@corncobanalysis

Immune from confirmation bias because I’ve never had it go check out https://xitter.cf/t.co/NArYiaoLIv

 Blurst of Times
Joined October 2016
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Surprise it’s Darline Graham
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡
@PollTracker20244h
The progressive news outlet “Young Turks” is set to publish a story about a gay, closeted US Senator on Thursday.
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World's Biggest Stagflation Truther retweeted
Uncrewed@Uncrewed7h
Another brand new edition of the State Legislative Election Watch is out now covering November's state legislative elections in Idaho, Nebraska, & New Mexico! Three more small states doesn't mean they don't have very interesting elections! Check it out below!
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World's Biggest Stagflation Truther retweeted
ElectionCord
@ElectionCord9h
One potential reason that we are seeing this? LV Samples appear to be older than RV Samples, and whiter. In most of the Marist polls in the second wave, at least, we are seeing this trend. TX (LV): 39% Under 45, 41% Non White TX (RV): 41% Under 44, 44% Non White
ElectionCord
@ElectionCord9h
What's interesting is, like the Marist polls, there has been a difference between Registered and Likely voters in the Republicans favor! RV Sample in TX was R+5, LV Sample was R+11 Talarico up 6 in RV, Tied LV Abbott up 1 in RV, 5 in LV
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World's Biggest Stagflation Truther retweeted
ElectionCord
@ElectionCord12h
ICYMI: Episode 3 of ElectionCord is now on YouTube, where we talked to J Miles Coleman about ET, Crystal Ball, and ratings changes, the Marist Michigan poll, and other eventful things that happened yesterday! LINK: youtube.com/watch?v=xRKOOJK2…
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NYT poll is roughly implying, as movement from Trump 2024: - 4-5 pts from differential turnout (it's a Harris +3 weighted recall in LV) - 6 pts from persuasion - 2 pts from new voters
Dj@DjsokeSpeaking21h
Final NYT/Siena poll is D+11
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Dems are relying on turnout to make gains because they're not converting a lot of Trump 2024 voters. 17% of Trump 2024 voters disapprove of him, but only 7% are voting for Dems in Congress (this holds for the other races)
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Another possible insider trading case here from Wedgewood: poll release in MI Democratic primary in late June 2026. With the caveat this is very low volume, looks like this account linked with Wedgewood did trade on Haley Stevens in the primary after. kalshi.com/ideas/profiles/an…
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In this case, I wouldn’t say it was any attempt to make money, but I don’t think betting on markets you fake polled is a great idea
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Plz
Ben McAdams (The Resurrection Arc)@purrtahOct 21
Can we please yell at national Dems to spend here ffs
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World's Biggest Stagflation Truther retweeted
Ben McAdams (The Resurrection Arc)@purrtahOct 21
Can we please yell at national Dems to spend here ffs
Mark Maxwell@MarkMaxwellTVOct 21
New poll in MO-2. Trump +7 in 2024. Practically tied today. Wellman 46% Wagner 45% Why? 10% of Trump voters go Wellman. 6% of Harris voters go Wagner. Who shows up? "Very excited" voters: Wellman 53-43. Public Policy Polling, Oct. 19-20, 631 voters
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More clear-cut Wedgewood insider trading for Wisconsin. Wedgewood poll came out on 7/4, the day after, this account made a series of trades on Mandela Barnes. Then Wedgewood released a second poll w/Hong 38% Barnes 30% on 7/20. But then Barnes dropped out kalshi.com/ideas/profiles/an…
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So, it may have backfired completely. But Barnes was probably never in second and the poll was faked to pump the price. At least, that's what you can imagine from this series.
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So, I found some potential insider trading Wedgewood bets here: Interestingly, trades came two days AFTER the fake poll got posted, which did in fact move the odds heavily in Fleming's favor. So, he somehow failed to insider trade? kalshi.com/ideas/profiles/an…
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@BeshearStan
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World's Biggest Stagflation Truther retweeted
ElectionCord
@ElectionCordOct 21
Talking with @JMilesColeman now!
World's Biggest Stagflation Truther@corncobanalysisOct 21
Hi, starting the @ElectionCord stream shortly! Talking...lots of stuff, fake polls, ratings... twitch.tv/electioncord

ElectionCord - Twitch

ElectionCord's Twitch Page! We specialize in US Elections with a focus on Demographics. You'll see polling numbers, demographic numbers, and even some random stuff! — ElectionCord streams live on...

twitch.tv
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Ethan C7@ECaliberSevenOct 21
This is a timely time to remind folks that Activote “polls” are not real polls either. Their respondents supposedly consist ENTIRELY of people who RESPOND ON THEIR STUPID APP. They’re nearly as fake as Wedgewood, tho AFAIK they’re not actively defrauding people like Wedgewood.
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Ben McAdams (The Resurrection Arc)@purrtahOct 21
J miles Coleman is on Election Cord
World's Biggest Stagflation Truther@corncobanalysisOct 21
Hi, starting the @ElectionCord stream shortly! Talking...lots of stuff, fake polls, ratings... twitch.tv/electioncord

ElectionCord - Twitch

ElectionCord's Twitch Page! We specialize in US Elections with a focus on Demographics. You'll see polling numbers, demographic numbers, and even some random stuff! — ElectionCord streams live on...

twitch.tv
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Hi, starting the @ElectionCord stream shortly! Talking...lots of stuff, fake polls, ratings... twitch.tv/electioncord

ElectionCord - Twitch

ElectionCord's Twitch Page! We specialize in US Elections with a focus on Demographics. You'll see polling numbers, demographic numbers, and even some random stuff! — ElectionCord streams live on...

twitch.tv
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Yeah, it's a bit hard to stop someone getting into an polling aggregator if they appear to be connected to polling and solicited crowdfunding. While we need to be careful, couldn't have been caught without @50plus1news's experiment. blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/fif…
G Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorrisOct 20
We were investigating Wedgewood for faking their data and emailed them for comment this morning, ahead of publishing the findings tomorrow. They are trying to cover up their fraud with the "we were doing a social experiment" excuse. Full story here: blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/fif…

FiftyPlusOne just caught a pollster faking data — and they copped to it

In response to a request for comment on a FiftyPlusOne investigation, Wedgewood Polls admitted their data was bogus

blog.fiftyplusone.news
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World's Biggest Stagflation Truther retweeted
G Elliott Morris
@gelliottmorrisOct 20
We were investigating Wedgewood for faking their data and emailed them for comment this morning, ahead of publishing the findings tomorrow. They are trying to cover up their fraud with the "we were doing a social experiment" excuse. Full story here: blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/fif…

FiftyPlusOne just caught a pollster faking data — and they copped to it

In response to a request for comment on a FiftyPlusOne investigation, Wedgewood Polls admitted their data was bogus

blog.fiftyplusone.news
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