Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 (@RealTimShady42) header
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Just here for the show

Joined May 2015
Photo by Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 (@RealTimShady42)Photo by Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 (@RealTimShady42)Photo by Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 (@RealTimShady42)Photo by Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 (@RealTimShady42)Photo by Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 (@RealTimShady42)Photo by Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 (@RealTimShady42)Photo by Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 (@RealTimShady42)Photo by Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 (@RealTimShady42)Photo by Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 (@RealTimShady42)Photo by Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 (@RealTimShady42)
Me when a tweet hits 100 likes: “Y’all be sure to check out my SoundCloud, my IG, and I’ll make an Etsy account just so just can check that out too.”
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A very happy reminder: $IONQ DIDN’T take the government’s money in exchange for giving up an ownership stake. As mad as I’ve been about the Heights deal, I’ll take that deal a million times before I take a government ownership stake.
BREAKING: Intel stock, $INTC, crashes over -22% after reporting weaker than expected earnings. Intel blamed weak earnings on "softness in the PC market."
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This feels especially promising.
“If we can predict the [protein's] shape, we can design a drug that recognizes the harmful form and leaves the healthy one alone.” A Hopkins-led team backed by up to $52M from @ARPA_H will build an AI model to decode how proteins misfold in Parkinson’s, cancer, and other diseases. bit.ly/4zMyCdb
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I’ve been buying $ENRD directly. It probably has a few years, but I think that it ultimately will be a steal. $IONQ
picture einride running 500 autonomous trucks across the country. every truck has a deadline, a battery to charge, roads it can't always use, and remote operators who can't be everywhere at once. then a storm hits and half the schedule goes to hell. einride is already patenting ways to handle some of these problems, and they've worked with ionq on freight optimization. there's a monster of an engineering opportunity here. give ionq the entire fleet: truck locations, delivery deadlines, battery levels, charging stations, road restrictions, and available remote operators. build an optimization engine that decides where each truck goes, when it leaves, and where it charges. then throw a storm at it. close a highway. knock out a charging station. how quickly can it rebuild the plan? put the best classical software through the same test. the prize is getting more deliveries completed with the same 500 trucks, fewer miles driven empty, less time wasted waiting for chargers, and fewer missed deadlines. if ionq can do that better and cheaper than the alternatives, einride has a way to make every truck more productive without buying another one.
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Awesome! 239 more of these contracts and the revenue equals what we paid for Elisity! $IONQ
We've received $7.5 million in follow-on funding from the Air Force Research Laboratory (AFRL), reflecting the strength of our partnership and the value of our full-stack approach. The Phase 2 contract with AFRL expands upon the first-generation quantum network we previously delivered in Rome, New York, adding advanced optical, hardware, and software layers for real-world deployment. “We are building quantum networking that runs on standard telecom infrastructure and through open air, and proving it on a live network,” said @jordan_shapiro, IonQ President, Quantum Platform. Read the full announcement: ionq.com/news/ionq-awarded-7… #QuantumNetworking #QuantumIsNow #PowerofPartnership
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Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
"Russia, frankly, has been fine on Ukraine. They haven't been doing much." - President Trump, earlier today
A horrific Russian strike in the Kharkiv region. A “shahed” struck people directly – in a park near an ordinary café. Pure atrocity. Six people were killed, including children. A little girl was killed in a stroller – her name was Angelina, she was just over a year old, born in August 2025… Her mother’s name was Inna. She died in the hospital… Another girl who was killed was 11 years old. My condolences to their families and loved ones. Another 14 people were injured, including six more children. I am grateful to everyone who supports Ukraine under these circumstances and helps us shoot down “shaheds,” shoot down missiles, and stop Russian assaults. These are horrific photos, but behind them are shattered lives and the truth about this war. Lives must be protected. Ukraine needs air defense. You can't think about making money with Russia as long as it continues its asinine war. We ask that sanctions on Russia stay in place as long as the killings continue. We ask America to be strong, and we ask it to apply the Lindsey Graham law. We ask Europe to continue its support. We ask that everything possible be done to bring peace and guarantee security. Ukraine wants peace. It is Russia that has insisted on continuing the killing all this time. The world has enough strength to stop the war. That strength must finally be used – against the murderers.
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$IONQ fam, how do we feel about Joe’s theory here?
$ionq heights is dumping all of their shares right now 50 million shares have got to be dumped onto the market probably by the end of this week starting from when they did the deal and they’re willing to take a loss because they want the warrants they want a long day call options. They don’t want anything else and they’re willing to get out of the stock as quick as they can and get their money back as quick as they can and take the loss in the long run. They think they’re gonna be a winner a big winner but right now they’re willing to take a loss.
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Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
“The American president cannot understand why Zelensky and his people do not simply accept their situation and lie down under Russia’s tank treads.”
Humiliating and dangerous: Trump has now finally just made America an ally of the Kremlin and is aiding Putin in his war against an American friend and partner. Shameful betrayal of a US friend, and pathetic submission to a US enemy. theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/1…
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Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
Madden 04 Michael Vick truly was Gamebreaking 😳
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Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
The most absurd number in CPI? According to the US Government, the cost of health insurance has declined 36% over the last 4 years...
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Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
$IONQ - Couldn’t have said it better.
i've spent some time reading what fellow $IONQ shareholders are saying about the latest $2 billion offering. i understand the frustration. some of you have been invested in this company for years. you've watched the technology improve, the acquisitions accelerate and the ambitions grow. now you're looking at another financing that could significantly increase the share count, and you're asking a reasonable question: what are we getting in return? i've seen shareholders asking why ionq needs another $2 billion when its cash burn appears manageable. others are questioning whether acquiring SkyWater has changed the company's capital requirements. some want to understand how this financing fits with management's earlier comments about its financial position. others want answers about Superion specifications, customer deliveries and how much additional dilution shareholders should expect. i don't think these concerns should be dismissed as impatience. you can believe in ionq's future and still demand financial discipline from management. i've read the offering documents, and the first thing i want to understand is why ionq needs another $2 billion right now. the company expects approximately $1.99 billion in net proceeds. it's a serious amount of money. what does this additional capital allow ionq to accomplish that it couldn't accomplish with the resources it already has? which products, customer deliveries or manufacturing milestones will move forward because of this financing? there may be excellent answers, but shareholders deserve to hear them. management should explain what changed and why raising this money makes sense today. there's a meaningful difference between needing capital to execute an existing plan and choosing to raise capital because a new opportunity makes doing so attractive. then there's the financing itself. ionq is offering 20.5 million common shares, 29.5 million pre-funded warrants and 100 million additional warrants exercisable at $69.46 over seven years. the $40 offering price covers a share, or its pre-funded equivalent, together with two of those additional warrants. participating investors aren't simply paying $40 for a common share. they're also receiving valuable rights to purchase additional shares in the future. what alternatives did management consider? could ionq have raised the money without issuing so many warrants? shareholders deserve to understand why this was the best available deal for the company and its existing owners. according to the prospectus, ionq had approximately 408.9 million common shares outstanding before the offering. the filing projects approximately 429.4 million after the offering closes, before warrant exercises, or 558.9 million if all the warrants issued in this offering are exercised. these are projected figures, not shares that have already been issued. the offering is expected to settle on october 16. the final figure also doesn't include every other outstanding equity award or potential future issuance. if all 100 million new warrants exercisable at $69.46 are eventually exercised for cash at their initial strike price, ionq could receive approximately $6.95 billion in additional capital. but that money isn't guaranteed, and exercising those warrants would mean issuing another 100 million shares. shareholders deserve a clear picture of the entire capital structure, including outstanding warrants, equity compensation and potential future issuances. show us how the share count and the company's cash position change under different scenarios. dilution doesn't automatically destroy value. the money raised can create substantial value if management deploys it successfully. but building a larger company isn't necessarily the same thing as making each existing share more valuable. which brings me to where the money is going. the prospectus describes working capital, general corporate purposes and potential strategic acquisitions and partnerships. i understand why management wants flexibility. i don't expect ionq to disclose confidential negotiations or provide competitors with its internal spending plans. but $2 billion deserves a more concrete explanation. shareholders should have some sense of how management intends to balance investment in quantum computing, manufacturing, existing businesses and future acquisitions. and they should know what progress to look for. if the financing accelerates Superion, explain what gets accelerated. if it expands manufacturing capacity, explain what that capacity will accomplish. if it supports enterprise security, explain what commercial progress shareholders should expect. then come back every quarter and tell us what happened. what did we spend? what did we accomplish? what took longer than expected? i'm particularly interested in the questions shareholders are asking about Superion. they want specifications, delivery timelines and a better understanding of the work that remains. i understand that engineering schedules can change, and i'd rather have a credible timeline with clearly explained risks than a precise date management can't responsibly support. but there's a difference between demonstrating a technology, having a system ready for delivery and having a system accepted by a paying customer. management should explain where Superion stands along that path and whether this financing changes the timetable. the SkyWater acquisition deserves a closer look, too. owning a semiconductor foundry could be a tremendous advantage for ionq. it could give the company greater control over manufacturing, accelerate engineering feedback and improve the economics of producing quantum systems. but semiconductor manufacturing requires capital. equipment, facilities, maintenance, production capacity and working capital all have to be financed. what does ionq expect SkyWater to require over the next three years, and what will shareholders get for that investment? i'd also like to understand how the economics of owning the foundry compare with obtaining those manufacturing capabilities through outside suppliers. i'm not arguing that buying SkyWater was a mistake. i'm asking management to demonstrate the economic advantage of owning it. there's another detail in the prospectus worth acknowledging. when ionq acquired SkyWater, it inherited two material weaknesses in financial reporting controls that SkyWater had previously identified. one involved revenue accounting and access to its manufacturing systems. the other involved account reconciliations at its Fab 25 facility. ionq says it has implemented corrective measures, including new IT controls and integrating Fab 25's accounting processes into its own systems. but the company hasn't yet concluded that the weaknesses are fully remediated. the filing also says they haven't resulted in a material misstatement of ionq's financial statements. this doesn't establish that the acquisition is failing. but it illustrates something important about buying businesses. somebody has to integrate the financial systems, retain the engineers, make the sales organizations work together, preserve customer relationships and decide which products receive investment. all of that requires management attention. the acquisition announcement was the beginning of the story. the real test is whether owning SkyWater leads to better manufacturing economics, faster development cycles and products delivered to customers sooner. and that brings me to the acquisition strategy. ionq has completed its acquisition of SkyWater and agreed to acquire Elisity. the prospectus also says the company continues to evaluate additional acquisitions. i understand the strategy. buying manufacturing capabilities, engineering talent, established customer relationships and commercial distribution can be faster than building everything internally. but every acquisition competes with the opportunity to invest more money in the businesses ionq already owns. suppose additional investment in SkyWater could shorten manufacturing cycles and reduce production costs. what would another acquisition have to accomplish to justify taking priority? suppose Elisity could grow substantially faster with additional salespeople, engineering resources and distribution. why wouldn't ionq fund that opportunity first? these are hypothetical examples, but the decision is real. i'd like to know how de masi evaluates competing uses of capital, what returns he expects and what would make him walk away from an acquisition. the ability to say no to a deal is just as important as the ability to close one. the real test of an acquisition begins after the announcement. show us the customers won because two businesses came together. show us the products delivered faster, the revenue growth and the cost benefits. if owning these companies together creates more value than they could create separately, shareholders should eventually be able to see that in the operating results. and if an acquisition isn't producing the expected results, management should explain what it's doing about it. there's one more issue that deserves a serious answer. after this $2 billion, what would cause ionq to need additional financing? and what would have to happen for the company to fund more of its growth through the cash generated by its own businesses? i'm not expecting a company at this stage of development to become profitable overnight. but shareholders should understand the path. how much capital does management believe it needs to execute its current strategy, and what assumptions support that estimate? those assumptions matter, particularly if commercialization takes longer or acquisitions require more investment than expected. i also want to understand where management draws the line. there has to be a point where issuing more equity becomes too expensive, where an acquisition costs more than it's worth and where investing in the businesses ionq already owns becomes the better decision. access to capital is valuable. knowing when not to use it is valuable, too. i've seen people characterize concerns about dilution as impatience or a failure to understand the long-term opportunity. i don't think that's fair. you can believe quantum computing will become an enormous industry and still question the terms of a financing. you can support de masi's acquisition strategy and still want to know whether those acquisitions are producing returns. you can be excited about Superion and still ask when customers will receive their systems and how much it will cost them to use the technology. and you can believe ionq will become a much larger company while still caring deeply about how much of that company each existing share will represent. those questions are part of being an owner. i don't want ionq to abandon its ambition. i want the company to succeed. i want the technology to work, the products to reach customers and the businesses ionq has acquired to become more valuable because they're part of ionq. but i also want management to explain the financial decisions required to make that happen. de masi has demonstrated that he can raise money and buy companies. now i want to know whether he can make each share of ionq worth more because of those decisions. if i were sitting across from him today, i'd ask two questions. what changed that made raising another $2 billion the right decision now? and what are the three most important things you're going to accomplish with that money that you couldn't accomplish without it? i'd want answers specific enough that shareholders could revisit them a year from now and judge the results. i'm still interested in what ionq can become. that's precisely why i care about how management finances that ambition. the company has asked shareholders to believe in a very big future. it's reasonable for those shareholders to want to understand how much of that future they'll still own when it arrives. d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.ne…
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$IONQ 😡😡😡
GONNA BE BRUTALLY HONEST WITH YOU ON $IONQ Who actually bought IonQ’s $2 billion today, and why it matters. The buyer is Heights Capital Management, a structured-finance arm tied to Susquehanna, one of the largest options market makers in the world. Same firm that bought $2 billion of IonQ at $93 last October. Stock’s at $33 now. They came back for $2 billion more this morning. A firm doesn’t take a 60% loss and double down because it loves the technology, it does it because of how the deal is built. 50 million shares at $40, with 29.5 million of them as pre-funded warrants so the holder never trips the 10% ownership threshold. Plus seven-year warrants on another 100 million shares at $69.46, roughly double today’s price. That’s not a long-term position, but a book of options with a stock position attached. Desks like this manage risk the way market makers do, by selling stock against their exposure. Nobody outside Heights will ever see the exact book, since short positions aren’t in 13F filings, so I’m not going to tell you they’re short. I’m telling you what the structure is designed for. What it means for the stock is simple. Every time IonQ rallies toward that $69 strike, the warrants get more valuable and the holder has more reason to sell shares against them. That’s a ceiling, and it stays in place as long as the warrants do. It doesn’t make IonQ dead money, there’s about $4 billion of cash on the balance sheet and a DARPA contract that runs through 2029. It makes it expensive money with a lid on it, management had other ways to raise $2 billion and chose the one that hands a trading desk a quarter of the company in options. $INFQ $IONQ $QBTS
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BREAKING NEWS: $IONQ has reached a deal to buy Google’s parent company, Alphabet, for a reported $5 trillion, which is a 16% premium on Alphabet’s current market cap. This will be an all-stock deal in which 125 billion IONQ shares will be exchanged at a value of $40/share. IONQ’s CEO, Niccolo DeMasi, on the acquisition: “Bringing Google into the basket of companies that we already have further strengthens our product line and roadmap going into the future. With Q-Day fast approaching, it is essential that we upgrade YouTube to quantum YouTube as soon as possible. After all, the universe operates on quantum, and so should YouTube.”
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This hurts so much to read… 36% dilution longterm. $IONQ
$ionq so we now have three sets of warrants series A, B, and C here they are in summary: they all have seven years. The lowest price ones are approximately $70 **Here are the three main sets of warrants outstanding from IonQ’s recent equity offerings (including today’s deal):** - **Series C Warrants (today’s deal — October 14, 2026)** - Quantity: 100,000,000 shares - Exercise (strike) price: **$69.46** - Term: 7 years (expire around October 16, 2033) - Buyer: Entity managed by Heights Capital Management - Note: Issued together with the 50 million share equivalents (20.5M shares + 29.5M pre-funded warrants) at a combined ~$40 package price - **Series B Warrants (October 2025 offering)** - Quantity: 43,010,800 shares - Exercise (strike) price: **$155.00** - Term: 7 years (expire around October 14, 2032) - Buyer: Entity managed by Heights Capital Management - Note: Issued with the earlier ~$93 combined package (shares + pre-funded warrants) - **Series A Warrants (July 2025 offering)** - Quantity: 36,042,530 shares - Exercise (strike) price: **$99.88** - Term: 7 years (expire around July 9, 2032) - Buyer: Heights Capital Management - Note: Issued with the earlier $55.49 combined package (shares + pre-funded warrants) These are the three primary sets of higher-strike warrants currently out there. The older public redeemable warrants at $11.50 expired on September 30, 2026, and are no longer outstanding.
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Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
While Musk lashes out at India's government to force Starlink into its market, he is using Starlink in Ukraine as leverage, disrupting military missions. India is right to resist: dependence on US-controlled networks invites political pressure and will destroy domestic programs
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Me spending $10 on $IONQ stock this morning to help cover the cost of Elisity.
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This is one of the best political ads I’ve seen.
She done lost her damn mind.
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Tim Anderson ⚛️🌎 retweeted
I’m starting to get the impression that the administrator of the computer simulation we’re living in got absolutely blasted on some magic mushrooms he bought from a shady guy in a sketchy alley, and decided to have some fun by cranking the stupidity slider so far up that his servers’ cooling fans started screaming under the load.
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I don’t want to keep harping on this because I would rather just let yesterday be yesterday because the Elisity purchase is happening regardless, but your post, @DesFrontierTech, makes it so I need to say this: Elisity has around $15 million per year in revenue, and the company has over 100 customers. Let’s just call it an average of $150,000 in revenue per customer. These products have great gross margins (average gross margin is 75% to 85%), but most of that money is dumped back into R&D as well as sales & marketing. So, net margins are usually either negative or very low until this type of company hits a very large scale/matures. Given that, if every single dollar that Elisity brings in is pure profit, the company would have to acquire around 8,667 customers to break even in one year. Because the company retains customers so well, let’s say all those customers stay for five years. In that case, it would need 1,733 customers for IONQ to break even. Mature companies in this space average a 20% to 30% operating margin, so we’re back to around 9,000 customers over a 5 year period. Again, that is for mature companies and not a company like Elisity that is surely losing money right now. The point is that the tech is great, but the price paid for it and the business case that has to be made around that price seem pretty dubious. If it leads to system sales, which also need to be profitable, or networking jobs, which also need to be profitable, or sensing contracts, which also need to be profitable (anyone see a theme here?), then the case seems less dubious. I guess my gripe is that our money-losing company keeps buying other money-losing companies with stock dilution, and I do strongly believe we overpaid here. What also adds to my frustration is that Niccolo was directly asked on CNBC yesterday when he expects the company to be profitable, and he refused to give even a rough estimate. Yes, I get it that we are in a growth phase, but he can’t even say 2030? 2031? If the tech roadmap is true and not a bunch of nonsense, and if his prediction that Q-day will arrive before the end of this current administration (which he also reiterated yesterday on CNBC) is true and not a bunch of nonsense, then how in the heck will this company not be profitable in 2029? Anyway, I will end the rant, but it is really annoying to be told on Investor Day that every single item is in place and all that needs to be done is to execute on the existing tech road map and we will be off to the races, yet here we are… $1.3 billion on a company with $15 million in revenue and whose chief competitors in the space, like Zero Networks, have funding rounds valuing them around $250 million. Anyway, onward and upward we go! 🫡 $IONQ
shapiro ends his post by saying customers need to solve both security problems together. i agree with him. but show me one customer doing it. walk me through their problem. show me what they had to do before, what they can do today, and what ionq is building to make their job easier. then give me ten more stories like that. because when a CISO sees another security team solving the same problem they're facing, that's when you've got their attention.
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This is actually great news for $IONQ because it demonstrates that competitors are willing to stick with SkyWater for their fab needs. An initial fear of IONQ’s SkyWater purchase is that all of SkyWater’s other customers would flee due to ownership by a competitor, but this is one data point that points in the opposite direction.
Today, @SkyWaterFoundry and D-Wave announced a multi-year agreement to continue specialized semiconductor process development and manufacturing in support of D-Wave's quantum technology roadmap. The collaboration combines D-Wave's expertise in superconducting process engineering and quantum system and processor design with SkyWater's capabilities in process integration, materials engineering, thin-film fabrication and semiconductor manufacturing. The companies also collaborated on a proof-of-technology project earlier this year, applying D-Wave’s annealing quantum computing technology to drive more efficient manufacturing processes at SkyWater’s fab. The optimized maintenance schedule reduced lot delays by up to 30%, improving factory throughput. A forthcoming proof-of-concept will focus on extending the model to include resource availability, technician constraints, and additional fab-specific operational constraints. Learn more: dwavequantum.com/company/new…
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