Runcible

Will, You’re woefully out of your depth, and talking points don’t matter when it comes to people that SERIOUSLY analyze this war. 1) Iran holds escalation dominance. That was true then, it is true now. They can strike vessels conducting ship to ship transfers in the Gulf of Oman. They can strike Gulf energy infrastructure. Ansar Allah can threaten greater commercial traffic in the Bab al-Mandeb. They can hit STATIC tankers anchored off-port as they did in Iraq and UAE, and threatened to do in Kuwait and Bahrain. 2) Iran controls the escalation pathway. This can be seen by Iran striking FOUR vessels in the last 48 hours, and President Trump completely abandoning his “tanker for tanker” policy due to fear of escalation. It is repeatedly acknowledged, including by your ilk, that Iran is highly likely to escalate before the U.S. midterms. I don’t know what to call that other than controlling the escalatory ladder. 3) This war is now SEVEN months in compared to the neocons and lobbyists claiming it would be over in a matter of days. Best case scenario, we’re looking at a timeline of at LEAST two months before this is over, and likely well into 2027. Bond yields are through the roof. Diesel prices are at all time highs. Gasoline hit Labor Day highs. The Japanese Yen is a disaster. 4) Even though you claim we’re “totally winning the war”, President Trump HIMSELF is indicating that a deal will be made after the midterms. If we are in total control, why would we stop? Has Iran changed their terms at the UNGA even REMOTELY? No? That’s because everything I said in my post is still entirely accurate, and you are a fool and an embarrassment to our country. You’re out of your league.