RaShiAlpha

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Happy Diwali! This year along with my trading journals , I will share some free tools I have created, with my followers on personal finance, trading journal and automated investment/trading ideas. Stay Tuned!

For all those people who are biased even when price doesnt support their conviction. You can't escape this specially when market turns bad.

Currency adjusted Nasdaq performance vs Nifty Nasdaq/USDINR/Nifty Looks to be topping out for the near term #nasdaq #nifty #usdinr

Recent outperformace of Nifty compared to SmallCap 100 is cyclical . This is what I see by comparing their monthly ratios NIFTY/SMALLCAP. It is good that nifty bounced back so fast. The faster it gets there, smallcaps will get ready to take the lead. Around 70% of underperformance done in a month. Having said that, it can revert sooner or later as well but based on earnings and valuations , this looks to be the worst scene. #nifty #smallcap100

This commentary really shows how the management perceives things going forward in H2. Snippet from RP Tech concall EBGNG would also feel the pricing environment. #RPTECH #EBGNG

Well I am an investor and I started looking at price recently and I would say always look at business+ price. This is the best deadly combo you can have.

Never stay invested when the best result doesn't move the stock up. Price follws first, fundamentals catch up later. Saved myself from a 50% drawdown. $QQQ below 200DEMA. It is officially a dead end.

Mean reversion play.

One of the strongest names in the domestic AI/DC names. Good balance sheet, growing orderbook. The tailwinds are great. Company will keep doing well. But when the sentiments are hurt momentarily, the markets starts discounting the valuations and keeps it in check of earnings performance itself. You can extrapolate the FY28/29/30 earnings into it and see what kind of forward PE would you justify for this business and check the return you can expect from here on. For short term traders, just check today's performace and know for yourself what the market is trying to tell you after a superb quarter.

There is a clear shift in momentum leaders. If you are a momentum player, hope you are tracking them. I have made several changes to my portfolio as my watchlist changes daily. The process is still on.

If this would have been true, investing would have been so simple 😁. But glad it turned out to be like this, post covid era market players understood how markets can behave.

What do you think about this chart? #norecommendation

Quite a large divergence happening since Oct in portfolio performance as Nifty is performing divergent to small caps. My portfolio was 100% small caps below 50K MCap. I can align my portfolio according to market strength but the problem I am having in large caps is that their earnings growth will never be like top smallcaps. Their alpha will be less so I have to either play by huge position size or via derivatives. So I am in a wait mode for the time being till next week. I have 20% cash right now with underperformace compared to Nifty. NiftyIT is playing mean reversion and Reliance moving >10% is once/twice in a decade thing. If market celebrates by playing large names, maybe we need to respect that and play along. However, I will still be a bottoms-up picker guy.

For Q2, the list I am playing with for delayed EP reaction. I may have positions in some. #norecommedation. Only for your own study.

Have a happy trading/investing week. Expecting a lot of volatility this week on both upside and downside.

Q2 results of most of these are out. Hope you had studied these names. 🚀🚀 Credit @soicfinance