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Analytics and Stats for USC

Joined August 2019
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USC QBs have the #1 and #2 seed in the NFC playoffs Sam Darnold & Caleb Williams
NFC playoff picture is official: 🏈Packers (7) @ Bears (2) 🏈49ers (6) @ Eagles (3) 🏈Rams (5) @ Panthers (4) Bye: Seattle Seahawks
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USC Analytics retweeted
2026 CFB opponent-adjusted EPA/play leaders: 1. Darian Mensah - MIA - .507 2. Tayven Jackson - UNT - .462 3. Giovanni Lopez - WAKE - .419 4. Julian Sayin - OSU - .401 5. C.J. Carr - ND - .371 6. Jayden Maiava - USC - .355 7. Aidan Chiles - NU - .336 8. Conner Weigman - HOU - .333 9. Ashton Daniels - FSU - .325 10. Noah Fifita - ARIZ - .311 11. Cale Hellums - ARMY - .306 12. Drew Mestemaker - OKST - .306 13. Lincoln Kienholz - LOU - .306 14. Maddux Madsen - BSU - .306 15. Bear Bachmeier - BYU - .297 (Min. 100 plays. Includes passes, sacks and QB runs. Garbage time excluded)
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USC Analytics retweeted
An NFL team that primarily runs an odd-front is going to get a freak in USC DT Jide Abasiri (6-5, 280) 19+ mph, 1.6 10-yard split, & 700-pound squat…will blow up the Combine
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USC 4-11 when opponent reaches 21 first vs Ohio State 0-2 really sticks out.
Dana Holgorsen called Big Ten football a "race to 21". Since 2023, a Big Ten team that hits 21 first has won 91.6% of its games. The Huskers win often when they get to 21 first, but they've also played the second-most low-scoring games in the league over that time period
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UCLA’s games have been decided by who reaches 21 first. 17-0 and 0-17. 100% win rate for the team that does so.
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Christmas comes early for Sam Darnold
Trade: Colts have agreed to send eight-time Pro-Bowl guard Quenton Nelson to the Seattle Seahawks, per me and @rapsheet. Nelson is on an expiring contract and the Colts are opting to get back draft capital now before they could lose him in free agency. But an all-time Colt now moves on to the Seahawks.
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USC Analytics retweeted
In limited time, Caleb has had the right launch codes
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USC Analytics retweeted
Before you give up on a rookie WR, remember Amon-Ra St. Brown's rookie season: Weeks 1-12: WR77 Weeks 13-18: WR2
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#5 Ohio State vs #1 USC (2008)
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USC Analytics retweeted
top of the class 📕🏅
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Jayden Maiava ranks in the bottom third of expected points lost through week 8 (a good thing).
Expected points lost to sacks through week 8 min 100 dropbacks It's an Arch chart.
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USC and Jayden Maiava lost 7.47 expected points to 4 sacks at Wisconsin.
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USC & Jayden Maiava's costly sacks: 3rd & 9 at WIS12 - 15 yds 2nd & 10 at WIS33 - 10 yds leading to 3rd & 20 3rd & 5 at USC38 - 13 yds Turned chip shot into long FG miss Pushed out of scoring opp into very long FG miss Had a convertible 3rd down & forced to return ball
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USC Analytics retweeted
He’s a sicko for having the concentration to look directly at where his toe was aligned 😭
Just a ridiculous throw & catch 😳
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USC Analytics retweeted
I'm fucking crying dawg thats an all timer
Wade Phillips on the Eagles defense: "There's only two plays that they can't stop. That's the run and the pass."
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NFL fans grappling with something college fans (with much larger skill gaps) have known for ages. As the quality of competition in a conference goes up, it generally becomes an increasingly low-scoring league. Better players means less spacing and quicker reactions to throws.
A dumb/simple explanation for why QBs like Patrick Mahomes are no longer putting up video game numbers
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Makai Lemon Touchdown
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USC Analytics retweeted
QB EPA/Dropback vs. Pass Defenses Faced (thru wk8) Pass defense slate faced ➔ remaining: • USC (QB #2): #1 faced ➔ #14 left (battle-tested) • Ohio St (QB #10): #90 faced ➔ #4 left (cliff) • Indiana (QB #3): #5 faced ➔ #75 left (survived) • Wake Forest (QB #14): #131 faced ➔ #99 left (cupcake) • Washington: Slate #86 faced ➔ #3 remaining • Missouri: Slate #84 faced ➔ #9 remaining • Minnesota: Slate #80 faced ➔ #1 remaining Tested vs. paper tigers thru Wk 8 🧵👇
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The anti-Belichick approach
Seeing a lot of coaches stuck in this trap right now
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USC Analytics retweeted
you could not waterboard this information out of me
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USC Analytics retweeted
Caleb Williams is the most accurate QB in football, according to @FantasyPtsData's Catchable Throw Rate And he's top-7 throwing to every level of the field
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