Durham, NC
Joined November 2017
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Pat Bayer retweeted
Mark Robinson called public school teachers “wicked people.” Now he’s saying wicked people “need killing” as a “matter of necessity.”
Anyone who talks about teachers the same way he talks about terrorists is too dangerous to be North Carolina’s next governor.
Pat Bayer retweeted
How do you publish this 36 hours after Super Tuesday and not even mention Austin and Houston’s election results? Counties’ combined population — 6 million people.
‘Saving the Democratic Party from itself’: Blue cities get tough on crime ow.ly/4sQZ105kUs9
Pat Bayer retweeted
Applications are now open for the Pre-Grad Fellows Program! See website for more details:
econ.duke.edu/phdprogram/pro…
Pat Bayer retweeted
‼️ Alex Villanueva is out! The Los Angeles County sheriff just conceded (while trailing by a huge margin of 60/40).
If you don't know who this is, or why this matters, just read the first paragraph of @PiperSFrench's piece:
boltsmag.org/unease-in-los-a…
Pat Bayer retweeted
In 2019, chief public defender Mary Moriarty rang alarm: 98% of ppl arrested for weed stings in Minneapolis were black. Police & prosecutor stopped.
Later, county fired her. She said she talked about racial justice too much.
Now: She won prosecutor race. boltsmag.org/minneapolis-pub…
Pat Bayer retweeted
Huge news in California: Newsom signed #SB1008, a bill that will make phone calls from prison free for incarcerated people.
Here's more context: smdailyjournal.com/news/loca…
Pat Bayer retweeted
HUGE news: California Governor Gavin Newsom has officially signed #AB2097, eliminating parking requirements for new housing projects within a half mile of public transit stops *statewide*!
This is what actual leadership on housing affordability and climate policy looks like!
Our pre-grad fellows program provides faculty mentorship and $2,000 towards applications/GRE for students applying to grad school in econ or a related field. We can support 15 fellows again this year. Please share widely.
If you're an undergrad interested in a Master's or PhD program in economics, consider our Pre-Graduate Fellows Program. It's targeted at students that can bring diversity to economics through background, life experience and scholarship.
Read more: econ.duke.edu/phdprogram/pro…
Pat Bayer retweeted
We continue to analyze the surge in women engaging in this midterm election since Dobbs. We'll be sharing updates on several states voter reg data soon, along with early voting data sooner than you'd think! In the meantime, a few big picture observations:
Pat Bayer retweeted
Nearly nine-in-ten Black adults say policing (87%), the courts and judicial process (86%), and the prison system (86%) require major changes or need to be completely rebuilt for Black people to be treated fairly. pewrsr.ch/3AYyprS
Pat Bayer retweeted
Holy hell, it actually happened: California just eliminated minimum parking requirements for new housing projects within a half mile of public transit stops *statewide*!
A truly incredible day for housing and climate policy in the world's 5th largest economy!
Pat Bayer retweeted
A few facts on Pell Grant recipients who have student debt:
-They make up 60% of student loan borrowers (27M)
-Nearly all come from families making under 60k; two-thirds come from families making under 30k
-98% currently make under 100k a year
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Pat Bayer retweeted
What DeSantis is doing here may be the most cynical, antidemocratic, & nakedly destructive of people’s lives maneuvers I can think in recent US politics. Beyond any politics, it’s just so horrible & tragic to these people. miamiherald.com/news/politic…
Pat Bayer retweeted
Results in Shelby County! Steve Mulroy (D) leads GOP DA Amy Weirich in the early voting, 56% to 44%.
So the results may tighten as Election Day votes comes in, but this already covers 83K ballots. (There were 145K ballots in the last DA race.)
Context: boltsmag.org/tennessee-shelb…
In addition to huge Dem turnout in KS, combined Dem vs GOP vote in Wash Sen primary should provide an indication of Dem vs GOP enthusiasm for midterms. Total congressional vote may be a bit skewed this year w Dems crossing over in WA 03 & 04 to support pro impeachment GOP cands.
Check out 2010, 14, and 18 vote totals here to get a sense of how predictive WA primaries have been about direction and size of midterm waves.
I'll even provide an "Exhibit A": you'll notice that 2006/10/14/18 stick out in this table, even considering that the Cascades tend to blunt any Republican wave coming from points east of the PNW.
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Pat Bayer retweeted
But should not lose sight of how stunning this turnout is.
2018 a Dem year with competitive KS Gov primary, and primary turnout was 68%R-32%D (R+36)
Right now (still counting), Kelly=INCUMBENT and Dem turnout is 144% of 2018, GOP turnout...97%.
Ratio is just 58%R-42%D (R+16)
Pat Bayer retweeted
A GOP strategist in KS warns this is "a big deal"
"There were no major contested Democratic primaries to drive turnout & the amendment still failed resoundingly. If Republicans think the issue of abortion isn't on the minds of voters tonight's results should put them on notice"
Kansas Voters Reject Constitutional Amendment Removing Abortion Protections wsj.com/livecoverage/primary… via @wsj
Thanks for sharing our new working paper and your comments on it @TrevonDLogan. Anyone interested in the full paper can find it on my website - we very much welcome comments/suggestions.
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