diamonddave

Not sure where the short term takes us, but here’s an extensive look at why I’m not going anywhere, and why I’m positioning myself in the best way I can for what’s coming in crypto. I’m not bullish for no reason. There are reasons. A lot of them. And in this game, I think patient capital wins. This is just my crypto journey. Fed rate cuts likely for December Cheaper capital incoming QT ends Dec 1 Liquidity drain finally stops PMI cycle expansion coming Historically when risk assets explode QE revival set for Q1 2026 Fresh money printing on deck (see Ray Dalio’s “easing into a bubble”) Global liquidity at all-time highs 80%+ of major economies are easing U.S. stimulus likely $600B+ potential retail inflow TGA drain underway $100–150B liquidity release Canada restarting QE Adds to global liquidity wave Global M2 exploding Monetary expansion everywhere DXY weakening Capital rotating toward risk Truflation cooling Green light for cuts Labor market softening (just right) Controlled slowdown, no panic ISM manufacturing ready to expand Growth mode loading U.S. economy projected to re-accelerate 2026–27 boom setup Pro-crypto Fed chair likely Dovish, crypto-positive replacement Market Structure Bill advancing Institutional unlock U.S. deregulation wave coming Clearer rules → more adoption ETF inflows set to rebound Post-dip reversal coming BTC dominance dipping on fear Capital quietly preparing to rotate to alts 10Y yields falling Flows shifting toward risk assets Plus the stuff almost nobody is talking about: RRP drained to zero The $2.5T liquidity buffer is gone Fed balance sheet about to slope up (even slightly) Direction matters more than level Net Liquidity inflecting higher Balance sheet – TGA – RRP all flipping bullish Fiscal dominance kicking in Deficits + interest costs force QE 2.0 Japan YCC unwind = liquidity leak Capital flowing outward China stimulus wave Liquidity spilling into global risk ECB pivot already underway Eurozone easing adds fuel Corporate buybacks re-accelerating Cheap rates → more buybacks Household liquidity still elevated Retail dry powder intact AI Capex demand shock Productivity boom → PMI expansion PMI cycle expansion coming Historically when risk assets explode. Put this twice because it’s one of my favorites ;)