political irrealist, illogical positivist, censer of phosphorus, calyx of hesperus, one chanting star among the millions perfect
axilla of the total sphere
Joined October 2010
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if you can call from memory an excerpt of that great bard Shakespeare’s incredibly far-reaching corpus that contemplates your very situation, it is considerable consolation what’er betide you.
Thinking about his meditation on having to shit during a shower helped me today
Incidentally the apocalypse is a Greek literary form and the prophecy is Hebrew until intermediated by an oracle much further on, the people for whom mind is derived of sight etymologically vs those for whom an act is a word
Yeah you’re right and while it’s actually an understandable and even somewhat justifiable conflation in context it is a pretty cringe inducing stemtard bull flummox in the conceptual china shop
None of you people have object permanence it’s insane do you remember the “extension level event” the democrats suffered 2 years ago? Each party has undergone 2-3 of these in my lifetime. It’s a a Freudian “fort und da” tour de force the American infant hasn’t yet figured out
How did you not already know this you stupid fucking 153 on the LSAT moronic albino Yale DEI crack baby bilged out of the barren cancer ravines of post industrial Appalachia?? Ah I guess I answered my own question there
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.
So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us."
Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.
There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true.
But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.
Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:
1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel
Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.)
In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.
The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.
If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest.
But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.
I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
If the complementarily convex & the concave top-faces of the vole man of arrow-bound nibble-maw and the duck fellow of broadest most buoyant equanimity get too close they’ll annihilate into a torrent of neutrinos or whatever be careful, kiki & bouba— parley but keep thee parted!
“Hast 'ou seen the rose in the steel-dust (or swansdown) ever?"
we perambulate about those precincts whose brokenness remediates our own dont we folks, we exhume the ghosts encaged in iron to breathe them into our breastcage that we might live them and so live again innit
Can we find a stronger answer to Eliot's "what are the roots that clutch? What branches grow out of this stony rubbish?" The light has focused, not defected; and in the still of a quantum moment dusk and dawn are indistinguishable to homo crepuscus,
