I make some maps and comment on Washington State politics 🗺️ 🌲 🇺🇸🗳
Joined January 2022
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Washington State Mapper retweeted
At this point, Democrats seem most likely to end up winning 59 seats that Donald Trump won in 2024.
🔴 TN-04: Trump+24*
🔴 TX-09: Trump+20
🔴 CO-04: Trump+18*
🔴 TX-15: Trump+18
🔴 NC-05: Trump+18*
🔴 FL-09: Trump+18*
🔴 NC-06: Trump+17
🔴 IN-05: Trump+17
🔴 NC-13: Trump+16
🔴 NC-09: Trump+16
🔴 NC-14: Trump+15
🔴 KY-06: Trump+15
🔴 TX-23: Trump+15
🔴 AL-02: Trump+14
🔴 NV-02: Trump+14
🔴 NC-03: Trump+14*
🔴 SC-01: Trump+13*
🔴 NJ-02: Trump+13
🔴 MN-01: Trump+12*
🔴 MT-01: Trump+12
🔴 NC-01: Trump+12
🔴 OH-07: Trump+11
🔴 OH-09: Trump+11
🔴 FL-14: Trump+11
🔴 TX-35: Trump+10
🔴 TX-28: Trump+10
🔴 FL-22: Trump+10
🔴 TX-34: Trump+10
🔴 OH-15: Trump+10
🔴 IA-02: Trump+10
🔴 NC-11: Trump+10
🔴 FL-25: Trump+9
🔴 CO-05: Trump+9
🔴 PA-08: Trump+9
🔴 IA-01: Trump+8
🔴 MO-02: Trump+8
🔴 OH-10: Trump+8
🔴 WI-03: Trump+7
🔴 MI-10: Trump+7
🔴 MI-04: Trump+6
🔴 PA-10: Trump+5
🔴 VA-01: Trump+5
🔴 WI-01: Trump+5
🔴 IA-03: Trump+4
🔴 NY-03: Trump+4
🔴 WA-03: Trump+3
🔴 PA-07: Trump+3
🔴 AZ-01: Trump+3
🔴 OH-01: Trump+3
🔴 MI-08: Trump+2
🔴 CA-22: Trump+2
🔴 CO-08: Trump+2
🔴 NM-02: Trump+2
🔴 MI-07: Trump+1
🔴 NJ-07: Trump+1
🔴 NJ-09: Trump+1
🔴 AZ-06: Trump+1
🔴 NV-03: Trump+1
🔴 VA-02: Trump+0
* Uncalled, Democrat is favored
In the latest counts, incumbent Republicans hold narrow leads in 5/6 of these uncalled races.
🗳️🌊 WA BLUE WAVE 🌊🗳️
In Washington State, Democrats have in my view won a supermajority in the State House with flips in 14, 17, and 18.
This majority could also expand further with incumbent Republicans in tight races in 12, 25, 35, and 39.
#waelex
Washington State Mapper retweeted
The Hill: Washington voters approve transgender athlete ban
Washington voters are projected to reverse the state’s long-standing policy that has allowed transgender girls to compete on girls’ and women’s school sports teams, according to Decision Desk HQ.
thehill.com/homenews/campaig…
Washington State Mapper retweeted
WASHINGTON VOTE DROPS TODAY
Today's vote updates have been significantly redder than their respective election day totals, with a few notable exception. In uncalled WA-05, this is bad news for Carmela Conroy, who needs to net votes from later Spokane drops.
🗳️🌊 WA BLUE WAVE 🌊🗳️
In Washington State, Democrats have in my view won a supermajority in the State House with flips in 14, 17, and 18.
This majority could also expand further with incumbent Republicans in tight races in 12, 25, 35, and 39.
#waelex
Will be posting maps of local elections here in Washington in the coming weeks.
Last night was certainly something to watch. A repudiation of betrayal and flagrant corruption.
Washington State Mapper retweeted
The Washington State Supreme Court has ruled the voter-approved natural gas initiative is unconstitutional. seattletimes.com/seattle-new…
WA-09
Adam Smith: 36,070 (50.94%)
Doug Basler: 16,842 (23.79%)
Kshama Sawant: 8,896 (12.56%)
Melissa Chaudhry: 8,083 (11.42%)
#waelex
Praying for my fellow Washingtonians over in Spokane right now.
Please listen to local authorities if you get an order to evacuate!
🗳️ AUGUST PRIMARY 2026 🗳️
With less than a week to go, here are some of the races I’ll be watching next Tuesday:
- State Supreme Court
- US House (3,4,5,8,9)
- State Senate (8,32,35,37,42,43)
- State House (10,12,14,17,18,24,25,26)
Vote by August 4! #waelex
Based on the State Senate seats up in 2026, Democratic targets to get to 33 (supermajority) would be 6, 31, and 35.
Main problem right out of the gate is that no Democratic candidate filed to run in LD6 this year.
But also,
31: Trump+7
35: Harris+0.6
For 2024 elections, all but the 4th district would’ve voted for Harris/Ferguson.
This last week, Governor Ferguson endorsed redistricting WA’s U.S. House districts should Democrats get supermajorities in the state legislature later this year.
Any gerrymander would require putting rural eastern WA regions with a Democratic area west of the Cascades.
