@basilh_2
Joined January 2025
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  • Following2
  • Followers375
111Media
the Cold Takes favicon has taken on new meaning
New York Post
@nypostSep 30
Anthropic co-founder Daniela Amodei and husband used stuffed-animal 'advisory council' for workplace conflicts: report trib.al/56qjBzd
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> maura-favicon-1.png honestly, love it
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Basil Halperin
@BasilHalperinOct 24
p(RSI announced), according to a teeny tiny Kalshi market
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"News" consistently worse for mental health than "social media"?
Arpit Gupta
@arpitrage1 Mar 2023
I think consistent with Matt's point here — you see young people identifying social media as a source of worsening mental health; but also emphasizing politics and national media. iop.harvard.edu/youth-poll/s…
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“Of course I know what it’s like to feel powerless and trapped. After all…” I took a deep breath. “I’m a man.”
Mark Newheiser@newheiserSep 25
“My beef isn't that Romantasy exists, it's that men can't have the same thing.” I got this comment after writing about Romantasy and A Court of Thorns and Roses, but they were utterly unprepared for how far I am willing to go to prove a single anonymous Internet commenter wrong.
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the anthropic singularity is slightly delayed [slop]
Jesse🔸⏹️@PoliticalKiwiMay 8
At its current exponential growth, Anthropic's annualized revenue will hit 100% of global GDP in early 2028. Do I think this will happen? No. Is it insane that this is the current trajectory, and we should all be preparing for AI to rapidly change the world we live in? Yes.
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the public is told "the current unemployment rate was about 4.2%" and still expects 8.1% unemployment in 2030 🧐 - even among non-AI-pilled 🧐
Peter McCrory
@PeterMcCroryOct 16
Replying to @PeterMcCrory
We find evidence that Anthropic staff and the general public have similar views on how capabilities will shape broader economic outcomes: Those who expect AI to do comparably more of their own work anticipate similar unemployment effects.
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🙋‍♂️ the petrov story is ~fake
liz
@ineratiSep 27
is petrov day story like, correct? it always seemed kinda fishy to me. like i just kinda don’t believe the counterfactual is us all dying.
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i think people are sleeping on this graph, matches anecdata
storm
@notnotstormOct 7
Replying to @notnotstorm
4. the lone wolf researcher is rising solo authorship is booming. this reverses a multi-decade trend of more and more authors appearing on each paper this could be related to AI removing the need for collaborators
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TFP in manufacturing *fell* while the US was in WWII (~1942-45) after surging during the buildup 1938-41 Plausible explanations: (1) central planning is Bad for efficiency (2) you have low productivity when producing things you've never made before (e.g. bomber planes, etc)
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Or: unmeasured decline in labor quality (as working age men shipped abroad), ie TFP didn't actually fall - or other measurement issues in the price control era
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Data source: Field (2022, 2023) onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/… via good pod (@javiermejia): youtube.com/watch?v=DGDXhBlq… more technical talk: youtube.com/watch?v=D_dKXMF8…
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folks this chart is fake, quite literally... the US does not collect this data!!! a 2022 NHTS survey is (to my knowledge) literally the ONLY official national measurement we have of rideshare VMT this chart is just something Caplan asked ChatGPT to guesstimate ...!!!!
Crémieux
@cremieuxrecueilOct 2
The age of the taxi is over. The age of the ride-hail passenger carrier is now.
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do people think ATUS data on TV watching legit? ATUS doesn't handle simultaneous activities very well (but maybe that makes this a lower bound)?
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Quantifying the fall of European cousin marriage + rise of Church courts
Tegan Truitt@teganltSep 17
For those who are interested in my work, but don't have the training or inclination to read a pretty technical paper, I'm putting out an explainer series. Check out the newest installment here, on descriptive time series with genealogical data: godbecametheglass.substack.c…
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Capitulation: before/after ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ [self-indulgent]
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"The Vietnam shock" has zero hits on google scholar, it's not too late to stake your claim to a few thousand citations
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i have ADHD Syndrome (ADH Derangement Syndrome)
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