about to file against you…

Call me old-fashioned. Call me a bore. But victory should be enjoyed with class and defeat should be endured with dignity, writes @MattHennessey on.wsj.com/4z2zN7k