SillyBitoshi retweeted
Bitcoin Market Update 19 Dec
youtu.be/c3y2oItChKw?si=uH3Y…
SillyBitoshi retweeted
Most people wake up and instantly grab their phone.
They scroll, compare, and start their day already behind.
If you want an edge, do the opposite.
Wake up, drink some water, open your notebook.
Write a few words, map your day, drop one quote that sets your focus.
You don’t need affirmations or a whole Bible.
You need clarity.
Every day has two types of work:
Sharpening
and
Busywork.
Most people stay busy.
Few people sharpen.
If you’re early in your trading journey, two hours of backtesting in the morning will build more skill than staring at a random altcoin all day trying to force a schematic that isn’t there.
My mornings are simple:
1–1.5 hours of pure focus on charts, digging for crazy comparisons the elites leave behind.
No Twitter. No noise. Just sharpening.
Then 30 minutes with a book, not reading the entire story, just extracting the 5 red lines and 1–2 actionable steps I can apply today.
Books only matter when you actually implement the lessons.
Later in the day, I check for clean scalps during New York / London.
Gym, sauna, cold plunge, boxing, hard things that reset the mind.
Doing what most people won’t creates the discipline most people never have.
And it starts with the first 30 minutes of your day.
If you can’t even avoid your phone when you wake up, you’re not in control.
It won’t be perfect.
Two good days, one bad.
Reset, laugh at yourself, keep going.
Small steps compound.
Not today, not tomorrow, but they always hit.
Nothing changes if nothing changes.
Start sharpening.
SillyBitoshi retweeted
Is the top in?
BTC-4 (EUR/USDT/CHF/GBP) is printing a macro Wyckoff Distribution (M1).
What I’m seeing
- UTAD → TEST tagged. I shorted the TEST. (T7)
- LPSY zone marked on the chart = POI zone re distribution only if we do not start re accumulation here.
- We just swing-failed main market structure (MS). MS isn’t confirmed broken yet → distribution not fully confirmed.
The triggers:
- Bear trigger: Start closing MTF candles below POC and break & close MS → imbalanced range will unwind fast (volume built in premium = air below).
- Bull rescue: Form a May ’21-style re-accumulation here (clean range, SOS, LPS) → unlocks a new Gann time window for a second cycle top.
Cycle / context :
- We’re in the danger zone of Q4 in a 4-year cycle.
- USDT.D showing accumulation → there’s still “reason” for an M1, which fits a BTC re-accumulation scenario if it forms.
If price pumps straight into LPSY supply without re-accumulation, keep eyes on Week 43.
Alts :
Expect exit pumps to farm dopamine & liquidity. I’ll post a separate alt update. Study DOGEBTC and DOGE.D
Plan :
Start learning Wyckoff.
SillyBitoshi retweeted
There’s a moment in life where you feel it
that spark.
The sublime.
You’re chasing something real,
something that makes your heart beat again.
Most people never feel that.
They never try.
They’re scrolling, watching, comparing,
trapped in an algorithm not a life.
Guys, you won’t find magic lying in bed.
You won’t find purpose in distractions.
You find it when you go for something.
Try. Fail. Get up. Build again.
That’s where the sublime lives.
And remember,
your “friends” who only call when you’re up aren’t your friends.
When you hit rock bottom, you’ll see who’s real.
Be a good person.
Go to the gym.
Focus.
Stop feeling sorry for yourself.
It’s not that hard.
The world isn’t against you
you’re just not focused yet.
Start today.
Because once you feel that spark…
you’ll never settle for ordinary again.
SillyBitoshi retweeted
Everyone with an average job and no assets apart from a few digits in the bank and a bit of cash at home, will soon find themselves standing in the same line. A line that doesn't end. A line called universal basic income.
They'll call it 'support' but it's a cage. A velvet prison disguised as compassion. The most caged human beings of the next decade won't be behind bars. They'll be smiling in government-issued apartments, grateful for their weekly allowance, obedient because their survival depends on it.
They won't riot. They won't resist. They'll comply, because compliance will be a new currency. And the price of saying 'no' will be starvation.
It's all been written for decades. All the scripts, the plans, and also the solutions. But every time someone tried to warn them, the herd laughed and called it 'conspiracy'
It'll be a brave new world.
SillyBitoshi retweeted
Do you really want a piece of advice about becoming a trader?
Listen carefully: the greatest traders are not the ones who think they already know everything.
They are the ones who remain curious, the ones who see themselves as eternal students, the ones who accept that they know nothing yet carry within them the unshakable conviction that they can reach the top.
Curiosity is the foundation, the fuel that keeps you moving forward when everyone else gives up.
When we talk about becoming a doctor, everyone accepts it: ten years of study, exams, sleepless nights, endless practice.
When we talk about becoming a lawyer, everyone accepts it: years of university, internships, qualifications, thousands of hours with books.
When we talk about becoming an engineer, everyone accepts it: years of mathematics, late nights spent solving problems, countless failures that lead to mastery.
But when it comes to trading, suddenly nobody wants to pay the same price.
And yet this is a profession, yes, a profession, that can potentially allow you to earn in a few hours what a doctor makes in a month, or create results in a fraction of the time that would take a lawyer or an engineer years to achieve.
Still, most people aren’t willing to dedicate even a few years to serious study and practice.
They want it all, and they want it now.
No discipline, no sacrifice, no patience.
Trading doesn’t forgive.
The market exposes anyone who looks for shortcuts.
It places you in front of yourself and says clearly: either you prepare like a professional or you will be crushed like an amateur.
I know this because I’ve been walking this path myself.
I started with moving averages, I moved through increasingly complex concepts, and today I work with volume analysis.
It has taken me years, years of mistakes, of frustration, of sacrifices.
And still, even today, I feel ignorant in front of the market’s immensity.
Yes, I’ve reached a decebt level, but I also know that to truly get to the top it will take me decades.
And strangely enough, this doesn’t discourage me, it motivates me.
Because it’s the same in every true profession.
A doctor doesn’t become excellent the day he graduates, he becomes excellent after years of practice.
A lawyer doesn’t shine in his first case, he shines after hundreds of trials.
An engineer doesn’t design brilliance in his first project, he does so after years of experience.
Trading is exactly the same.
It’s a profession that requires time, commitment, sacrifice, and above all, the humility to accept that you will never stop learning.
That’s where the difference lies: between those who chase the illusion of quick money and those who embrace the journey.
The first will fall and quit.
The second will grow, endure, and build.
And in the end, he will become a trader.
SillyBitoshi retweeted
Stop misleading people. The on-chain data is brutal:
– Top wallets hold >60% of supply, meaning retail is exit liquidity.
– Distribution is extremely wide, which means every pump is met with endless sell pressure.
– Most buyers from the last hype leg are already sitting on -70% to -90% unrealized losses. That’s all supply waiting to be dumped the moment liquidity shows up.
This is not 2021 SHIB. This is a graveyard of bagholders.
If you want more data, just ask I can go deeper. But I think this is already enough.
♟️
$BASE is going to be a 50B-75B dollar market cap coin
5-10% of that will be airdropped money (stimulus checks to people)
That’s the biggest stimulus check we’ve seen into crypto since 2021
Do you remember what people did when they got stimulus checks in 2021??? They bet it all on memes, nfts, and meme stocks.
The big difference this time is it will be airdropped directly into people’s control on BASE
In 2021 when people got free extra money they bought SHIB the #1 memecoin on Ethereum
Learning from the past it’s easy to see the main thing people will do in 2025-2026 when they get this Base stim check (airdrop) is buy the #1 memecoin on Base which is $BRETT
You have the full and easy blueprint from 2021
The homework has been done.
You just need to copy it and front run the result.
Memecoins are “rigged” and “so difficult” for the people that buy the pump and hype
It’s not difficult for the people that buy BEFORE the pump and take 2 seconds to think of what will happen IN ADVANCE.
This is your chance to catch the SHIB of this cycle
This is impossible to mess up if you are reading this today
SillyBitoshi retweeted
We are here. The last window.
The danger zone.
Where whales distribute. Where altcoins are pumped to trigger retail dopamine. Where liquidity is engineered and extracted.
- Bitcoin is up 700% from the bear market low. It hit the -0.5 main market fib and the same trendline that marked every previous top. Currently inside the monthly DL2 range. Until a monthly body close above DL2, new negative fibs (140K–170K) are invalid.
- TOTAL2 swept the higher timeframe range high. Distribution signs forming. Still trading inside the DL2 of the higher timeframe range → bearish bias until resolved.
- BTC Dominance made its pivot. Alts showing strength. Herd consensus: “BTC.D down = alts 100x.” False. This is not 2017. Altcoins are insider games. By the time you see it, insiders are 10–20x up and distributing.
- Stablecoin dominance (USDT.D + USDC.D) shows accumulation. Rising stable dominance = bearish. Every real bull phase starts when this chart trends down.
The belief system of 2017/2021 is gone. The hodler mindset is gone. Altcoin pumps are engineered by insiders and sold on your head.
You will not get rich chasing the next 100x. You are not an insider. You don’t have the allocations. There is no reason for FOMO.
What to do:
Trade mid-timeframe Wyckoff structures. Focus on extremes of premium and discount. Stay liquid, rotate with precision, protect capital.
What not to do:
Do not chase vertical alt moves. Do not anchor to past fractals. Do not rely on Twitter narratives.
How to actually keep your profits:
teapaw.org/Wyckoff_Insider/status…
The 50/50 Rule:
teapaw.org/Wyckoff_Insider/status…
FOMO doesn’t exist:
teapaw.org/Wyckoff_Insider/status…
This is the final danger zone of the four-year cycle.
Whale distribution is in play.
Survive the ping-pong. Kill the dopamine.
The next clean trend belongs to those who keep their discipline.
🧵 The Biggest Lie in Trading: FOMO
1/
FOMO doesn’t exist.
If you feel it, you’re not missing the trade.
You’re missing the skill.
2/
If you had the skill, you would’ve entered before the pump.
The chart gave the signal.
You just didn’t understand it.
3/
Real FOMO only exists if:
•You saw the setup
•You had the read
•And you didn’t execute
That’s not missing out. That’s lack of discipline.
4/
Example:
A 140-day Wyckoff forms.
Re-accumulation is clear.
LPS prints.
MTF + LTF align.
You miss that entry → price explodes → that is FOMO.
5/
But if you didn’t even see the structure?
You weren’t close.
That’s not FOMO.
That’s delusion.
6/
Stop blaming FOMO.
Start building skill.
Because once you truly see the market…
You don’t chase.
You execute.
7/
Truth:
You’re not missing trades.
You’re missing skillsets.
Wyckoff is the answer.
SillyBitoshi retweeted
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SillyBitoshi retweeted
"Richard Wyckoff:
‘The market is made by the activities of those who dominate it.’
Your job isn’t to fight them.
Your job is to recognize their footprints."
SillyBitoshi retweeted
Most can’t connect the dots:
BTC topping ≠ alts topping.
They’ll pump the alts I shared with perfect Wyckoff, triggering the final dopamine hit to drain liquidity.
Rules of the game.
No crypto is not the future of finance.
It’s just a trillion-dollar experiment to get the youth used to digital payments.
Then a “crisis” will hit.
And the pre-packaged solution will be released.
Problem → Reaction → Solution.**
Just let your Wyckoff’s print but don’t get blinded.
SillyBitoshi retweeted
👁️It’s not evil Market Makers that rug crypto traders…
It’s much worse.
Most traders get rugged by their own identity.
The “self” they cling to is the version that:
• Works a 9–5
• Thinks money is scarce
• Fears judgment
• Plays small
And that self will attack the moment you try to become bold, wealthy, and free.
That’s why you:
• Start studying Gann, ICT, Wyckoff, then “take a break”… suddenly 6 months are gone.
• Swear you’ll risk 1% per trade, then blow up accounts revenge trading at 10x size.
That’s not bad luck or 'Evil Market Makers'.
That’s the old self fighting for survival.
👉 Success isn’t about staying yourself.
It’s about letting go of who you are—
and stepping into who you’re becoming.
🪞Stop pointing at market maker manipulation, start pointing at the person in the mirror.
#tradingpsychology #BecomingParadigm
SillyBitoshi retweeted
Most people shouldn’t trade.
If you’re not obsessed enough to spend 10–15 hrs a day on charts…
If you don’t get lost in the candles until 5 hours disappear…
If you don’t wake up hungry to analyze…
Don’t start.
Trading isn’t a hobby.
It’s gambling for the lazy.
It will hijack the same brain circuits, and you’ll lose everything.
You need obsession.
You need work ethic.
You need critical thinking sharper than most humans even have.
The road is brutal.
It will break you before it pays you.
But if you put in the time…
If you walk through the fire…
It pays.
Yes it pays.
















