Minnesota politics. Stargazer. America First. MAGA + Lisa Demuth/Ryan Wilson for Minnesota Governor! 🦆 🇺🇸
Joined February 2016
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Tad Jude's campaign videos have a certain cinematic quality that doesn't get talked about enough.
Very kino. I wish more candidates had the courage to do something different like this with their content.
@NorthStarRight check out this video for MN Secretary of StateTad Jude. Polls are close. His office oversees elections, votee rolls, LLCs. Vote Tad Jude🇺🇸
What does dropping cash to push a Libertarian spoiler in the MN US Senate race say?
Principled Patriots PAC looks like a pretty obvious Democrat shell. They're throwing money at third parties in competitive races.
Not a vote of confidence for that Flanagan +14 poll being real.
New Tafoya-aligned Victory Insights polls for Minnesota: 👀
Flanagan +3.5 and Klobuchar +7. 🟦
Pretty well in line with everything we've seen except for the atomic outlier NYT/Siena dropped today.
The final KSTP/SUSA polls can't come soon enough to clear the air.
Flashback: Last time. I could find NY Times/Siena polling any MN race was CD2 in 2018, another blue wave year.
Actual result:
52.7% Craig
47.1 Lewis
And a similar boom poll for MN Gov with Klobuchar+18. 👀
It's funny that this is the only poll so far to have Klob in the high double digits like most Democrats expected over the summer.
If this did come true, downballot would be nuked. The MN GOP becomes a mammoth frozen in the ice and who knows when it would thaw.
Outlier for now.
NY Times/Siena drops a giant face-ripping +14 Flanagan poll. 👀
Hard to know what to make of this one since it's also a giant outlier for now. This is the kind of poll that will probably look crazy or prophetic depending on which midterm universe is real.
Medium blue wave with regional variance in MN or blue Epic of Gilgamesh flood?
NYT/Siena poll | 10/19-10/26 LV
US Senate Minnesota 2026
🟦Peggy Flanagan 54%
🟥Michele Tayofa 40%
Link to poll: nytimes.com/2026/10/28/upsho…
If I had to guess, we may get one more set of KSTP/SurveyUSA polls for Minnesota elections sometime between today and 11/01.
Their last poll for 2024 dropped on 10/29 and had Harris +8 in MN. True result was Harris +4.24.
Their final poll of 2022 also dropped 10/31 and had Walz +8. Final result was Walz +7.66. They nailed it.
So, while the final polls from KSTP/SUSA aren't always perfectly accurate, they're usually not far off.
Minnesota Post Primary Polling Averages: 👀
Governor:
🟦 Amy Klobuchar +8.43
US Senate:
🟦 Peggy Flanagan +3.14
Attorney General:
🟦 Keith Ellison +2.2
Secretary of State:
🟦 Steve Simon +5.67
State Auditor:
🟥 Scott Jensen +2
*As of 10/27/2026.
Under one week to go until the votes are counted. Klobuchar’s average polling lead is a hair worse from the last time I posted this on 09/30, and Flanagan’s is better by about +1.
We might get a couple more polls, especially for US Senate, but I wouldn’t expect this to change much before Election Day.
This must've been intense. It's hard to imagine a more perfect liberal suburban voter than the average employee at BCBS MN in Eagan.
The company was pushing liberalism and proto-DEI views back in the early Obama era.
Credit to Lisa Demuth for showing up and trying to sway a cold audience anyway.
It was a privilege for me to speak today with employees of Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Minnesota about my work as a legislator and campaign for governor.
The event in Eagan is part of the company’s “Citizen Blue” program. Thank you to those Blue Cross employees who joined me in person at their Eagan headquarters, and those who joined online.
Still crazy how fast the DFL memoryholed this guy for bland, generic Tina Smith. And now he's back to help pull Flanagan over the finish line for his old Senate seat.
The more things change, the more they stay the same.
Hey Minnesotans! Let's get out the vote and elect @peggyflanagan our next U.S. Senator!! I've known Peggy for 20 years and she'll do Minnesota proud. The polls are open. Bring your friends and neighbors! DFL.org/gotv
Fox News shifted MN CD1 to Lean R. Bigger ouch is shifting CD2 to Solid D.
It wasn't going to be that competitive this year, but CD2 could wind up bluer than ever with a harder Left Democrat.
🔵 Fox News ratings change - US House 2026
Likely D → Solid D: MN-02
Lean D → Likely D: CA-13, CA-48, NE-02, OH-01
Toss-up → Lean D: FL-14, MI-07, NC-01, NC-11
Lean R → Toss-up: KY-06, TX-35, WI-01
Likely R → Lean R: MN-01, SC-01, TX-23
Solid R → Likely R: NC-07, NC-13, OK-05, WA-05
All 19 shifts favor Democrats.
Glad to see someone making the case for Tafoya to Strib's lib Boomer readers. 🤞
My column in support of Michele Tafoya.
More of the same will get us more of the same. We need new leadership.
startribune.com/mn-midterm-e…
Not helping his low IQ image at all.
CNN: Minnesota Governor Tim Walz is saying his advice for the future of the Democratic Party is “pick Pete Buttigieg.”
Link to article: cnn.com/2026/10/26/politics/…
Pretty sure Trump dropped this "official" Tafoya endorsement today to counter Obama getting behind Peggy Flanagan.
Nothing too surprising that will shake up the MN US Senate race. But it should make any less enthusiastic super MAGA holdouts on Tafoya feel more comfortable voting for her.
Pretty clear the Flanagan campaign is progressive turnout maxxing on the final stretch with Seattle ultra leftist Jayapal showing up.
Minnesotans are fired up and ready for big, bold change.
@PramilaJayapal gets that, and I was so grateful to have her join me and DFLers in Golden Valley and Brooklyn Park!
Another heavy hitter endorsement for Peggy Flanagan.
Not that unusual since it's just a video vs. a rally or in-person event. Obama endorsed Tina Smith in 2018 too.
Another lesson from Brazil. The question is who gets burned in US prediction markets in another week and a half?
Texas might be rough.
