SUNY Oneonta Meteorology ‘29 |Proud Northeast WX Weenie | LHV 🏠 - SRV 🏠
Stony Point, NY - Oneonta, NY
Joined December 2022
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Nick❄️⛈️ retweeted
❄️FIRST FLAKES POSSIBLE❄️
If you throw away the 200 hour gfs snow maps and all the irrational hype around next weekend, the sensible way to communicate next week's potential system is some flakes/low accumulations in the high elevations of northern PA.
Everywhere else it's likely to be too warm for anything to stick even if it were to snow a bit.
Nick❄️⛈️ retweeted
Yes, there is a chance for a low pressure system to bring mixed precipitation to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast by next weekend. But, there remains a lot of uncertainty. Keep apprised of the latest information at weather.gov
ALT WHAT WE KNOW: A wave of low pressure is likely to develop across the Ohio Valley late Wednesday and then track eastward to off the Mid-Atlantic coast Friday while strengthening. This low pressure will cause expanding precipitation, with rain and high elevation snowfall possible. Much cooler than normal temperatures will accompany this system Friday and through next weekend. WHAT WE DON’T KNOW: The exact placement of the storm — small shifts in the track will greatly change impacts. The amount of snow that may occur, and whether lower elevations will receive any accumulation. The impacts to coastal regions due to gusty winds and onshore flow. BOTTOM LINE: Confidence in storm development is higher than confidence in specific impacts. Forecast details will change over the next several days. Keep up to date with the latest at weather.gov
Nick❄️⛈️ retweeted
Could it snow in the Northeast late next week? Yes!
A storm likely tracking near the coast could encounter enough cold air to produce wet snow.
Especially because it's so early in the season and coastal seas are warm, inland areas have the highest chances for some accumulation.
Nick❄️⛈️ retweeted
❄️ COASTAL STORM NEXT WEEK... FIRST SHOT AT SNOW?
Odds are increasing for a coastal system to emerge off the New Jersey and Long Island coastlines a week from today.
With our cold shot trending more potent across model guidance, it's looking quite possible that many areas across our region will see their first snowfall of the season, but given the time of year, this system will likely be limited to higher elevations above 1500 feet.
However, we'd like to note that if ridging out west continues to pump and move into a more favorable position, it could allow for a slower-moving and stronger system that could bring snowfall impacts to lower elevations, but this is something that's very low in confidence, especially given the time of year.
We'll continue to monitor the latest. #pawx #njwx #nywx #snow #storm
Nick❄️⛈️ retweeted
A moment of silence for the NAM forecast model which is retiring tomorrow morning after 20 years.
Nick❄️⛈️ retweeted
October 29, 2012:
Hurricane Sandy made landfall as a massive post-tropical Category 1 in New Jersey.
Impacts in the Northeast were devastating, ranging from storm surge to inland flooding to fires that burned entire neighborhoods. 160 people were killed in the US.
#wxhistory
Nick❄️⛈️ retweeted
Tomorrow, October 29th, marks 14 years since Post-Tropical Storm Sandy made landfall along the Jersey Shore. Sandy was a true generational storm with respect to coastal flooding along the New York and New Jersey Coasts and in the hardest hit areas recovery took years.
Nick❄️⛈️ retweeted
If true, the fact the remnants of Hurricane ISAIAS didn’t dissipate until it was over Siberia is insane!
Nick❄️⛈️ retweeted
Over 200 severe warnings were issued throughout the last 2 days in New Mexico and Arizona alone... 😳
Nick❄️⛈️ retweeted
Arizona had 12 tornado warnings yesterday, the most in a day there since 2010.
Now Phoenix, Flagstaff, Prescott and Show Low are under severe storm watches until 10 and 11 AM Arizona time, with hail up to 2 inches possible.
Nick❄️⛈️ retweeted
Large stovepipe tornado captured north of Heber-Overgaard, AZ 15 minutes ago with @RealDLScales
Nick❄️⛈️ retweeted
A highly unusual EF-0 tornado has been confirmed near Lac Spartan, Nord-du-Québec, from July 21st. Not only is this the farthest north Canadian tornado since at least 1980, but 2026 is now the busiest Canadian tornado season on record with 124 inland tornadoes. #qcstorm
Nick❄️⛈️ retweeted
NHC will initiate advisories on Subtropical Storm Josephine (formerly AL93), located offshore of the U.S. East Coast, at 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC).
Nick❄️⛈️ retweeted
Oct 21 Wed afternoon: NHC is monitoring 2 systems over the central and NW Atlantic Ocean. The westernmost one (Invest #AL93) has a 50% chance to become a subtropical storm, with low chances for the system well E-SE of Bermuda. More: hurricanes.gov
Nick❄️⛈️ retweeted
this will be the first tornado watch in the western US all together since october 6th, 2010
