Social researcher. Head up public attitudes and polling at @BMGResearch. Expect lies, damned lies, and statistics.
Birmingham, England
Joined May 2012
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Robert Struthers retweeted
Andy Burnham should have a one-hour Ask Me Anything: with Andrew Neil.
A Times Radio interview with him would be a pretty robust test for a would-be PM.
Robert Struthers retweeted
New polling for The i Paper on the contest that's coming: Burnham versus Farage.
Across the three key areas that shape how voters judge a leader - competence, integrity and authenticity - Burnham leads Farage by a good margin.
Robert Struthers retweeted
🚨BREAKING | Reform lead by 4pts
➡️ Ref: 27% ( –2 )
🔴 Lab: 23% ( +2 )
🔵 Con: 20% ( +3 )
🟢 Grn: 13% ( +1 )
🟠 Lib: 11% ( –1 )
Poll: @BMGResearch, 23 – 24 June
––
(+/– vs 28 May)
Robert Struthers retweeted
Bloody hell. This is NUTS
The ONS say that "in London, the average home was not affordable for any household income decile".
Utterly broken....
In London, the average home was not affordable for any household income decile.
In three other regions (South East, East of England & South West), the average home was only affordable to the top decile.
Read more ➡️ ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationa…
ALT Chart showing the least affordable regions – London and the South East - also had the widest differences in affordability between high-and low-income households.
Robert Struthers retweeted
Exc: the secret plan to rewrite the top of government - that never happened
From 🎙️Politics at Sam and Anne’s 🎙️
Listen in full: open.spotify.com/episode/2Re…
Robert Struthers retweeted
Charlie is alive and fighting in hospital.
Please join us in praying for him.
Robert Struthers retweeted
Other findings Labour might want to address 77% now say they see this Government as chaotic rather than stable, this was a killer for the last government with people fed up of Tory Drama. Starmer’s new cabinet will want to make “politics that treads more lightly” a reality.
Robert Struthers retweeted
🚨📊NEW POLL
@BMGResearch poll for @theipaper shows that Reform has pushed out its lead over Labour to 9 points, with Nigel Farage's party rising to 32% - its joint highest vote share with BMG.
Farage has also recorded his highest satisfaction rating with the pollster.
Robert Struthers retweeted
Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 30% (-1)
LAB: 27% (+3)
CON: 19% (+1)
LDM: 12% (-1)
GRN: 7% (-2)
SNP: 2% (-1)
Via @BMGResearch, 24-25 Jun.
Changes w/ 28-29 May.
Robert Struthers retweeted
🚨🗳️
EXCLUSIVE
Tories take a polling lead - for the first time in 3 years (on Sunak's last day as leader)
Con 29%
Lab 28%
Ref 17%
LD 13%
Grn 8%
Voters think Budget will leave them worse off, @BMGResearch poll finds
Story @theipaper: inews.co.uk/news/politics/to…
Robert Struthers retweeted
2024 Pollster Scores (Regular Polling, Not MRPs):
🥇 @NorstatUKPolls
🥈 @VerianGroup
🥉 @JLPartnersPolls
Robert Struthers retweeted
Can I thank all the pollsters, focus group convenors, data journalists and political scientists on here for their work over the last few weeks? I’ve learnt so much from you, I don’t take it for granted and I am really grateful.
Robert Struthers retweeted
It’s never “the i wot won it”
Only one national newspaper has never supported a political party. That’s why @theipaper readers trust us to tell it straight
🖊️ @olyduff
⬇️ Tap to read
Robert Struthers retweeted
Thursday's front page of @theipaper
Labour's lead narrows in final poll - but Starmer still on course for landslide #TomorrowsPapersToday
+ Why it's never the i wot won it
inews.co.uk/news/why-i-wont-…
Robert Struthers retweeted
Westminster Voting Intention:
LAB: 39% (-3)
CON: 22% (+2)
RFM: 16% (=)
LDM: 11% (-1)
GRN: 7% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)
Via @BMGResearch, 30 Jun - 2 Jul.
Changes w/ 24-26 Jun.
Robert Struthers retweeted
BMG's @RStruthers17 says: "The Conservatives should not take much comfort from the slight narrowing in the Labour lead we have seen in the last week. Unfortunately for Sunak, this is simply too little, too late."
inews.co.uk/news/politics/po…
Robert Struthers retweeted
📊 Final pre-election VI poll for @theipaper 📊
📉 Gap between Labour and Conservatives narrows but still as high as 17 points.
LAB: 39% (-3)
CON: 22% (+2)
RFM: 16% (=)
LDM: 11% (-1)
GRN: 7% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)
OTH: 3% (+1)
30th June - 2nd July. Changes with 24th-26th June.
Robert Struthers retweeted
The lack of enthusiasm for Labour at this election really is striking.
Among those who plan to vote Labour tomorrow, the party is much less well-liked than in 2019, 2017 or 2015 (no data before that).
Quite a flimsy voter coalition that could unravel in the absence of results.
Robert Struthers retweeted
📊 Labour lead at 22pts
Westminster voting intention
LAB: 42% (-)
CON: 20% (+1)
REF: 16% (-3)
LDEM: 12% (+3)
GRN: 7% (-)
via @BMGResearch, 26 Jun
buff.ly/3yFzpSK