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Translation: don’t get fucking complacent because we only have one shot at this.
#Elections2026 #Midterms2026
Annie Andrews displaying fantastic political instincts.
5-D chess.
Semafor: Annie Andrews knew she was winning in October — but kept the poll secret
On Oct. 5, the Andrews campaign received a poll showing her with a 3-point lead over Graham. But the Democrat’s campaign decided against publicly releasing the poll — or any subsequent internal poll — showing Andrews with a lead over Graham, wary of drawing too much attention from national Republicans and jeopardizing a peak at the right time, according to Chas Goldman, a strategist for Andrews.
semafor.com/article/11/04/20…
A lesson the Democrats can take from Zohran Mamdani is to dominate the media cycle.
Talk every day, tout your accomplishments, take credit for things, constantly be on people’s screens.
He was unleashed rather than being shackled by consultants.
#Elections2026 #Midterms2026
Zohran Mamdani: “It’s not enough for us as Democrats to win power. We have to use that power to deliver change that Americans can feel in their wallets. When you look at these campaigns, if we want to speak about James Talarico, he campaigned on a vision for universal childcare. If you want to talk about Keisha Lance Bottoms, she campaigned on a vision of cutting red tape to build housing. If you want to talk about Jocelyn Benson, she campaigned on a moratorium for data centers. What I’m excited to see now is a recognition that the work is only just starting and this has to be delivered for working people across the country”
Prediction: Byron Donalds is going to try to run Florida like Trump has run the United States.
He is going to self-deal, take bribes and he's going to eventually be held accountable.
I don't think he will serve a full term as Governor.
#Elections2026 #Midterms2026
US Republican Byron Donalds reiterated his support for President Donald Trump, after being elected Florida’s first Black governor.
The 48-year-old thanked Trump for his support when he called him after the race was decided.
'We are still red,' Florida’s first Black governor upon win
More on Aljazeera.com
TopTrevor retweeted
That’s you, @joerogan.
TopTrevor retweeted
I'm telling you, the fucking Taliban fell in Texas. The PTSD is real, and we are all in shock. This is bigger than winning the Super Bowl.
We all need to sit in awe of some of these margins.
NC: Cooper +19.6
GA: Ossoff +18.0
NH: Pappas +14.3
TX: Talarico +12.3
MN: Flanagan +10.1
ME: Jackson +7.7
MI: El-Sayed +7.0
OH: Brown +4.8
KS: Hamilton +4.8
SC: Andrews +4.4
IA: Turek +4.1
MS: EVEN
Beto O’Rourke walked so Talarico and Gina could run.
#Elections2026 #Midterms2026
Gina Hinojosa met with Beto O’Rourke before running. "Not one person can win Texas," he told her. "It has to be two." She and Talarico ran as a ticket, each appealing to different areas and demographics. Together, they changed what’s possible in Texas. theatlantic.com/politics/202…
JD Vance has been on all sides of every issue.
He is a very deceitful man.
#Elections2026 #Midterms2026
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.
So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us."
Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.
There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true.
But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.
Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:
1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel
Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.)
In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.
The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.
If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest.
But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.
I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
TopTrevor retweeted
Hot take: Zohran Mamdani SAVED the Democratic Party.
#Elections2026 #Midterms2026
TopTrevor retweeted
The problem with refusing to be honest with your audience (and potentially yourself!) about your politics while creating political content is you end up creating political content that appeals to... absolutely no one.
Winning back the House could be the very thing that COSTS you the White House in 2028! And TRUST ME, there's a reason I'm saying that!
I've got a message for BOTH parties, and some folks aren't going to like it!
Watch my full episode on YouTube about the 2026 Midterm Elections. bit.ly/4eIKjte
























