Partner @ The Messina Group. Views are my own.
Washington, DC
Joined June 2010
- Tweets14.2K
- Following1.2K
- Followers2.3K
- Likes8.7K
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
The final Times/Siena polls of the campaign find Democrats ahead in all seven of the states likeliest to decide the Senate
nytimes.com/2026/11/01/us/po…
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
Incredible closing message from the President.
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
FAFO Fund!
Republicans thought they could rig the playing field. They were dead wrong.
Despite unprecedented efforts to tilt the political system in their favor, Democrats are competing –– and winning –– in districts that Donald Trump carried by double digits. Our new FAFO Fund backs the Democrats running in seats Republicans thought were safe. Chip in now to help get them over the finish line and end the disastrous Republican majority.
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
Proud of what we built as The Messina Group. Even more excited about what comes next.
Introducing Fortius Global.
bit.ly/4zAghA4
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
So excited to be back at TMG to lead our Creator Strategy work (10 years after I started as an intern!).
Creators are where trust lives now, and it's fascinating and humbling. I'm grateful and fired up to meet the moment with @Messina2012 and his amazing team!
Big news at TMG: Excited to welcome back @annnnienewman as Vice President, Creator Strategy.
She’s spent her career at the intersection of creators, campaigns, and public pressure. Now she’s building our new Creator Strategy practice.
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
House Democrats hold 18.9M TikTok followers to Republicans' 1.9M. The Senate Democratic caucus: 10.9M to 1.1M. Nearly every Democratic governor is on the platform. Two Republicans are.
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
since becoming president again, Trump has promised:
-$5000 stimulus checks via "DOGE dividend"
-$2000 stimulus checks via "tariff dividend"
-$1000+ checks via "savings" from expiring ACA subsidies
-$5000 "dividend" if Rs win midterms
no checks have been issued
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
The Trump economy: $40tn debt, 6.7% mortgages and $5 diesel ft.trib.al/zCGvNKd
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
In 2012, I managed Pres. Obama's campaign against a GOP that preached states' rights like scripture. That party is gone. Today's Republicans are the most aggressive centralizers of federal power in memory & red states pay the price. My op-ed in @USATODAY: usatoday.com/story/opinion/2…
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
Look at the date of this tweet
Dan nailed it
We haven’t seen any public data since Marquette’s July 22-27 poll:
Hong 46
Barnes 21
Crowley 11
That’s before Hong went on a media tour exposing her most unelectable qualities.
Before Barnes dropped out.
Before 10 days of Crowley blitzing the state with Governor Evers.
Before the huge polling miss in Michigan that undercounted rural older voters and black voters as a share of the electorate.
Assume Hong has gone down, even modestly, from 46.
Assume Crowley consolidates Barnes support and is at least in the 30s.
Assume even a slight miss in polling for Hong given similar dynamics to AES support.
Assume that now groups come in for Crowley having seen that polling miss.
I don’t think this is locked for Hong by a long shot.
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
This week someone targeted my family for harm with a false report. We’re physically OK, but that doesn’t mean we weren’t harmed. I am beyond furious.
Whatever your politics, this is awful, wrong, and can never become normal. substack.com/home/post/p-203…
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
I really agree with the underlying and subconscious assertion from Vance that’s it’s wild the Trump admin on the daily gets away with more brazen corruption and criminality than a President who had to resign in disgrace for engaging in espionage against his political enemies and lying to congress about it
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
JD Vance: "I think Nixon's historical legacy is enjoying a bit of a renaissance, and deservedly so. I joked that if Watergate happened tomorrow, it would be like a 12 hours news story. The idea that it took down a presidency is crazy."
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
here's Barack Obama's entire speech commemorating the Obama Presidential Center. He reflected on his administration's successes and failures, critiqued the moral rot of contemporary America, and outlined a positive vision of the future -- all without ever mentioning Trump
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
NEW Crystal Ball Senate Rating Changes
Alaska Leans R to Toss-up
NC Toss-up to Leans D
Ohio Leans R to Toss-up
GOP still favored because they only need one of the four Toss-ups, while Ds need all four
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
Wow - Cassidy signs onto brief stating, in part: "The Anti-Weaponization Fund presents an immediate and dire threat to our constitutional order and the authority of Congress. Indeed, among other purposes, the Fund is designed to compensate the insurrectionists who stormed the U.S. Capitol on January 6th. The existence of the Fund strikes at the core of Congressional authority and our Constitutional order"
Senators Cory Booker (D-NJ) and Bill Cassidy (R-LA) filed an amicus brief today urging a federal judge to block the weaponization fund storage.courtlistener.com/re…
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
You could start by walking down the hall. See why your boss keeps pardoning people convicted of money laundering, wire fraud, tax evasion, and securities fraud.
Vance: There is a simple principle I have: If you are committing fraud against the American people you ought to go to prison. If you are a public official not fighting against fraud, you ought to have your money taken away because you should not be able to steal from all of you and give it to fraudsters.
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
HMF is proud to have been the largest backer of the “YES” campaign—contributing nearly $40 million—and working closely with @FairnessProject and @FairElectionsVA to combat the tens of millions the GOP put in to mislead voters.
We're taking back the House in November
Nicholas P. Buis retweeted
CRYSTAL BALL HOUSE RATING CHANGES IN VIRGINIA
Four R seats move into the Dem column
House topline now 217 Safe/Likely/Leans Democratic, 205 Safe/Likely/Leans Republican, and 13 Toss-ups
There is still the possibility that the VA Supreme Court will intervene on process grounds
