gay politics tweeter, pro-housing democratic socialist
Seattle Metro
Joined January 2012
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build housing in blue states retweeted
WA-05 is definitely one to watch for an update tonight. Incumbent R Baumgartner is leading by 1,857 votes right now with 87,000 ballots estimated out in the blue counties vs. just 16,650 in the red rurals.
build housing in blue states retweeted
It looks like the Green Party has flipped a state legislative seat in Hawaii! It comes in #HD14, a Harris+16 seat covering the Lahaina area.
Pāʻele Kiakona was a major activist during the wildfires there and won major union support for his campaign. He beat a Democrat and the Democrat-turned-Republican incumbent (who only got less than 20% of the vote)
build housing in blue states retweeted
Los Angeles doesn't belong to AIPAC, Los Angeles doesn’t belong to Crypto or Big AI, Los Angeles doesn’t belong to corporate real estate developers. It belongs to us.
Workers deserve more. We deserve real representation and respect and I think it’s time that we get it. Thank you, CA-34!
build housing in blue states retweeted
We have been getting extremely clear signals essentially every two years for, what, two decades now that Americans are extremely frustrated with the country’s economic and political systems
build housing in blue states retweeted
YOU HAVE TWELVE HOURS TO PLACE THE PRONOUNS BACK IN YOUR EMAIL OR YOU WILL BE REPORTED
build housing in blue states retweeted
Debbie Dingell and Mallory McMorrow both share that they’re CONCERNED for the state of Haley Stevens following her endorsement of Mike Rogers
McMorrow: I don’t know her fiancé, but to see him out there so publicly…my husband and I talked about this and my husband said if he ever tried to speak for me the way that we see happening now, he’s like “You would leave me.” It’s hard to watch.
Dingell: Haley Stevens told me at midnight last night this was all a rumor…she texted me at 7:45 am “Watching you on MSNOW ❤️❤️❤️” I’m just upset, I’m very concerned, it’s sad, but I don’t want to be distracted anymore.
build housing in blue states retweeted
Extraordinarily critical context on the vote counting process in Michigan:
“Even if El-Sayed trails by 2-3 points at 3 a.m., he could still be favored to win, depending on where the remaining votes are coming from.
If they are concentrated in areas that historically report after 3 a.m. as we expect, he would be favored to make up about 3 points.
Democratic areas in Wayne, Ingham, Saginaw, Kalamazoo, and Washtenaw counties, along with Flint, often report last.”
Michigan Election Night Preview (8pm, 9pm polls close)
Operations
Michigan counts votes very slowly. Fewer than half of all votes may be reported by midnight, and a substantial number may still be outstanding at 3 a.m. Detroit often does not finish their Election Night reporting until around 9 a.m., and that doesn't even include ballots counted after Election Night in the trail period. Absentee ballots and votes from more Democratic-leaning areas often are counted last, making results in the early morning look more Republican than the final outcome.
It’s crucial to keep this Republican mirage in mind during the early morning hours. Even if El-Sayed trails by 2–3 points at 3 a.m., he could still be favored to win, depending on where the remaining votes are coming from. If they are concentrated in areas that historically report after 3 a.m. as we expect, he would be favored to make up about 3 points. Democratic areas in Wayne, Ingham, Saginaw, Kalamazoo, and Washtenaw counties, along with Flint, often report last. Even at 6 a.m., votes from Detroit and other late-reporting areas could still be outstanding and help El-Sayed gain ground.
Key races
Michigan Senate: Abdul El-Sayed (D) faces Mike Rogers (R). Michigan was Trump+1.4 in 2024. VoteHub rates this race Lean Democratic, favoring El-Sayed to win by 3.3 points. El-Sayed, a progressive, defeated Haley Stevens in a contentious primary. Rogers, a former representative, narrowly lost to Elissa Slotkin in 2024, even as Trump won the state.
Michigan Governor: Jocelyn Benson (D) faces John James (R). Michigan was Trump+1.4 in 2024. VoteHub rates this race Likely Democratic, favoring Benson to win by 8.6 points. Benson is favored to succeed Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer, as Democrats expect the blue environment to help them hang on to the governor’s mansion in a state Trump won. James, a current representative, lost two statewide races in 2018 and 2020 and is hoping for a better result on his third try.
MI-04: Bill Huizenga (R) faces Sean McCann (D). The district was Trump+5.5 in 2024. VoteHub rates this race Tilt Republican, favoring Huizenga to win by 2.2 points. Huizenga has historically been a strong candidate, running more than 6 points ahead of Trump in 2024. However, he faces a challenge in this western Michigan district, which includes Kalamazoo and is likely to vote for Benson at the top of the ticket. He will likely need to outrun James to keep his seat.
MI-07: William Lawrence (D) faces Tom Barrett (R). The district was Trump+1.3 in 2024. VoteHub rates this race Tilt Democratic, favoring Lawrence to win by 2 points. In this district centered on Lansing and the surrounding area, Republican incumbent Tom Barrett is hoping to hold on even as Benson is heavily favored to win it at the top of the ticket. He is hoping that progressive insurgent William Lawrence will prove weak electorally, giving him an opening to win over swing voters. Lawrence, and national progressives, are hoping that a resounding victory in the seat will prove progressives can flip seats from red to blue and run close to the top of the ballot while doing it.
MI-10: Christina Hines (D) faces Mike Bouchard Jr. (R). The district was Trump+6.5 in 2024. VoteHub rates this race Lean Democratic, favoring Hines to win by 2.8 points. Hines is hoping to flip this open seat centered on Macomb County, a working-class suburban area outside Detroit. Our forecast currently has both Benson and Rogers winning the district, meaning the House race may come down to candidate quality.
build housing in blue states retweeted
DSA is proud to endorse a "NO" vote on three initiatives in Washington state: IL-001, IL-638, & IL-645.
Put forward by MAGA mega-donors, these initiatives slash taxes for the rich and prey on the rights of innocent kids—including and especially trans and LGBTQ+ youth.
ALT Graphic describing DSA's endorsement against three initiatives in Washington state.
ALT Graphic with bold slogans against three initiatives in Washington state which would gut that state's millionaires tax and attack the rights of kids, especially queer youth.
build housing in blue states retweeted
New: Democratic polling firms including John Anzalone's Impact Research @JohnAnzo, Global Strategy Group @GSG, and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner @GQRResearch are working for AIPAC as it spends to defeat Abdul El-Sayed in #MISen.
AIPAC is paying them millions.
readsludge.com/2026/10/12/th…
build housing in blue states retweeted
FEC: AIPAC’s super PAC begins to spend against Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate race
build housing in blue states retweeted
⭕️ National Democratic consultants running Troy Jackson's Senate campaign have pushed him to soften his messaging on Gaza and avoid questions about Israel, New York Magazine reports.
Rebecca Traister reports that out-of-state advisers and "consultants, some connected to the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and national party leaders," have discouraged open Q&As and sought to limit Jackson's opportunities to discuss Gaza, despite his previously unequivocal support for a total arms embargo and his description of Israel's assault as genocide.
Internal campaign guidance obtained by the magazine instructs Jackson, when asked about genocide, to say: "No matter what you're comfortable calling it, I think we can all agree this is senseless violence."
At a September town hall, Jackson spoke of people suffering on "both sides" and said Gaza and Israel both "deserve to be there, be protected." The mood in the room "deflated like a balloon" after the "word salad" response, the report says, and drew visible disapproval from some attendees.
The campaign told New York Magazine his positions have not changed. Jackson is headlining a New York fundraiser this week co-hosted by Henry Beck, a former Maine state treasurer who traveled to Israel on an AIPAC-affiliated trip, Drop Site reported. Asked whether the big-ticket fundraiser co-hosted by an AIPAC-aligned Democrat represented a moderation of his position on Gaza, the campaign avoided a direct response.
A spokesperson told Drop Site on Monday that Jackson "has described Israel's assault on Gaza as a genocide," framing the label in the past tense, and that he "opposes U.S. taxpayer-funded military aid to Israel." The campaign did not reaffirm his earlier call for a total arms embargo.
A labor source who has known Jackson for years told New York Magazine that his shift "feels fake, like he's being compelled to say things he doesn't fully believe by people who hold the resources he believes he needs to win."
🔗 NY Mag story in reply. Drop Site’s earlier report is quoted below.
AIPAC-aligned Democrat Henry Beck is hosting a big ticket fundraiser in New York City for Troy Jackson's Senate Campaign this week. Jackson will headline the pro-Israel host's event, according to a copy of an invitation obtained by Drop Site’s @nathantbernad.
The fundraiser host, Beck, a former state treasurer, has been a leading pro-Israel advocate in Maine, having recently moved to NYC to work for an asset management firm. In January 2024, he traveled to Israel to meet with IDF soldiers as part of a 10-person delegation organized by the American Israel Education Foundation, AIPAC’s arm which funds trips to Israel.
While State Treasurer, Beck released a controversial statement from the Treasurer's office on the one-year anniversary of October 7 on the importance of “maintain[ing] our important relationship with the people of Israel,” while declining to mention any of Israel’s war crimes. At the time of Beck's one-year anniversary statement, the United Nations reported that Israeli attacks had killed over 41,600 Palestinians following the October 7 attack. Women and children accounted for at least half of the death toll.
Asked for comment, the Jackson campaign did not directly address what the fundraiser means as it pertains to Jackson’s commitment to confronting Israel’s genocide. Jackson campaign spokesperson Cheyenne Gallivan told Drop Site in a statement: “Troy opposes U.S. taxpayer-funded military aid to Israel, has described Israel’s assault on Gaza as a genocide, and has pledged to reject money from AIPAC.”
build housing in blue states retweeted
Imagine if Democrats proposed to do more than just turn back the clock 2-4 years every 4-6 years. This is purgatory.
What @RepJeffries told me the House agenda will be next year if Democrats win control in the 2026 midterms:
—Reverse Trump’s Medicaid cuts
—Extend expired ACA tax credits
—Restore Congress’s authority on tariffs
—“Decisively” end the Iran war
Beyond that: “We’ve established five working groups on affordability.”
build housing in blue states retweeted
After new polling shows Democrats in all six of the first 2028 primary states overwhelmingly in support of sanctioning & cutting weapons to Israel, Hakeem Jeffries elevates one of the most pro-Israel Democrats in Congress to lead the Middle East and North Africa Subcommittee:
build housing in blue states retweeted
DSA member, 26-year-old Chris Gilmer-Hill has declared victory over incumbent state Rep. Helena Scott in Michigan’s 8th House District (Detroit/Ferndale/Pleasant Ridge). Scott, 66, came in third in her City Council race last year.
build housing in blue states retweeted
If AES holds on, I think both things are true:
1. The center will try to spin this as a victory but there’s absolutely no reason Stevens should have lost. It’s another massive win for the left.
2. Some humility from the left is in order, we got a little too high on our supply.
build housing in blue states retweeted
Final NYT numbers on Haley Stevens v. Abdul El-Sayed:
— Six outside groups spent $62 million for Stevens, giving her a nine-to-one spending advantage over Abdul
— Half of that Stevens spend, $32 million, came from AIPAC's super PAC
— AIPAC's super PAC spent more than any single group has in a federal Democratic primary this cycle
build housing in blue states retweeted
Abdul supporters are too confident right now. Polls are nice, but the only thing that matters is turning out the vote. It’s not over ‘til it’s over.
Run through the finish line:
📞 Phone Bank
📱 Text Bank
🚪 Knock Doors
💵 Donate
abdulforsenate.com
