Smartguy725 (@Smartguy725) profile picture

History and politic nerd. Like/retweets are not endorsements. he/him

St Louis, MO
Joined May 2013
Photo by Smartguy725 (@Smartguy725)Photo by Smartguy725 (@Smartguy725)Photo by Smartguy725 (@Smartguy725)Photo by Smartguy725 (@Smartguy725)Photo by Smartguy725 (@Smartguy725)Photo by Smartguy725 (@Smartguy725)Photo by Smartguy725 (@Smartguy725)Photo by Smartguy725 (@Smartguy725)Photo by Smartguy725 (@Smartguy725)Photo by Smartguy725 (@Smartguy725)
New pinned! I have some politic-related personal projects, including: -a general projections spreadsheet -a project dividing US governors, senators, and house members into factions within their parties -an alt-history follow me if any of that interests you!
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how I think the 2022 and 2024 House elections would have gone on the fair maps made by the yapms discord redistricting council
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Smartguy725 retweeted
do Republicans win 200 or more House seats next week?
25%yes
75%no
4 votes • 4 days
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if that's what the actual ballots for Senate in Alaska look like this year than it will be a pure skill issue if Sullivan loses.
Fox News: There is an “aggressive criminal investigation” into Daniel J. Sullivan appearing on the ballot for US Senate in Alaska, and the investigation has intensified after the NYT story. DOJ sources tell Fox News that multiple grand jury subpoenas will be issued in the coming hours and days.
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ain't no way...
Concord Public Opinion Partners poll | 10/22-10/23 LV US Senate Montana 2026 ⬜️Seth Bodnar 39% 🟥Kurt Alme 38% 🟦Alani Bankhead 10% 🟨Kyle Austin 2%
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I think this race is technically Tilt D still? I don’t know how much the average voter will care about this tbh
#AlaskaSenate NYT: This spring, a retired teacher from a tiny fishing village along the Alaska Panhandle, reachable only by air and sea, announced his candidacy for Senate. His name was Dan J. Sullivan. “The Peltola campaign has repeatedly denied any involvement in his candidacy. But The Times has found, based on interviews and text messages, along with documents prepared for a potential lawsuit against the campaign, that not only did Ms. Peltola’s team work with people trying to recruit Mr. Sullivan to run for Senate, but the effort was much broader. The group worked to coax other would-be spoilers into the race, to dilute the incumbent’s support and help catapult the Democrat to victory.
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why does he look like Lindsey Graham
I know Marshall has been trying to convince Kansans that Trump is on the ballot, but even I wasn’t ready for the fake tan and red tie.
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damn the whole leadership circle has to go
Marcus Wassmer (Epic Games EVP) talks about what AI has done for Fortnite & UE so far, and why they're more worried about moving too slowly than about AI skepticism He says it almost completely got rid of a type of cooking bug they've been fighting for a decade, and together with faster shader compression it should make update sizes way smaller They also rewrote a big part of the DirectX 12 renderer in about a week, when he expected it to take one engineer 3-6 weeks. He says it came out with better CPU performance & fewer bugs He says Fortnite now has automatic monitoring for PC crashes that finds driver & hardware problems that used to take months to track down, and it can generate fixes for them too He also says the engine should get a lot more modular now, since AI can handle/refactor thousands of files that were way too much to do by hand [via This Week in Videogames]
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you know what fine if things continue as they are, improve for Talarico, or deteriorate for Paxton, I will *finally* move TX-Sen to Tilt D. that's probably the race I am least sure about (or most unwilling to get wrong I guess)
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Smartguy725 retweeted
RT if you’re on the left:
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I get that the elections are right around the corner, but why is everyone posting their final predictions now? a lot can happen in a week.A
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I currently have Dems flipping the House with less seats than they did so in 2018 by but I'm praying polls are underestimating Dems like they had last year
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this is a fine response but I fear Cuban-Americans have a zero tolerance policy with this stuff
#FloridaSenate Angie Nixon on whether Cuba is a dictatorship in interview with CBS News: "That is what people have told me. I have never been to Cuba, and so I will have to take their word for it."
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do Republicans win 200 or more House seats next week?
25%yes
75%no
4 votes • 4 days
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None.
For science...how many Klombo Sprites have you found in the wild?
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it's underdiscussed how "poetic" it is that the first *imperial* dynasty in China was the Qin and the last was the Qing
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I think I said it earlier but I will happily sacrifice the Oregon governor's mansion so Hinajosa can win
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Politico: Republicans cautiously optimistic about Zach Nunn in Iowa’s 3rd district and Joe Mitchell in Iowa’s open 2nd District Link: politico.com/news/2026/10/23…
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If you vote "yes" on it I'll make sure you don't get re-elected.
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what drinks should I get for election night
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