
Host @PoliticologyPod. Lincoln Project cofounder. Ex-Republican strategist. Thinking about civil liberties in the Information Age. #Bitcoin. 🏳️🌈🇺🇸
Washington, DC
Joined April 2008
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Ron Steslow 🌻 retweeted
We will wish we had listened to these warnings before the massive attack that is coming. To summarize: all code has bugs, continuous attacks by thousand of AI agents guarantees that they WILL eventually find their way into any website/database/system. So we need a new way of thinking about defense.
The cyber tsunami isn't a future prediction. It's here already.
As I’ve said before, all code is buggy. And recent events continue to prove this, at scale The exposure we just witnessed from vulnerabilities in the PHP engine made evident the buggy truth far faster than anyone in the industry expected.
PHP powers 70% of the web. For years, deep engine vulnerabilities inside platforms like Zend were known, but widely ignored because the industry assumed they were too complex for human attackers to weaponize.
AI just flipped that assumption on its head.
By drastically lowering the cost and time required to find exploits, AI models discovered attack paths that human developers couldn't easily see or predict. Attackers are no longer just exploiting custom application code; they are cracking open the underlying platform engines that power millions of websites simultaneously.
The waves are coming ashore.
AI creates "toxic combinations" by chaining together lower-priority bugs that seem harmless on their own. A Priority 3 bug today can easily become a Priority 0 crisis tomorrow when a smarter model finds a new way to connect the dots. In short: cyber attacks have moved beyond human comprehension.
The hard truth for every CEO and Board member is that much of the legacy cybersecurity playbook was built for a human-comprehension era. Those tools and assumptions are now obsolete.
You cannot patch your way out of a tsunami.
When every piece of software is penetrable under continuous AI analysis, the strategy has to change. Prevention alone is no longer enough
The ultimate metric is cyber resilience. You must assume breach, and preemptively plan to protect your core, critical operations, and ensure that your business can get back up and running the moment the water reaches you. It is rising around us all.
Ron Steslow 🌻 retweeted
Frontier AI companies trained on vulns for years, built a digital nuke, then:
1. Posted about humanity being wiped out
2. Asked the Pope to call AI sentient
3. White House to ban rivals instead of helping.
Instead of distributing the tools to fix code.
It is not complicated.
Why are people acting like it's @OpenAI/@AnthropicAI's fault that vulns are being fixed/disclosed? This is the result of decades of security debt from poor software engineering. The labs' models are not creating net-new security risk, the risk has always been there and we're finally able to uncover and fix it.
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Ron Steslow 🌻 retweeted
😱 Xi Jinping seems to have completely lost his mind! Internet censorship in China has reached an unprecedented level—one that may never be surpassed!
At least several Chinese internet users have been banned from posting anything further on WeChat Moments simply because they posted this innocent sentence:
"习惯了近来平平淡淡的日子"
("I've gotten used to the quiet, uneventful days lately.")
Even worse, one user had his/her WeChat Moments posting privileges permanently revoked after filing an appeal. (See Images 1 and 2.)
What's wrong with this sentence?
Well, the first Chinese character is "习" (Xi), the fourth is "近" (Jin), and the sixth is "平" (Ping). Put them together, and you get Xi Jinping's name!
(The three characters circled in red are "习," "近," and "平," respectively.)
Another case involves a college student named Liu Kai, who is only 20 years old. He was detained simply for posting the message shown in Image 3 on WeChat Moments!
His post read:
"现在的近况
是白天实习
晚上躺平"
Which translates to:
"My current situation: Internship during the day, Lying flat at night."
("Lying flat" is a popular Chinese expression referring to opting out of relentless competition and societal pressures.)
Each of these three lines contains one character from Xi Jinping's name: "近" (Jin), "习" (Xi), and "平" (Ping).
Although the characters don't appear in the same order as Xi Jinping's name, the post still triggered the CCP's internet censorship system.
Four police officers showed up at Liu's home in the middle of the night, arrested him, and confiscated his computer, phone, and tablet.
After investigating him, the police discovered that he followed several anti-CCP YouTubers and had downloaded their videos and shared them with classmates. Authorities deemed this to constitute "de facto anti-CCP propaganda."
Beijing police decided to make an example of him, ordering a thorough investigation and a harsh sentence. His family has been barred from visiting him, and he has been denied legal representation.
Image 4 shows his detention notice, issued by the Haidian Branch of the Beijing Municipal Public Security Bureau. It reads:
To the Family of Liu Kai:
In accordance with Article 105, Paragraph 2, of the Criminal Law of the People's Republic of China, our bureau placed Liu Kai (male, born September 14, 2006, residing at Wenquan Town, Haidian District, Beijing) under criminal detention at 2:00 a.m. on October 19, 2026, on suspicion of inciting subversion of state power and the overthrow of the socialist system.
He is currently being held at the Haidian District Detention Center.
Detention Center Address: Haidian Detention Center, No. 2 Wenyang Road, Haidian District, Beijing.
🚨Breaking: Hu Chunhua, Once Seen as a Potential Challenger to Xi Jinping, Reportedly Missing! Has Something Happened to Him?
According to sources described as reliable, Hu Chunhua, the successor reportedly designated by former Chinese Communist Party (CCP) leader Hu Jintao and widely regarded as a potential challenger to Xi Jinping, has gone missing! There are suspicions that he may have run into political trouble.
Today, the CCP held a ceremony at the Great Hall of the People to commemorate the 90th anniversary of the Long March. Hu Chunhua was unexpectedly absent.
Du Wen @duwen2023, a former CCP official who once served as Hu Chunhua's legal adviser and now lives in Europe, immediately activated his contacts in Beijing. After reaching out through multiple channels, he confirmed that Hu Chunhua and his family could no longer be contacted.
Meanwhile, a senior CCP official made an ambiguous remark to Du: "The other boot has finally dropped!"
More specific information will most likely not be released until sometime later on October 25.
The above information was exclusively disclosed by Du Wen.
Hu Chunhua was chosen by Hu Jintao as Xi Jinping's successor, following the CCP's tradition of designating successors one generation in advance.
At the CCP's 20th National Congress, Hu Chunhua was originally expected to join the Politburo Standing Committee. According to reports, arrangements had already been made for him to take a seat. However, Xi Jinping allegedly staged a last-minute "coup" and removed his name from the list.
Hu Jintao reportedly learned of this only at the last moment during the closing ceremony of the 20th Party Congress and attempted to open the list in front of him to verify the information.
Li Zhanshu, then a member of the Politburo Standing Committee who was sitting beside Hu Jintao, prevented him from examining the list. Xi Jinping then ordered staff members to forcibly remove Hu Jintao from the hall.
The incident was captured on camera by foreign journalists at the scene and shocked the world.
When Hu Jintao was escorted out of the hall, Hu Chunhua was sitting on the podium. He remained silent, his arms folded across his chest.
At the 20th Party Congress, Hu Chunhua not only failed to secure a seat on the seven-member Politburo Standing Committee but was also excluded from the Politburo altogether, which traditionally has 25 members. With Hu left out, the Politburo was reduced to just 24 members.
He was instead moved to the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC), where he became its second-ranking vice chairman.
However, since the 20th Party Congress, overseas Chinese political circles have been rife with rumors that CCP elders and military leaders are joining forces to bring down Xi Jinping and elevate Hu Chunhua to power.
Some of these rumors have been so detailed and seemingly convincing that they almost sound like inside information.
Whether or not the reports about Hu Chunhua are true, one thing is certain: the power struggle within the CCP is raging fiercely.
Will there be unexpected developments at the upcoming Fifth Plenum, scheduled to begin on October 26? Will Xi Jinping successfully secure a fourth term at next year's 21st Party Congress?
For now, all of these questions remain unanswered.
Meanwhile, rumors have persisted that Xi Jinping may relinquish one, two, or even all three of his top positions in the Party, government, and military.
Some rumors have even named specific successors. For example, one scenario suggests that current Premier Li Qiang will take over as CCP general secretary, while Xi Jinping will retain only the chairmanship of the Central Military Commission.
All of this is further evidence of just how intense the internal power struggle has become, reaching a fever pitch.
Ron Steslow 🌻 retweeted
Another vulnerability few are talking about: I found my Claude Code exposing personal data in http headers because the sites it curled politely asked agents to identify their users 😊
Epistemic cybersecurity is the hot new category for 2027.
Ron Steslow 🌻 retweeted
The GRU hacked into Jared Kushner's iPhone. Dutch military intelligence (MIVD) then recruited a GRU spy who gave them access to the hacked phone. What MIVD discovered was that Kushner had access to two bank accounts --one Azerbaijani, the other Israeli --where Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Emirati ruler Mohammed bin Zayed deposited money. It sounds like a slightly far-fetched episode of "Slow Horses," but it's real. And it proves just how eye-poppingly corrupt this administration was and continues to be as its "special envoy" decides the fate of tens of millions in Europe in the Middle East. Simply incredible reporting by Matthew Cole, drawn from his new book on Kushner. vanityfair.com/story/jared-k…
Ron Steslow 🌻 retweeted
CodePink is visiting China this week. This is such a priceless photo of their ignorance of the country. Here's the "anti-war activists" standing in front of a sign about Red Army Village, a reference to a place named after the People's Liberation Army.
Ron Steslow 🌻 retweeted
Today I was in Washington DC to talk about financial privacy and the narrow path to non-dystopian digital ID. It was great to see @valkenburgh and @secparam, but I want to now expand on a point from our panel:
I think it is likely the BSA, as applied today, is unconstitional.
This is probably going to be surprising to a lot of you. After all, didn't the Supreme Court uphold the BSA as constitutional when it was challenged in 1974? Why yes, it most certainly did.
Have you read that opinion? I have. That same court said that the fact pattern today is likely unconstitional.
The case, for those unfamiliar, is California Bankers Assn. v. Shultz (416 U.S. 21). In it, when you read the actual decision, you find some interesting tidbits:
Title I recordkeeping requirements were upheld because mere recordkeeping was not a search, and the authorities asking a third party for individual pieces of data was thus not a search. Government access in that case still required orderly legal process.
Title II domestic reporting was largely a standing issue, pointing out there were not customers specifically challenging this at the time who had been clearly impacted.
Fifth amendment claims by depositors or the ACLU were considered speculative at the time, and did not note specific facts (nor privacy concerns) or even clear intent to engage in transactions in some cases.
Powell, who was joined by Blackmun, concurring with the majority, in fact specifically noted that “A significant extension of the regulations’ reporting requirements… would pose substantial and difficult constitutional questions.”
First: I think this case was correctly decided on the facts at the time, in the world where banking was largely done on paper, records searches were one at a time or at most small batches, and the amount of information a bank collected was far more limited. On the standing and non-ripeness points, those were probably also correct at the time, but I will note that doesn't make something constitutional, just that SCOTUS has a long history of punting on things until they have to confront it.
Second: the fact pattern today looks absolutely nothing like the fact pattern at the time. The expansiveness of a search is far greater, with banks involved in every asset of digital life and the transaction monitoring far more comprehensive than before. Previously, a BSA request could not get every purchase you had made over the past three months (thus also geolocating you at all those times), because that was all done in cash. Now it can.
In light of things like the recent Flock decisions at district courts finding Flock database searches without a warrant to be unconstitutional and the cell phone tower decision showing that non-particularized geofence warrants are also unconstitutional, it's hard for me to see how "we see your location constantly through your card always and then we turn tens of thousands of people's wroth of information over to the government with no individual suspicion" is going to pass muster.
The second point is in light of government pressure to close accounts, like the @USOCC just found in their report about the debanking of digital asset companies, the standing and ripeness arguments now look very different. There was, in fact, an actual nationwide dragnet at big banks to debank certain customers, partially pushed by regulators leaning on reputational risk, and the standing, harm, and ripeness issues created might be overcome here.
The third point is that the reporting requirements have expanded dramatically, exactly the thing the court itself cautioned against. "Hey gives us this one customer's info for transactions over $10k" is now "give us all transactions for all customers at all thresholds", and by waving their hands and screaming "third party doctrine", the Feds think this is somehow magically constitutional.
My view: it's not.
I think the time is right for someone to challenge this, and win.
Is digital ID inevitable? If so how can we make sure we properly tread the path to a non-dystopian digital ID? @valkenburgh moderates with @secparam and @austincampbell
Ron Steslow 🌻 retweeted
bombshell report from the OCC out today confirming what we all suspected:
between 2020 and 2025, based on a review of 100,000 complaints, America’s largest banks systematically denied banking to lawful businesses based on political and reputational considerations rather than objective financial risk, effectively appointing themselves arbiters of which industries deserved access to the financial system. digital assets was specifically named as one of the six most affected industries.
TLDR: we weren't imagining it. OCP2.0 was real.
Ron Steslow 🌻 retweeted
AI will be used to create unprecedented surveillance
The only question is: will civil society fight back?
Hint: you can’t do that without using AI yourselves
New: an AI company now lets cops identify specific houses, using data from Zillow/Airbnb, based on a single photo. It's part of Raven, previously called Geospy. Company previously demoed its tools to catch people vandalizing Flock cameras or protesters
404media.co/ai-company-lets-…
Ron Steslow 🌻 retweeted
The Flock saga is reaching truly chilling levels: when an Illinois college tried to cancel its contract and the company refused to take down its cameras, the college covered them. Then workers in unmarked vehicles repeatedly removed the coverings.
theverge.com/tech/1009411/el…
Ron Steslow 🌻 retweeted
Wanying Zhang was just the tip of the iceberg: The Chinese government is ramping up spy recruitment across the US - and threatening people's families if they don't sign on trib.al/0GXwJRu
Ron Steslow 🌻 retweeted
This is a huge story: UK's internal security service MI5 issued an unprecedented public criticism of China, warning that more than 100 academics linked to British entities have unwittingly helped China's espionage operations, and that continuing to work with that Chinese entity could lead to criminal charges.
This is perhaps the most aggressive public announcement from the UK towards China in decades. Too early to know if it signals a changing attitude from the government or is a test to see how Beijing responds -- either way, it's very significant.
bbc.com/news/articles/cwy7zr…
Ron Steslow 🌻 retweeted
She is "receiving lifesaving medical care" to make sure she survives so that they can try to kill her again later? This is a level of mania, incoherence, and incompetence that only the government could possibly deliver.
If they are incapable of doing a proper execution then they should just stop.
Breaking news: Christa Pike is alive, in critical condition “and receiving lifesaving medical care,” her attorneys said, after Tennessee officials tried and failed to execute her by lethal injection the previous night. wapo.st/4y2Xz2J
Ron Steslow 🌻 retweeted
Humans can't feel big numbers so convert them to time:
a million seconds is 11 days
a billion seconds is 32 years
a trillion seconds is 31,700 years
a government is adding trillion dollars of debt every few months,
and you think they are paying it back...
Ron Steslow 🌻 retweeted
Her comments are not random.
This is part of a well funded and carefully organized campaign to demonize open models and our civil liberties in DC.
Multiple Senate staffers have told me that outside groups are requesting meetings to provide “demonstrations” where open source models are used to attack simulated hospital websites and demand bitcoin as ransom.
These are cheap scare tactics funded by groups seeking to control open systems. In reality, cyber defenders rely on open models daily to find critical vulnerabilities before attackers get there first.
If these groups are successful, we will all be poorer, less free, and more vulnerable to adversaries with increasingly capable systems.
We're used to thinking of open-source models as an unadulterated good. But in the case of AI, they can actually pose additional dangers, as @ReidHoffman and I got into at #CGI2026. I appreciated this nuanced discussion.
Ron Steslow 🌻 retweeted
There is no surer sign that AI is the new climate change, than Prince Harry - who ostensibly knows absolutely nothing about AI - taking up the ‘AI will kill us all’ narrative as his urgent new political message.
Prince Harry, addressing the Clinton Global Initiative’s annual meeting in New York, was only able to deliver half of his planned address after an apparent glitch with the autocue machine.
His speech on the dangers of AI was cut short ⤵️
telegraph.co.uk/royal-family…
Ron Steslow 🌻 retweeted
In 2013, Bitcoin wasn’t an investment story for me. It was a way to pay Afghan women who had little or no access to banks and to give them greater control over the money they earned.
I wrote about that experience for @WSJ, and why “permissionless” technology can matter most where traditional systems fail.
Thank you @thetrocro for sharing.
Ron Steslow 🌻 retweeted
Searching Flock isn't a "search" subject to 4th Amendment protections.
Searching people's cellphones if they're coming in or out of the country isn't a "search" subject o 4th Amendment protections.
When IS a search a search anymore?
Cops, courts, & immigration authorities keep trying to carve out exceptions to due process requirements, like the Constitution doesn't apply where technology is concerned
A federal court says cops searching ALPR systems like Flock isn't a "search" for 4th Amendment purposes. Which means: no warrant necessary. No probable cause necessary. Cops can search Flock with "LOL" or "LMAO" as the reason & it's fine reason.com/2026/09/21/no-war…







































