Ph.D. in AI. Sr. Foresight Analyst, Horizons. Coder, numbers whiz, foresight expert. Sworn to use Evil powers only for Good. He/they. @wikisteff@mastodon.social
Ottawa, Canada
Joined December 2009
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Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
Jobs for every month of 2025 have been revised lower
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
No-one is predicting a US recession in 2026 despite this simple indicator having a 100% track record of success. This time may well be different, but you've got to have a bloody good reason to ignore this. Are you feeling confident?
Société Générale's Albert Edwards points to a labor market chart with a flawless track record of predicting a recession since 1950. Is the US economy ignoring history, or is this time different? bit.ly/49cvvRp
You are 1000% on to something here, Daisy.
The toxicity is just not so obvious that Kier Starmer threatened to unplug X now. None of this has gone away, just went a little underground for a minute.
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
The Briefing: By a 2-to-1 margin, Albertans support remaining in Canada over separation.
patreon.com/posts/briefing-b…
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
U.S. imports are now down by -21.1% from their peak ... only other times we've seen worse declines were during the pandemic and global financial crisis
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
Un de mes graphes préférés est arrivé pour 2025! Chaque point est une heure de production d’un pays: en abscisse la production, en ordonnée son intensité carbone. Chaque pays a une couleur différente. Bravo la France (en bleu)! Merci Thomas’s projects. bit.ly/45uDkiY
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
The US continues to lose manufacturing jobs—payrolls are down 75k over the last year, & another 8k jobs were lost in December
Transportation (especially auto manufacturing), wood, and electronics/electrical manufacturing are the biggest losers, but few subsectors are doing well
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
Released this morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ labor share of income for Q3 2025 is the lowest on record.
I'd rather they turn off X and all the cool people go to Bluesky, but this is a huge victory nonetheless.
Congratulations on your enormous victory.
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
It turns out that my 2 TB thumb drive is composed of 1.9m 1 MB blocks and exfat formatting will allocate one file per block, meaning I had about a 70x storage overhead. I have literally never encountered this problem before, but then again, I've never built a recursive filesystem with over 200 million files which essentially is a decompression bomb.
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
It's not just that total manufacturing employment is shrinking. The number of manufacturing sub-sectors that are adding jobs is rapidly shrinking. Of the 72 different types of manufacturing tracked by the BLS, just 38.2% are still adding jobs. A year ago it was 47.2%
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
$PLTR Alex Karp Total Estimated Sales Since January 2025: Over 10 million shares, valued at approximately $2 billion+.
😂
Hey, hey! I'd say that these are broadly correct.
I did some more analysis since then and added some empirical data from the human trial, where they measured Omicron growth in human nose and mouth samples for 18 infected volunteers in 12-hour strides.
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
Sigh, hate to always be sounding like a broken record, but it bears repeating at this point:
If it feels like your government is trying to kill you, it's probably because your government is trying to kill you.
BREAKING: In a serious blow to US pandemic flu preparedness, HHS has cancelled a contract with Moderna to test and license prototype vaccines for #H5N1 #birdflu and other potential pandemic viruses.
In a pandemic, mRNA is the fastest way to vaccine doses. statnews.com/2025/05/28/mode…
Stef @[email protected] Christensen retweeted
Why is America losing its allure to foreign researchers and science students? The most straightforward reason is money, or the looming lack of it as a result of Trump administration funding cuts econ.st/43uptr0
